Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Thursday, June 14, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and another four percent (4%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) at least somewhat disapprove.

Intensity of support or opposition can have an impact on campaigns. Currently, 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -15.

Romney now leads Obama for the first time in Wisconsin where the president's support has fallen to its lowest level to date. Former Governor Tommy Thompson remains well ahead of Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin’s U.S. Senate race.
 

shinerbock

Innocent Bystander
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and another four percent (4%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) at least somewhat disapprove.







Intensity of support or opposition can have an impact on campaigns. Currently, 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -15.

Romney now leads Obama for the first time in Wisconsin where the president's support has fallen to its lowest level to date. Former Governor Tommy Thompson remains well ahead of Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin’s U.S. Senate race.



I've missed your serial updates. Welcome back!
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 45%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and another four percent (4%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-one percent (41%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -15.

Romney now leads in Wisconsin, North Carolina and Missouri. Obama leads in Pennsylvania. The race is a toss-up in Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, Florida and Colorado.

Fifty-two percent (52%) trust Romney more when it comes to the economy, while 42% trust the president more.

Seventy-two percent (72%) say when media outlets release secret government documents, they are hurting national security. Forty-seven percent (47%) think recent leaks of classified information will hurt the president’s reelection chances.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Saturday, June 16, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 45%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and another four percent (4%) are undecided.
Romney now leads in North Carolina and Missouri. Obama leads in Pennsylvania and Michigan. The race is a toss-up in Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, Florida and Colorado.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -16.

Fifty-two percent (52%) trust Romney more when it comes to the economy, while 42% trust the president more.

Seventy-one percent (71%) say the worker who gets more done should be paid more than someone who has a higher level of education. Most (62%) also think performance should be more important than seniority.

Seventy-two percent (72%) say when media outlets release secret government documents, they are hurting national security. Forty-seven percent (47%) think recent leaks of classified information will hurt the president’s reelection chances.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Sunday, June 17, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and another four percent (4%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his .chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 25% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-four percent (44%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -19.

Romney now leads in North Carolina and Missouri. Obama leads in Pennsylvania and Michigan. The race is a toss-up in Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, Florida and Colorado.

Today is Father's Day, and though the holiday still ranks pretty low in terms of the nation’s holidays, Americans continue to feel strongly that being a father is the most important role a man can fill.

Most Americans continue to believe that the hardest workers don't get paid the most money.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Monday, June 18, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 25% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-three percent (43%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -18.

This is the 10th straight day that Romney has held a modest advantage over the president. See tracking history.

With a decision coming any day now, most voters want the U.S. Supreme Court to overturn the president’s health care law. Just 21% believe the government has the constitutional authority to require the purchase of health insurance. Earlier this year, a column by Scott Rasmussen argued that the health care law is doomed regardless of what the court decides.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Thursday, June 21, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 43%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided.

Currently, 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-one percent (41%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -14.

Just 30% believe the United States is generally heading in the right direction. Only 16% believe today’s children will be better off than their parents.

To help the economy, 24% believe the government should increase spending, while 66% think spending cuts are a better remedy.

Eighty-one percent (81%) believe members of Congress listen more to party bosses in Washington than they do to voters. Most (57%) believe legislators routinely get reelected because the process is rigged to benefit incumbents.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Friday, June 22, 2012

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. 44% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. That matches the president’s lowest approval rating of 2012. Fifty-four percent (54%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 23% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-five percent (45%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -22.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote, while President Obama earns 43%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided.

The president picks up support from just 35% of white voters overall. That’s eight points below the 43% of the white vote he won in 2008. Among white Democrats, 17% currently plan to vote for Romney.

Just 33% now believe the president is doing a good or excellent job when it comes to the economy. That’s down from 41% at the beginning of May.

With speculation about Romney's vice presidential nominee running high, Scott Rasmussen contends in his latest weekly syndicated newspaper column that “more important than the process of selecting the nominee will be the way the choice is rolled out to the public.” Most Americans, he explains, "will learn all they know about the new name on the ticket during the week the candidate is introduced.”

Forty-five percent (45%) believe that America’s best days have come and gone. Just 37% believe they are in the future.

New polling shows the president ahead by five in the swing state of New Hampshire. Obama also leads in Pennsylvania and Michigan. Romney leads in North Carolina and Missouri. The race is a toss-up in Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, Florida and Colorado.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Saturday, June 23, 2012

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 44% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. That matches the president’s lowest approval rating of 2012. Fifty-four percent (54%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 23% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-five percent (45%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -22.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote, while President Obama earns 43%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

The president picks up support from just 35% of white voters overall. That’s eight points below the 43% of the white vote he won in 2008. The gender gap is now at 11 points. That’s little changed from the 12-point gap in 2008. Romney leads by 11 among men, and the candidates are even among women.

Just 48% of homeowners nationwide believe their home is now worth more than what they paid for it. That’s the lowest level ever recorded and down 32 points from 80% four years ago.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Sunday, June 24, 2012

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 44% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-four percent (54%) at least somewhat disapprove. Just 33% now believe the president is doing a good or excellent job when it comes to the economy. That’s down from 41% at the beginning of May. Currently, 23% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-five percent (45%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -22.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote, while President Obama earns 43%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

Romney’s support includes 41% who are certain they will vote for him and seven percent (7%) who are likely to vote for him but could still change their minds. For Obama, those numbers are 35% certain and eight percent (8%) likely.

Consumer confidence fell today to its lowest point since January. At 80.2, the Rasmussen Consumer Index is down 17 points from the 2012 high water mark and less than two points above the lowest levels of this year.

Just 48% of homeowners nationwide believe their home is now worth more than what they paid for it. That’s the lowest level ever recorded and down 32 points from 80% four years ago.

Interest in the campaign is often a good indicator of turnout. Forty-three percent (43%) of Republican voters are following the campaign on a daily or nearly daily basis. Thirty-six percent (36%) of Democrats are doing the same, along with 32% of those not affiliated with either major party.

Ideologically, 46% of conservatives are tracking the campaign daily, along with 31% of liberals.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Monday, June 25, 2012

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 23% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-three percent (43%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -20.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 45%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

As the Supreme Court prepares to release its final decisions of the term, most voters want the justices to uphold the Arizona immigration law but overturn the president’s health care law.

A key theme in both cases is the question of limits on federal power. Many in Washington assert the view that there are essentially no limits on what Congress can do. Just nine percent (9%) share that Political Class view.

The Declaration of Independence says that governments are created to protect certain inalienable rights. However, most Americans now view the federal government as a threat to individual rights. Most also see protecting those rights as a more important role for the government than promoting economic growth.

Only 22% now believe that the federal government has the consent of the governed.

Sixty-three percent (63%) think that U.S. society is generally fair and decent. Twenty-six percent (26%) disagree and believe it is unfair and discriminatory.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Wednesday, June 27, 2012

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 22% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -20.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns 45%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

Voters are evenly divided as to whether they’d prefer a candidate who opposes all tax hikes or one who promised to raise taxes only on the rich.

Just 12% rate the economy as good or excellent. Only 18% believe it’s a good time to sell a home in their area.

New polling in North Carolina continues to show Romney with a slight advantage. Republican Pat McCrory has a big lead in the race to the Tar Heel State’s next governor.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Friday, June 29, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows President Obama attracting 45% of the vote, while Mitt Romney earns 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided. Today is the first time that the president has had the lead in three full weeks.

Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 24% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Thirty-nine percent (39%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -15.

Data for this update is conducted via nightly interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, just one-third of the interviews for today’s update were conducted following the Supreme Court ruling on the president’s health care law.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of voters believe the Supreme Court is doing a good or an excellent job. Twenty-two percent (22%) say poor. The topline numbers changed little before and after the health care ruling, but there were notable partisan shifts in attitude.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Sunday, July 01, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows President Obama attracting 45% of the vote, while Mitt Romney earns 45%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) at least somewhat disapprove. Forty-two (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -15.

Today’s results are the same as they were just before the Supreme Court ruled on the health care law. See tracking history.

However, intensity is up among conservatives. On Thursday morning, 43% of conservative voters were following the presidential race on a daily basis. That’s up to 51% today. It remains to be seen whether this is a lasting change, statistical noise, or a temporary response to the health care ruling.

Just 28% of moderates and 31% of liberals are following the race that closely. Those numbers are little changed since the Supreme Court ruling. Interest in a campaign is typically a good early indicator of voter turnout.

Ratings for the Supreme Court have slipped since the health care ruling. A week ago, 36% said the high court was doing a good or an excellent job. That’s down to 33% today. However, the big change is a rise in negative perceptions. Today, 28% say the court is doing a poor job. That’s up 11 points over the past week.

By a 2-to-1 margin, Americans are more worried about a government that is too powerful rather than one that is too weak. Just 30% of Americans now believe the country is better off than it was four years ago.

On a more personal basis, 33% currently rate their own finances as good or excellent. That’s down from 37% four years ago today and from 41% on July 1, 2004. On the day President Obama took office, 35% rated their finances as good or excellent.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Monday, July 02, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 25% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-four (44%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -19.

While the Supreme Court declared that the president’s health care law is constitutional, they were unable to make it popular. Fifty-two percent (52%) still favor repeal of the law. That’s little changed from a week ago and little changed since the law was passed more than two years ago. However, while most voters still hope for repeal, the belief that it will happen has fallen sharply. Just 39% now believe repeal is even somewhat likely, down from 61% last week.

Ratings for the Supreme Court have slipped since the health care ruling. A week ago, 36% said the high court was doing a good or an excellent job. That’s down to 33% today. The big change is a rise in negative perceptions. Today, 28% say the court is doing a poor job. That’s up 11 points over the past week.

A growing number (56%) now believe the Justices pursue their own agenda rather than ruling on an impartial basis. Also, the number who see the Court as too liberal is up while the number who see it as too conservative is down. The Court’s ratings are slipping at a time when just 22% believe the government has the consent of the governed.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Tuesday, July 03, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) at least somewhat disapprove. Forty-three (43%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -18.

Last week, the president received an immediate bounce following the Supreme Court ruling on his health care law. On the night of the ruling, the single night poll results were by far the best recorded for Obama in many months. Over the past few days, the numbers have returned to where they’ve been for most of the past month—Romney up slightly among likely voters in a very close race.

On the Generic Congressional Ballot, Republicans now hold a narrow one-point advantage.

Political conservatives are following the election more closely than moderates or liberals. Fifty-one percent (51%) of conservatives are following the race daily. Among moderates, 32% are that interested. Thirty-four percent (34%) of liberals are paying that much attention. Interest in a campaign is often a leading indicator of turnout.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Friday, July 06, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty percent (50%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 24% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-one (41%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -17.



http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Saturday, July 07, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows both Mitt Romney and President Obama attracting 45% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 50% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Thirty-nine (39%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -12.

Most Americans want the federal government rather than state governments to regulate banks and financial institutions. At the same time, most think states should handle gambling and minimum wage. On other issues, the nation is more evenly divided.

Looking to the Electoral College swing states, Obama leads in New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Romney leads in North Carolina and Missouri. The race is a toss-up in Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, Florida and Colorado.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Tuesday, July 10, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 45% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-four (44%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -18.

Voters see a clear choice between Romney and Obama on the health care issue but are not convinced that the economy will improve no matter who's elected president in November. Just 32% believe the economy will get better if Obama is reelected, while 36% say the same about a Romney victory.

Republicans hold a three-point advantage on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

Voters strongly support an extension of the Bush tax cuts but are evenly divided over whether they should be extended for all Americans or just for those who earn less than $250,000 a year. Two-out-of-three Americans believe the nation is already overtaxed. Most believe raising taxes hurts the economy. Fifty-one percent (51%) believe taxes will go up if the president is reelected, compared to 31% who expect higher taxes if Romney wins.

Additionally, 66% believe the government should cut spending to help the economy. Most voters doubt that spending will be cut regardless of who wins the White House.

Half (49%) favor a proposal that would prevent federal, state and local governments combined from taking more than 30% of anyone’s income in taxes. Thirty percent (30%) are opposed.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Wednesday, July 11, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 45%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-one (41%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -14.

Forty-seven percent (47%) give the president good marks for leadership.

Voters see a clear choice between Romney and Obama on the health care issue but are not convinced the economy will improve no matter who's elected president in November. Just 32% believe the economy will get better if Obama is reelected, while 36% say the same about a Romney victory.

Voters strongly support an extension of the Bush tax cuts but are evenly divided over whether they should be extended for all Americans or just for those who earn less than $250,000 a year. Two-out-of-three Americans believe the nation is already overtaxed. Most believe raising taxes hurts the economy. Fifty-one percent (51%) believe taxes will go up if the president is reelected, compared to 31% who expect higher taxes if Romney wins.

Additionally, 66% believe the government should cut spending to help the economy. Most voters doubt that spending will be cut regardless of who wins the White House.

Consumer confidence has fallen seven points since last Friday's disappointing jobs report. At 80.6, the Rasmussen Consumer Index shows confidence is now just two points above the 2012 low and down 17 points from the year’s high water mark. It typically takes up to a week before the impact of a jobs report on confidence is fully captured.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Thursday, July 12, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 45%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-three (43%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -16.

Thirty-two percent (32%) believe the country is generally heading in the right direction. Forty-one percent (41%) of workers expect to be earning more in a year. That’s down two percentage points since March.

Forty-four percent (44%) of Republicans are following the race on a daily basis along with 34% of Democrats. Interest in the race is typically a good indicator of potential turnout. Platinum Members can see data on interest in the race, commitment to each candidate and detailed demographic information updated on a daily basis.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

NC Susan

Deceased

[Times files]
Brace yourselves for another nail-biter presidential election in Florida. Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are essentially tied in America's biggest battleground state, with 46 percent of likely Florida voters supporting the president, 45 percent backing the former Massachusetts governor.
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Monday, July 16, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) more are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-one (41%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -15.

Over the past 20 days, the candidates have been within three points of each other every single day. During that stretch, Romney has held the advantage 11 times, Obama has been on top four times, and they were tied on five days. Over that 20-day period, the president’s support has stayed between 44% and 46% every single day. Romney has stayed in the 44% to 47% range.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Tuesday, July 17, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) more are undecided. Every day for the past three weeks, the president’s support has stayed between 44% and 46%. Romney has stayed in the 44% to 47% range in that same period. See tracking history.

Forty-one percent (41%) of Likely U.S. Voters see Romney’s record in business as a reason to vote for him, while an equal number see it primarily as a reason to vote against him. That’s a more negative assessment than voters offered a couple of months ago, suggesting the Obama campaign attacks may be having some impact. However, 67% believe Romney is at least as ethical as most politicians. Sixty percent (60%) say the same about Obama.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 25% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-two (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -17.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Wednesday, July 18, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 46%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) more are undecided.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) believe venture capital companies are better than government programs at creating jobs. Most Republicans and unaffiliated voters hold that view but a plurality of Democrats see government programs as the better approach.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-two (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -16.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Thursday, July 19, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) more are undecided.

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Romney supporters are certain they will vote for him and won’t change their mind. Eighty-one percent (81%) of Obama voters are that certain. Platinum Members can see detailed information on a daily basis.

In the toss-up state of Virginia, Obama leads by a point. Virginia is one of seven toss-ups in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. New numbers released this morning show the Virginia Senate race is also a toss-up.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-three (43%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -17.

Republicans have a slight edge in the Senate Balance of Power rankings.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of voters believe the president is doing a good or an excellent job handling the economy. Forty-eight percent (48%) rate his performance as poor in this area.

Twenty-eight percent (28%) believe the country is generally heading in the right direction.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Sunday, July 22, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) more are undecided.

Romney has a 24-point lead among military veterans.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty percent (50%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 25% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-one (41%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -16.

Just 18% of homeowners expect their home to go up in value over the coming year, while 25% expect the value of their home to go down. Longer-term expectations are among the lowest ever recorded.

Forty-seven percent (47%) believe it is too easy for Americans to get food stamps. Eighteen percent (18%) believe it is too hard. Forty-nine percent (49%) of Americans believe that federal welfare programs actually increase the level of poverty in the United States. Just 20% believe they reduce the level of poverty. Eighty-three percent (83%) favor work requirements for welfare recipients.

The president leads by four in Pennsylvania. The Keystone State is rated as Leans Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Monday, July 23, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 43%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) more are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty percent (50%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -14.

Most voters continue to favor repeal of the president’s health care law.

Just 14% rate the US economy as good or excellent. Rex Nutting of Marketwatch.com has included the Rasmussen Consumer Index as one of seven indicators to watch that could decide the election.

Fewer than half of all Americans believe buying a home is the best investment a family can make.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Tuesday, July 24, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 45% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty percent (50%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 28% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -12.

New data shows why the president’s “you didn’t build that” comments have created such a furor. Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Likely Voters believe that small business owners work harder than others. Seventy-two percent (72%) believe those who start businesses are primarily responsible for the success or failure of their own business. Most also believe that entrepreneurs create more jobs than either government programs or big business.

Republicans continue to hold a modest three-point edge on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Thursday, July 26, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-one percent (41%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -15.

Today, consumer confidence has fallen to the lowest level of 2012. Most Americans believe both the economy and their own personal finances are getting worse.

Long-term optimism about the economy has fallen to the lowest level ever measured by Rasmussen Reports. Just 40% expect the economy to be stronger in five years. That’s down from 46% a year ago, 50% two years ago and 58% three years ago. Most believe the housing market will take more than three years to recover.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Friday, July 27, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting 49% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

The numbers are similar to the 49% to 43% advantage Romney enjoys on the question of who is trusted more to handle the economy.

Seventy percent (70%) of voters see Obama as politically liberal, while 67% see Romney as a conservative. However, the president is seen as more extreme ideologically. Forty-three percent (43%) see him as Very Liberal, while just 24% believe Romney is Very Conservative. Most voters are either politically Moderate or Somewhat Conservative. Sixty-two percent (62%) place Romney in that group while just 25% say the same for Obama.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 25% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -17.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Monday, July 30, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

Fifty-five percent (55%) favor repeal of the president’s health care law. Most (57%) say they haven’t yet been affected by the law, but concerns about cost continue to be the top priority for health care reform.

Just 14% believe that today’s children will be better off than their parents. That’s the lowest level of optimism ever measured.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -16.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

NC Susan

Deceased
July 30, 2012

Unpleasant electoral college math for Romney


With less than 100 days to go before the election, President Obama has a decisive advantage in 12 swing states that would give him a comfortable margin of victory in the electoral college if the election were held today.

The Hill:

The crucial battleground states number about a dozen: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Taking the polling averages used by Nate Silver in the New York Times, the president is ahead in 10 of the 12 vital states. If those polls were borne out on Election Day, Obama would coast to victory with 332 electoral college votes. Only 270 votes are needed to win the presidency.

Awarding Obama only the states in which he now leads by 3 percentage points or more in the polling averages still sees him safely home.

By that measure, as of last Friday, he would win 8 of the 12 battlegrounds, for a total of 290 electoral votes.

Romney victories in Florida, Missouri, North Carolina and Virginia would leave the Republican marooned on 248 electoral votes.

Strategists including Karl Rove have, in recent months, noted that Romney's path to victory is a challenging one in terms of the electoral map.

Now, Democrats are citing the same argument to justify their guarded confidence.

"All the swing states this time are places [Obama] has been able to win in the past," said David Beattie, a Florida-based Democratic pollster. "Some of them, like Nevada and Colorado, are pretty solidly in his direction. One of the most optimistic things for Obama is that Iowa and Virginia are still regarded as swing states."

It should be stressed that several of these states are going to be more competitive than they are now. And there's a chance that the upper midwest states of Michigan and Minnesota can be added to that list if Romney continues to poll well.

The math is daunting for Romney but far from impossible. A strong convention will go a long way toward closing the gap and making Obama sweat.

Read more: http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2012/07/unpleasant_electoral_college_math_for_romney.html#ixzz227rSlPmR
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Tuesday, July 31, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 25% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-three percent (43%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -18.

Romney has a 20-point advantage among white voters. Obama is supported by 91% of black voters and 57% of other minority voters.

A third of Americans favor a ban on all television political advertising. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, says the data “suggests many Americans view political campaigns and political advertising as a form of civic pollution.” Just 43% believe American elections are fair to voters.

The president’s support has stayed between 43% and 45% for ten straight days. During that stretch, Romney’s support has been between 46% and 49% every day. See tracking history.

Most voters have not yet felt any personal impact from the president’s health care law. Overall, 15% have been helped by the law and 25% have been hurt. As they have consistently for years, most Americans believe cost control should be the top priority for health care reform. Only 23% rate providing coverage for the uninsured as most important.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Wednesday, August 01, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Most voters under 40 prefer Obama while most over 40 support Romney. The gender gap is alive and well. Obama does about 14 points better among women than men. Among white voters, Romney leads 56% to 35%. Obama has an overwhelming lead among black voters and leads by a two-to-one margin among other minority voters. All of these dynamics are similar to Election 2008.

In Missouri, Romney leads by six. The state is rated Leans Romney in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. The projections show that Obama is likely to win states with 201 Electoral College Votes while Romney is likely to win in states with 170. Thirteen states with 167 Electoral College Votes are either Toss-Ups or Leaners.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-three percent (43%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -17.

Confidence in the labor market has fallen to the lowest level of 2012. Twenty percent (20%) of workers report their employers are hiring while 22% report layoffs. These are the weakest hiring expectations in nine months.

Thirty-four percent (34%) believe the Supreme Court is doing a good or an excellent job while 22% say poor. Thirty-five percent (35%) of voters believe the Supreme Court is too liberal, while 27% say it is too conservative. Voters tend to see the balance between individual rights and national security concerns as appropriate.

However, 68% believe there are too many laws in the United States. Half (50%) say there are too many people in jail for minor, non-violent crimes. On the balance between individual freedom and government power, 66% believe that there is too much government power and too little individual freedom. Just eight percent (8%) believe the opposite to be true.

Forty-six percent (46%) say Election 2012 offers a choice between the lesser of two evils. Republicans and unaffiliated voters are more likely than Democrats to see the choice in such a negative way.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 

TerriHaute

Hoosier Gardener
Thursday, August 02, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns support from 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Fifty-one percent (51%) consider Romney’s views to be in the mainstream while 37% say they’re extreme. Voters are more evenly divided on the president. Forty-four percent (44%) say Obama’s views are mainstream while 47% consider them extreme. Forty-six percent (46%) say Election 2012 offers a choice between the lesser of two evils.

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 45% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) at least somewhat disapprove. Currently, 23% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-four percent (44%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -21 (see trends).

Twenty-nine percent (29%) believe the country is generally heading in the right direction. Sixty-two percent (62%) believe the US is still in a recession. Overall, for the full month of July, consumer confidence fell to the lowest level of the year.

Thirty-three percent (33%) give the president good or excellent marks for handling the economy. Forty-nine percent (49%) say he’s done a poor job in this area. Not surprisingly, 82% of Republicans give the president poor marks on the economy. So do 16% of Democrats.

On national security matters, the president gets positive reviews from 45% and negatives from 35%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
 
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