Celestial Space Weather/Sun Spot

TxGal

Day by day
Yesterday we had a new Sunspot show up and I did not report here right away and it did what I expected it faded away.
The spotless day count is now 207 days and holding at 59% of the year without Sunspots.
watching this happen this year and know most of these sunspots they are counting as Sunspots would not have been seen 400 years ago during the last Grand Solar Minima and that being so we are in a deep Grand Solar Minima and just how long this will continue is rally anyones best guess but we can look into past history and find these events can go on for many years and 30 to 40 even 60 years has happened before. Over time and after many of these cycles will eventually come to a major life changing ice age that can last for thousands of years.

It just keeps getting worse...thanks, Publius! Very important info.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
One more day to go before the end of the year 2018.
The Sun has just gone a two week stretch without Sunspots (14 days) bringing the total Spotless count for the year to 220 and bringing the percentage of the year without sunspots up to 61%
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
We ended the year 2018 with 221 spotless days with 61% of the year spotless.

Now entering day one of new year (2019) and now have a developing Sunspot that may linger for a few days.
Only time will tell how the year 2019 will play out but if 2017 is any indicator of how it's going to play out we're in trouble.
Keep in mind that most of the sunspots that are being reported and counted as sunspots would not have been seen or counted 400 years ago during the last major solar minima, that being so the year 2017 was 98% spotless.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
Eight days into the new year of 2019 and we have our first spotless day. The year starts a new run of counting sunspots and spotless days, but the deep solar minima is ongoing from the last few years.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
Ok; today a little fun with numbers!
We are now 14 days into the year 2019 and we have 50% of the year without Sunspots and the reason being is we went 7 days with a small sun spot and just went another 7 days without! 50/50.
So yes were are in a spotless stretch at 7 days and counting.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
So its gone a 14 day streach without sunspots and we have a new sunspot ending the spotless sun.
We are now at 67% of the year spotless.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
Back to blank and at 15 spotless days and 47% of the year 2019 without sunspots. Right now many would like to see some of the bogus global warming the left is pu$hing to enrich them$elve$.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
We have racked up another two week string of Spotless days to the calendar year making for a total of 28 days and 62% of the year 2019 spotless.
 

Oreally

Right from the start
you gotta love the New York Times!

today they published this article:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/13/opinion/aliens-climate-change.html

basically a screed about how terrible the warming is, and how the world is about to die of hot....written by a pseudo- American --- one Farhad Manjoo,

and ALL the comments were in total agreement with it....


so i thought 'd put in a little dissent.

it took a while to fit my comment into he 1500 word limit... but as soon as i tried to post it

WHAM . . . "comments closed" after only 510 comments ( now usually you will see thousands of comment on an article there)

and i wasn't allowed to put it there.

laugh.

what are they going to do when reality hits them next year and in 2022?


"why does the entire Russian scientific establishment believe that we are on the verge of a new little ice age. supported , for example, by the renowned astrophysicist who is head of the Russian unit maintaining the international space station.

and, the mathematician & solar physicist , Dr. Zarkova, maintains, with impeccable historical statistical analysis, says that we could be looking at the beginning of a new ice age that could last 50-250 years?

and, how come only one of 98 of the climate models used by the IPCC have accurately predicted anything in 25 years.

and,in 2006 we were assured by NOAA that by this year, all the ice in the north pole would be gone?

there has been hot weather in Australia, but i also just sat through a week of insanely cold weather in Wisconsin.

extreme climate volatility is indicative of what always happens when a dynamical system is about to break to a new equilibrium.

how can we ignore the historical correlation between the lack of sunspots and the onset of extreme cold weather, seen since the invention of telescopes in the early 1600's?

today, we see NO sunspots in this solar cycle.

what can explain the clear pattern of rise and fall in the global climate that has existed for the last 4 million years, as shown in the Greenland ice core samples. all occurring long before our industrial civilization.

yes, i do see imminent food shortages, population movements, political turmoil, etc, as the AGW people decry, but from an entirely different cause."

man! talk about fascism and censorship....
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
Right now it February 21 we are 52 days into the year 2019.

So far we had 17 days with Sunspots.

We have 35 days without Sunspots or Spotless.

With being 52 days into the calendar year 2019 we are at 67% of the year without Sunspots.
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Somehow I missed seeing this yesterday. Thanks for the report.

What is the longest stretch of consecutive days without sunspots, since the first of this year, do you know?
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
As of today We have gone four weeks or 28 days with no sunspots.

This makes a total of 43 spotless days so far this year bringing precent of the year spotless up to 73%
 

Faroe

Un-spun
(Feb 28) Today's Suspicious Observers was esp. good. Approx. 8 minutes.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7sPxlIhNTs&feature=em-uploademail

Curious about the Van Allen Belt? I need to take a physics course. I don't have the background to do any more than accept Davidson's word for it, but for now, that will do. He says, we could have sent a manned craft through it with 1960's technology. About the 3 minute mark.

Also, moon magnetic anomalies could have been due to past preserved solar plasma hits.

Some Cali Russian River footage of bad flooding. :(
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
Somehow I missed seeing this yesterday. Thanks for the report.

What is the longest stretch of consecutive days without sunspots, since the first of this year, do you know?




It has happened and before my starting this thread but I was not keeping track.

For the years 2008 and 2009 keep in mind there is only 365 days to a year, so it may have gone a whole month or more at a time.

2008 there was a total of 268 spotless days and made for 73% of the year spotless.
2009 went 260 days spotless and amounted to 71% of the year spotless.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
Ok; for anyone thats not paying attention we went the whole month of February without Sunspots and February this year has only 28 days.
As of now we have gone 33 days without sunspots so a whole month by any measure. How much more it will go before we see even a micro sized sunspot I can't say it's anyones best guess.
 
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Sam2

Free Range Prisoner
Publius, If it would not be too much work, could you track the number of days per month without sunspots, for say 6 months.?

Though we can see the trend developing, that would add a little color to the trend, without have to think too hard.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
Today we have one small sunspot that popped up in the middle of the sun.
As of now we are 66 days into the calendar year 2019.
So far for the year 2019 we have a total of 18 days with sunspots.
A total of 48 day spotless/no sunspots.
With 66 days into the calender year we are at 73% of the year without sunspots.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
We're back to blank sun again and it took a few days. This last sun spot gave us two CME's blasts and nothing to be worried about.
Right now we're starting back to a new stretch of spotless days and total count is now 49 spotless days and percentage of the calendar year without sunspots has dropped back to 68% from 73%.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
Ok; Four days later and we have another new Sunspot and like the last it one showed u in the middle of the viewable Sun.
Have to see if this Sunspot gives us a CME like the last one did.
Right now we have a total spotless count of 53 days and at 69% of the calendar year without Sunspots.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
we are back to spotless-blank Sun and starting day one of spotless Sun.
So far we are 85 days into the year 2019.
We have had 31 of the 85 days with Sunspots
53 days spotless, blank-no Sunspots.
With 85 days into the calander year 2019 we are at 64% of the year without Sunspots.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
New Sunspot and that spotless run did not last long perhaps we can get some of that global warming they were talking about.
The new sunspot seems to be stable and no risk of solar flares this time.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Thanks, Publius, we were just talking about sunspots yesterday around here and wondered how the sun was doing now.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
Ok; I did not post anthing yesterday but we had a new Sunspot developing right on the eastern edge of the Sun and it was not offical, but today it is and it's a big one too bigger than earth.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Ok; I did not post anthing yesterday but we had a new Sunspot developing right on the eastern edge of the Sun and it was not offical, but today it is and it's a big one too bigger than earth.

Interesting, thanks for this info....hopefully no CME with it or heading toward the earth.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
We had another Sunspot show up joining the other one.

Earler this year There was an International panel of experts who gathered at NOAA's annual Space Weather Workshop to forecast the next Solar Cycle. If the panel is correct, already-low Sunspot counts will reach a nadir (low point) sometime between July 2019 and September 2020, followed by a slow recovery toward a new Solar Maximum in 2023-2026

"We expect Solar Cycle 25 will be very similar to Cycle 24: another fairly weak maximum, preceded by a long deep minimum," says panel co-chair Lisa Upton, a solar physicist with Space Systems Research Corp.

More to read at link for full article, LINK: http://spaceweatherarchive.com/2019/04/10/experts-predict-the-solar-cycle
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
So we're back to blank Sun again.
The above post #239 and the link I think is telling of whats to come in the next few years, but giving an exstended solar forcast is like fortune telling! We only have past events to go by.
 
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