Solar The Grand Solar Minimum (ORIGINAL)

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Martinhouse

Deceased
If anyone is watching this podcast right now, could they please post the running time their screen is telling them? Then I'll know when I'll be able to listen to this.

Thanks so much!

I'm still constantly checking so I can catch when any of the other guys we listen to get onto this and post something for us.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast premiering at about 9:30 central time (35 mts from now)

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mQy7UWuGyFQ


Taal Volcano Erupts In The Phillipines - Northwest Snow Piles Up As Easterly Storm Departs Frigidly

Run time 23:55

11 dead as tornadoes, heavy rain, wicked winds lash southern US, Midwest http://bit.ly/3a6GtHi
Snow emergency canceled in Madison, Sun Prairie, Monona and McFarland http://bit.ly/36PgFNU
2 tornadoes touched down in Ohio Saturday night http://bit.ly/35QfoF4
Major storm moves off East Coast as temperatures drop https://yhoo.it/2Tkylgy
Oregon girl dead, brother missing after being swept out to sea with father https://fxn.ws/37Z9GlH
record warmth transitions to ice and snow http://bit.ly/2QNJ4yw
 
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TxGal

Day by day
TxGal, thanks for the running time and also for the new information.

I hate waiting like this! Grrrr!

You're welcome, and understand that! I think the GSM News podcast went off into the big storms and wasn't just about the eruption.

I'm not staying up to watch the next one from Diamond, I'll have to catch it in the morning!
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
I think I'll wait and crochet until Diamond comes on. I'll catch the GSM podcast tomorrow when it's posted the way my computer will play it.

I'm getting so that I'd rather listen to Diamond yelling than to Jake mispronouncing everything! :) :)

G'night
 

BenIan

Veteran Member
You wanna have some fun...listen to Diamond like I do...

I up the speed of the playback on the youtube video to 1.5 (or 1.75 if I'm feeling particularly mentally alert)...

Enjoy :rofl:
 

Melodi

Disaster Cat
I can't play video easily during this storm but I will look, that said I haven't seen anywhere else that it is a VI14 but then the charts I've seen only seem to go up to an eight, so I think again we are dealing with different charts, different systems, possibly different parts of the world and how they measure things.

So far this eruption seems to be medium-sized but with a lot of us, it is not yet as bad as Pinatubo but it COULD become that bad in the coming days.

If it does then almost certainly the Northern hemisphere is in for a colder/wetter Summer, probably not a catastrophic one unless we get Krakatoa size or another couple of blows with large ash clouds say in Iceland, Italy or even Indonesia.

But this really is something to watch because - it isn't over and Solar Minimums tend to be associated with volcanic eruptions.
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
Melodi... I think you misread something...ain't no way this eruption is a VEI*FOURTEEN*. It may be a VEI4, but I don't know if any official determination has been made or announced. The eruption in 1977 was a VEI2.

It doesn't appear this volcano is large enough to hit the upper ranges of the VEI scale...

But the fact the ash cloud reached 55,000 feet is concerning.

Summerthyme
 

TxGal

Day by day

1578926429417.png

Solar Wind, Incoming

January 13, 2020 Cap Allon


Earth’s magnetic field could feel a bump in pressure on January 14th and 15th when a complex stream of solar wind reaches our planet.

The gaseous material is a mixture of exhaust from two or perhaps three holes in the sun’s atmosphere, explains spaceweather.com‘s Dr. Tony Phillips.

And while no geomagnetic storms are expected, Arctic sky watchers will likely be treated to an extra dose of green overhead this week, and perhaps a further burst of activity beneath their feet, too:


Given Earth’s waning magnetosphere –due to the intensifying GSM & ongoing magnetic excursion/reversal– ‘space weather’ events that would have ordinarily passed by unnoticed are having an increasingly-bigger impact here on the ground.

So who really knows what effects this incoming solar wind might have…

Watch for an uptick in seismic & volcanic activity, and keep an eye on those electrical transformers — our modern grid-dependent civilization is entering uncertain times.

Stay tuned for updates.
 

TxGal

Day by day

Taal volcano (Luzon, Philippines): continuing lava fountains and new vents were observed

Mon, 13 Jan 2020, 12:43


Detected thermal signals from the Taal´s main crater captured by satellite (image: Sentinel 2)
PHIVOLCS recorded that the activity of the volcano continues with lava fountaining. Lava fountains on the N flank remain active, currently about 500 m long. New vents were observed.

A steam plumes rose 2 km above the summit. A volcanic ash is dispersed towards the southwest.

Since the 12 January at 13:00 local time the seismic station records 144 volcano-tectonic earthquakes of which 44 earthquakes were felt in area of Tagaytay, Alitagtag, Lemery, Santo Tomas, Talisay, and Batangas. Increased seismic activity is accompanied by magma movement under the volcano which may lead to next eruptive activity.
 

TxGal

Day by day

Why Are Volcanoes All Over The Globe Suddenly Shooting Giant Clouds Of Ash Miles Into The Air?

January 12, 2020 by Michael Snyder

1578930056935.png

There certainly hasn’t been a lack of seismic activity so far in 2020. Just a few days ago, I wrote about the horrific earthquake swarm that Puerto Rico is currently experiencing. More than 1,000 earthquakes have rattled Puerto Rico so far, and as you will see below, it was just hit by another very large earthquake. But right now volcanic eruptions have taken center stage. In particular, a massive eruption in the Philippines is making headlines all over the world, but what most people don’t realize is that several other volcanoes have also blown their tops in spectacular fashion within the past week. Suddenly, volcanoes all over the globe are shooting giant clouds of ash miles into the air, and this is greatly puzzling many of the experts.

Let’s review what we have witnessed over the past 7 days.

Last Tuesday, one of the most important volcanoes in Alaska shot hot ash 25,000 feet into the air

Shishaldin Volcano erupted at 5 a.m. Tuesday, the Alaska Volcano Observatory announced, and sent up an initial ash cloud to 19,000 feet. Clouds initially obscured the mountain, but satellite imagery confirmed the ash cloud, U.S. Geological Survey geophysicist Hans Schwaiger said.
Seismicity diminished for a few hours, but it then increased again. During the increase, the volcano spewed an ash cloud to 25,000 feet, the observatory announced. The later eruption increased the volume of ash.

There are 5280 feet in a mile, and so we are talking about an ash cloud nearly 5 miles high.

Then on Thursday, Mt. Popocatepetl in Mexico shot hot ash nearly 4 miles into the sky

Mexico’s Popocatépetl volcano burst to life on Thursday in a spectacular gush of lava and clouds of ash that hurled incandescent rock about 20,000 feet into the sky.
The dramatic explosion of the active stratovolcano, a little over 40 miles southeast of Mexico City, was captured on video by Mexico’s National Center for Disaster Prevention, CENAPRED.

Those that follow my work on a regular basis already know that I am deeply concerned about Mt. Popocatepetl. It has the potential to create the worst natural disaster in the modern history of North America, because it is quite close to Mexico City. The following summary of the potential threat that Mt. Popocatepetl poses comes from one of my previous articles

Approximately 26 million people live within 60 miles of Popocatepetl’s crater, and so we are talking about the potential for death and destruction on a scale that is difficult to imagine. In ancient times, Mt. Popocatepetl buried entire Aztec cities in super-heated mud, but then it went to sleep for about 1,000 years. Unfortunately for us, it started waking up again in the 1990s, and now this is the most active that we have seen it ever since the volcano originally reawakened.

Let us hope that Mt. Popocatepetl settles down, because the death and destruction that a catastrophic eruption would cause would be off the charts.

Meanwhile, down in South America the Sabancaya volcano in Peru just shot a plume of volcanic ash approximately 24,000 feet into the air

Explosive activity continues. Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Buenos Aires warned about a volcanic ash plume that rose up to estimated 24000 ft (7300 m) altitude or flight level 240 and is moving at 15 kts in S direction.
But hardly anyone is paying any attention to what just took place in Peru because of what just happened in the Philippines.

On Sunday, Taal volcano roared to life, and it is being reported that the eruption sent “steam, ash and pebbles up to 10 to 15 kilometers (6 to 9 miles) into the sky”.

Can you imagine that?

According to USA Today, ash has already reached Manila, and “red-hot lava” has started gushing out of the volcano…

Red-hot lava gushed from of a Philippine volcano on Monday after a sudden eruption of ash and steam that forced villagers to flee and shut down Manila’s international airport, offices and schools.
There were no immediate reports of casualties or major damage from Taal volcano’s eruption south of the capital that began Sunday. But clouds of ash blew more than 100 kilometers (62 miles) north, reaching the bustling capital, Manila, and forcing the shutdown of the country’s main airport with more than 240 international and domestic flights cancelled so far.
Unfortunately, authorities are warning that the worst may still be yet to come.

In fact, they are telling us that a “hazardous explosive eruption” could literally happen at any moment…

“The earthquakes were strong, and it felt like there was a monster coming out” as in the movies, Cookie Siscar, who had left the area and was relaying a report from her husband, Emer, a poultry farmer, told the Times.
The Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology increased its threat level for Taal Volcano to four out of five, saying that a “hazardous explosive eruption” could happen at any minute

Meanwhile, we continue to see unusual earthquake activity all over the globe.

After already experiencing more than 1,000 earthquakes since the beginning of 2020, Puerto Rico was hit by a magnitude 5.9 quake on Saturday

A magnitude 5.9 quake shook Puerto Rico on Saturday, causing further damage along the island’s southern coast, where previous recent quakes have toppled homes and schools.
The U.S. Geological Survey said the 8:54 a.m. (1254 GMT) quake hit 8 miles (13 kilometers) southeast of Guanica at a shallow depth of 3 miles (5 kilometers).

For quite a while, I have been warning that our planet is becoming increasingly unstable and that the shaking is only going to get worse.

I know that a lot of people didn’t believe me at first, and that is okay.

After the events of the last few days, perhaps a few more people will start to understand what is going on.

There have always been earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, but for most of our lives we have been able to assume that our planet is generally stable.

Unfortunately, that is no longer a safe assumption.

We have entered a period of time when all of the old assumptions will no longer apply, and everything that can be shaken will be shaken.
 

Melodi

Disaster Cat
Yeah I'm finding all the charts and levels confusing, I figure I'm probably not the only one and something will come in the next day or two (or someone here) that will explain things better.

Meanwhile, this still seems a medium-sized eruption but in a very bad location (near a major capital city) with a big ash cloud that could affect the weather and now magma that could make things much worse if it doesn't stop soon.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Well, so far I'm not reading anything that says we need to be running around with our hair on fire to stock up. That's a relief!
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Relief here, too, for the same thing!

But...........did you read what Felix just posted? I've only read his title so far but YIKES!

Another big relief...I called the guy who mows for me and he came out this afternoon and hauled all ten bags of feed from my truck to where I'd arranged the trash cans to contain it. Now my truck won't get four flat tires or a rear end turned into steel wool if I need to drive somewhere! I overpaid him and it was worth every penny!

Now to read that IceAgeNow article!
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
GOOD LORD, this is a TERRIBLE VOLCANO!!!!!

TxGal, you might want to post the link here for this iceagenow article. It's really something!
 
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TxGal

Day by day
Oh my, thanks, Martinhouse, posting below....hell's bells!!


Taal is a GSM activated Volcano

January 13, 2020 by Robert

“Should the crater collapse and the lake empty into the magma chamber the resulting explosion would make Kraotoa a firecracker in comparison.”
– J.H. Walker
___________
Taal is a GSM activated Volcano

J.H. Walker

This volcano has erupted many times during the high AM periods of the Sun Trefoil Orbit around the Solar System Barry Centre during a Grand Solar Minimum (GSM). An example are the linking dates though the SC20 period of high AM phase of the Cool period, and the similar events during the Gleissberg period Solar Cycles of SC12,13,14.

It has erupted during the gap between Spoorer and Maunder, during the Maunder period, during the Gleissberg period between Maunder and Dalton, during Dalton. It is a GSM activated Volcano, and even more dangerous that it is in the middle of a massive lake.

Should the crater collapse and the lake empty into the magma chamber the resulting explosion would make Kraotoa a firecracker in comparison.

Here are Wikipedia entries about the Taal Volcano

There have been 33 recorded eruptions at Taal since 1572.

Taal Volcano - Wikipedia

The first eruption of which there is any record occurred in 1572, the year the Augustinian friars founded the town of Taal on the shores of the lake (on what is now San Nicolas, Batangas). In 1591, another mild eruption took place, featuring great masses of smoke issuing forth from the crater. From 1605 to 1611, the volcano displayed such great activity that Father Torna de Abreu had a huge cross of anubing wood erected on the brink of the crater.[29]

The dormant Binintiang Malaki (Big Leg) cone was the center of the 1707 and 1715 eruptions
Between 1707 and 1731, the centre of activity shifted from the Main Crater to other parts of Volcano Island.

The eruptions of 1707 and 1715 occurred in Binitiang Malaki crater (the cinder cone visible from Tagaytay City). Minor eruptions also emanated from the Binintiang Munti crater on the westernmost tip of the island in 1709 and 1729.

A more violent event happened on September 24, 1716, when the whole south eastern portion of the crater of (Calauit), opposite Mount Macolod, was blown out. The 1731 eruption off Pira-Piraso, or the eastern tip of the island, created a new island.[30] No studies have been done to determine whether Napayon or Bubuin Island was formed in the eruption, or just a pumice raft.

Activity returned to the Main Crater in 1749, and it was remembered for being particularly violent (VEI = 4). Then came the great 200-day eruption of 1754, the greatest eruption of Taal.

Taal remained quiet for 54 years except for a minor eruption in 1790. Not until March 1808 did another big eruption occur. While this outbreak was not as violent as the one in 1754, the immediate vicinity was covered with ashes to a depth of 84 centimetres (33 in). It brought great changes in the interior of the crater, according to chroniclers of that time. “Before, the bottom looked very deep and seemed unfathomable, but at the bottom, a liquid mass was seen in continual ebullition. After the eruption, the crater had widened and the pond within it had been reduced to one-third and the rest of the crater floor was higher and dry enough to walk over it. The height of the crater walls has diminished and near the center of the new crater floor, a little hill that continually emitted smoke. On its sides were several wells, one of which was especially remarkable for its size.”

Taal Volcano - Wikipedia
On July 19, 1874, an eruption of gases and ashes killed all the livestock on the island. From November 12–15, 1878, ashes ejected by the volcano covered the entire island. Another eruption took place in 1904, which formed a new outlet in the south eastern wall of the principal crater. As of 12 January 2020 the last eruption from the Main Crater was in 1911, which obliterated the crater floor creating the present lake. In 1965, a huge explosion sliced off a huge part of the island, moving activity to a new eruption centre, Mount Tabaro. Eruptions were also recorded in 1634, 1635, 1641, 1645, 1790, 1825, 1842, 1873, 1885, 1903, 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1976 and 1977.[28][31] Some of the major eruptions are described below: continues in WiKi

__________

J.H. adds this comment: In looking at the eruptive data Taal is an ideal candidate for a massive GSM T6/T7 eruption which would mask the effects of this ongoing Grand Solar Minimum.
http://www.landscheidt.info/images/sunssbam1620to2180gs.jpg
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Hell's bells is right!

I think this is about the worst thing I've read about the GSM, with the possible exception of the stuff about a micro-nova.

To me, a micro-nova would be better described as Gabriel's trumpet than as Hell's bells! (:
-----
I listened to the latest GSM channel podcast a little while ago. Fernandina in the Galapagos isn't nearly as large, but is still another eruption of note to add to the growing list.
 

Seeker22

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Hell's bells is right!

I think this is about the worst thing I've read about the GSM, with the possible exception of the stuff about a micro-nova.

To me, a micro-nova would be better described as Gabriel's trumpet than as Hell's bells! (:
-----
I listened to the latest GSM channel podcast a little while ago. Fernandina in the Galapagos isn't nearly as large, but is still another eruption of note to add to the growing list.

The flora and fauna on Galapagos is a time capsule. A volcano there is terrible.
 

TxGal

Day by day
We have two new podcasts from Adapt 2030 this morning:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ba4MRlxUqSU


Australia Smoke Circles Southern Hemisphere Taal Erupts (936)

Run time is 7:34

Dust, ask and smoke in both hemispheres causing strange weather extremes. Australia ash/smoke cloud from fires passed over New Zealand causing summer snow, South America next for that plume to pass over. Taal erupts in Philippines on the same low solar activity lows as was seen in 1913 which we reached in Dec 2019. Dust storms the length of Australia add to the blowing ash/smoke from the wildfires there. Question: How much debris in our atmosphere does it take before temperatures drop?

-----------------------------------------------------------------------


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gu0cOSeguQ


(3/3) Food Production Unreliable As Seasons Are Now Inconsistent

Run time is 27:18

David DuByne presents at Alternative View May 2019 in the UK describing what a 400 Grand Solar Minimum cycle is and how it has effected societies n the past. Based on the past we can get a close in time line for changes you would expect to see if the information presented is correct. You decide for yourself. (Part 2 of 3) AlternativeView.co.uk

•Magnetic Polar Wander
•SWARM stops publishing data on how fast Earth’s magnetic poles are moving
•Cloud cells on our planet are moving and colliding in new areas
•Food production becoming unreliable as seasons are now inconsistent
•Where moisture will shift as Inter Tropical Convergence Zone moves
•2019 biggest floods ever recorded in American history
•Middle East receiving new rain patterns
•If food growing areas go off line in China they find new grow areas, North Africa
•Posturing for North Africa as New Grow Zones Emerge
•Gravitational Vortex Power
•All spectrum LED grow light (Brad Buttrick Hidden Harvest)
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEUbqoAHxGo


Taal Volcano Continues Erupting With Lava Fountains - Snow Pattern Shifting Northeast - Extreme Cold

Run time is 34:05

Weekend winter storm could mark major pattern change in Northeast http://bit.ly/3a86aYc
Extreme cold takes over Montana with brutal wind chills expected http://bit.ly/30ne2AK
Schools canceled, delayed as arctic blast brings lowland snow to western Washington http://bit.ly/2NlLRgg
After snowfall, potential for ice Tuesday morning http://bit.ly/2FP7r8t
Icy roads made morning commute dangerous for drivers http://bit.ly/37VZavE
Another deep week in the west http://bit.ly/2kB5Jkd
GFS Model http://bit.ly/2R9za9i
Active Weather Pattern to Continue over the Western U.S., Heavy Rainfall for the Southeast U.S. http://bit.ly/2p2GER3 SNOWFALL ANALYSIS http://bit.ly/37ZQHZh
Alberta's Vicious Cold Snap Will "Put Everyone At Risk" This Week http://bit.ly/2RbSdjn
Extreme cold takes over Montana http://bit.ly/30ne2AK
Arctic outflow warnings issued for much of British Columbia http://bit.ly/3aa6hCo
AT LEAST 25 DIE AS RECORD-BREAKING SNOWFALL BURIES BALOCHISTAN, PAKISTAN http://bit.ly/3a0rYou
Magnitude 4.0 earthquake strikes Quebec http://bit.ly/2t6UWTg
Solar polar fields http://bit.ly/36S0Vda
3 Volcanic Eruptions From 3 Different Countries In 3 Days http://bit.ly/3a7uJEu
Volcano Live | OnGoing Taal Eruption http://bit.ly/2uK1301
TAAL VOLCANO BULLETIN 14 January http://bit.ly/2QU9jDv
Philippines Taal volcano generates lightning https://fxn.ws/35OZ8nN
Lava gushes from volcano near Manila http://bit.ly/2FPaTjD
Taal volcano news & activity updates http://bit.ly/2FLPnMz
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
Who’s Behind Those Mystery Drone Swarms? https://nym.ag/2TkWZO7
Recycling is becoming so expensive http://bit.ly/387Fy7Z
Man rescued after surviving for weeks in freezing Alaska wilderness http://bit.ly/30gam3F
Australia is dropping thousands of veggies from helicopters for hungry animals escaping bushfires https://cnn.it/3a8JOG7 Bushfire smoke plume destined to reach Australia again after circling the globe https://ab.co/3a3m5al
Can solar geoengineering mitigate both climate change and income inequality? http://bit.ly/2TkM4E1
and more
 

Sandune

Veteran Member
Those who live in the Southern Midwest and Southeast are experiencing a very mild winter. The Farmers Almanac predicted this earlier this year. On the cold side, Edmonton, CA is experiencing one of their coldest winters on record. However, I'm seeing warm areas in Northern Europe and even Russia. Siberia and Northern China are exceptions. It appears the cold is bottled up all around the Northern Hemisphere. Now we have erupting volcanoes which will upset the Jet Stream. I'm predicting the bottle is going to bust soon which will send this frigid air all the way to the Gulf.
 

Melodi

Disaster Cat
This volcano is "small" but in a very bad place and a very bad history - it is inside a lake which means eruptions can cause "lake tsunamis" with at least 10,000 people living on the lakeshore (with good volcanic soil for farming) it is also right near the capital city and spewing ash all over it.

It has the potential (and is expected to have) a huge explosive eruption (it is already spewing magma) which could really up the over-all damage/threat levels if it does blow itself sky high.

That said, we are not at Krakatoa level yet, that is possible as is the weather problems created by quite a number of volcanoes going off all at once. One or two of them might not affect the weather but six or eight of them probably will.

Meanwhile, it is terrible for people who live in the area, the rest of us have to wait and see what happens longer term.

A hint will be the start of blood-red sunrises and sunsets from the ash.
 

TxGal

Day by day

2020: The Lowest Solar Activity In Over 200 Years
by Tyler Durden

Tue, 01/14/2020 - 18:25

Authored by Mac Slavo via SHTFplan.com,

As we move further into 2020, solar activity dwindles. This year, solar activity will be marked as the lowest in over 200 years. The low in the sun’s 11-year cycle will also have at least some repercussions for the climate here on Earth.

1579046029130.png
On December 20, 2019, Iceland received one of the largest snow storms in its history. The so-called “10-year storm,” brought winds of 100 miles per hour (161 km/h), with one weather station reporting gusts of up to 149 mph (240 km/h), according to a report by Interesting Engineering.

Iceland’s, Europe’s and North America’s weather have historically been tied to the sunspot activity of the Sun. According to NASA, in 2020, the Sun, which is currently in solar cycle number 25, will reach its lowest activity in over 200 years. That means “space weather” will be favorable for exploration beyond Earth, yet it could also very well mean we should prepare for odd or different weather patterns.

The solar cycle is a periodic 11-year fluctuation in the Sun’s magnetic field, during which its North and South poles trade places. This has an enormous effect on the number and size of sunspots, the level of solar radiation, and the ejection of solar material comprised of flares and coronal loops. –Interesting Engineering.


1579046109024.png

When solar activity gets really low, it can have the effect of a “mini ice age.” The period between 1645 and 1715 was marked by a prolonged sunspot minimum, and this corresponded to a downturn in temperatures in Europe and North America. Named after astronomers Edward Maunder and his wife Annie Russell Maunder, this period became known as the Maunder Minimum. It is also known as “The Little Ice Age.”

View: https://youtu.be/zFlDIzfMgJA

Predictions for solar cycle #25 made by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), NASA and the International Solar Energy Society (ISES) anticipate a deep minimum and a maximum that will occur between the years 2023 and 2026. During that maximum, they predict the Sun will have between 95 and 130 sunspots.

* * *
 

TxGal

Day by day
Far too many pics to bring over here, but it's worth a look-see:


Philippines volcano spews lava into the sky again and trembles all day in possible sign of a BIGGER eruption that could leave thousands stranded for MONTHS
  • Villages were blanketed in volcanic ash after the Taal volcano in the Philippines suddenly erupted on Sunday
  • The volcano is still spurting fountains of red-hot lava half a mile into the sky and causing volcanic earthquakes
  • Experts say Taal's previous eruptions have lasted several months which could leave thousands stranded
  • Nearly 40,000 people have evacuated the surrounding area so far but thousands more are refusing to leave
By Tim Stickings For Mailonline and Afp

Published: 05:59 EST, 14 January 2020 | Updated: 10:38 EST, 14 January 2020

A Philippine volcano was trembling and spewing out fountains of lava again today as thousands fled their homes amid warnings of a bigger and more dangerous eruption which could leave them stranded for months.

Plumes of steam were pouring out of the volcano today after villages in the Philippines were blanketed in ash when the volcano exploded into life on Sunday.

Nearly 40,000 people have evacuated the area so far but thousands more are refusing to leave, defying the warnings of disaster agencies who say a further 'explosive eruption' could be imminent.

Experts say Taal's eruptions can last for several months, potentially leaving hundreds of thousands of people in limbo for months with their homes under threat from the volcano.

Dozens of volcanic tremors today have added to the region's woes and were were felt as far as in Tagaytay city, a popular tourist destination 20 miles away.

Please go to the link for more...
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Thanks. My computer actually showed me the pictures! You're right, there are a lot of them and that ash all over everything is really something!. Wonder what's in it that makes all the foliage droop like that?
 

TxGal

Day by day
Thanks. My computer actually showed me the pictures! You're right, there are a lot of them and that ash all over everything is really something!. Wonder what's in it that makes all the foliage droop like that?

I wonder if it was hot coming down....I'm pretty sure volcanic ash is acidic, but I could be wrong.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Scientists Warn Coming Ice Age a Threat to Life on the Planet

I listened to the you tube presentation and during the presentation, it was said that the temperatures would colder than the Maunder Minimum during the coming Grand Solar Minimum.
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Northern Watch, which you tube are you referring to?

Never mind, I figured it out!
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Just listened to it. Wow! He sure just comes right out and says it, doesn't he?
 
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northern watch

TB Fanatic
Taal volcano eruption could be a threat to millions and the global climate
Mario Picazo
Meteorologist, PhD
The Weather Network

Monday, January 13th 2020, 6:54 pm - When a volcano the size of Taal erupts and later enters a more explosive mode, aerosols that are ejected into the atmosphere can reach altitudes of 15 to 20 kilometres.

The Taal volcano is one of a dozen large active volcanoes in the Philippines and has recently shown signs of how active it really is by spewing ash, water vapour and other gases high up into the atmosphere. The volcano is located only 60 kilometres from Manila, the country’s capital, so authorities have urged more than half a million people in the metro and surrounding areas to evacuate.

Also on the island of Luzon, and just south of where Taal is located, lies another historic volcano called Pinatubo. Back in June 1991, this volcano caused one of the most violent volcanic eruptions of the 20th century, killing hundreds and causing the global climate to change in several areas of the planet. Taal has not experienced the same explosiveness that Pinatubo had nearly three decades ago, but according to the Institute of Volcanology in the Philippines, the potential is there.

Due to this risk, scientists at the institute have been gradually increasing the alert level from 2 this weekend to now 4 out of a maximum of 5. This level is indicative of the potential for an explosive eruption to occur in the coming days, which could be similar to the Pinatubo eruption back in the 90s.

Photo_1_1200px-Pinatubo91eruption_clark_air_base.jpg

Mount Pinatubo eruption. Credit: Wikimedia Commons

Eruptions of this magnitude often send cascading rivers of lava that can engulf entire villages and present different hazards based on their geographic location. Larger explosions that occur near a water body, such as the Taal volcano, are able to release clouds of ash that can travel hundreds of kilometres per hour downslope. The toxic gases from the eruption often mix within the cloud and carry the potential for landslides in the area they travel over.

When a volcano the size of Taal erupts and later enters a more explosive mode, a large portion of the solid material (aerosols) ejected into the atmosphere can reach altitudes of 15 to 20 kilometres. Once the solid and gas material reaches those heights, it can remain suspended in the air for months as it circulates the globe pushed by prevailing upper levels winds.

Graph_1_DCY8luGUwAEhHGu.jpg


We will know more about the impact Taal could end up having on climate and the environment as the eruption process unfolds. If the eruption ends up being as explosive as that of Pinatubo, aerosols in the atmosphere could block about 10 per cent of the solar radiation that typically reaches Earth. This reduction of solar radiation results in a cooling effect, which can be more intense in some regions than others, depending on factors such as atmospheric circulation during and after the actual eruption.

A scenario of higher aerosol concentrations would cause global surface temperatures to drop considerably, which would impact crops and the main ecosystems in the region. For instance, during the Pinatubo eruption, average temperatures in the northern hemisphere dropped close to 0.6°C.

Graph_2Pinatubo-tempvar_NASAobs.png

A temperature drop after the Mount Pinatubo explosion. Credit: NOAA
Simultaneously, temperatures in the stratosphere rose due to solar radiation absorption by the ash cloud. While levels of stratospheric ozone declined over time, sulphur dioxide that was ejected by the powerful eruption went through an oxidation process that eventually converted them into sulfuric acid droplets capable of affecting different ecosystems with acid rain.

Taal may or may not end-up fabricating a similar scenario to the one resulting from the explosions of Pinatubo or other major volcano eruptions like Krakatoa (1883), or el Chichón (1982), but time will say. In the meantime, the Philippines will need to remain alert as this region might have to adapt to a cooler temporary climate scenario if a major volcanic explosion does occur in the coming days.

The Weather Network - Taal volcano eruption could be a threat to millions and the global climate
 
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Martinhouse

Deceased
Not sure how low a temperature I've been out in, but the night I'm remembering was in NW Wisconsin on January 29 of 1966. I remember the date because it was my sister's wedding. A nearby town claimed -60. It could have been colder, but that was the lowest reading on their thermometer.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Not sure how low a temperature I've been out in, but the night I'm remembering was in NW Wisconsin on January 29 of 1966. I remember the date because it was my sister's wedding. A nearby town claimed -60. It could have been colder, but that was the lowest reading on their thermometer.

If you dress for the low temperatures, you will be OK. I have a down filled parka which keeps me warm.

My greatest concern with the coming Grand Solar Minimum is growing enough food during the shortened growing season.
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
My greatest concern, related to yours, is a sudden dip in temps during that shorter growing season, which freezes everything when it maybe be barely halfway grown. I do remember back in the '60s or 70s at that same Wisconsin location, there were snow flurries on the 4th of July weekend. They didn't amount to anything, but it was still rather amazing.

I have a down-filled parka, too, and since I moved to Arkansas from Minnesota 42+ years ago, I've worn it exactly twice!
 
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von Koehler

Has No Life - Lives on TB
While I am a fan of Fourth Turning analysis, choosing Canada as a new homeland for "Euro-Canadians" would be a disaster because this region will be extremely adversely affected during a Grand Solar Minimum. They will have trouble feeding their existing population, let alone hordes of fleeing "Euro-Canadians."

von Koehler
 

MinnesotaSmith

Membership Revoked
First new sunspots in a while:


First new sunspots in 40 days herald coming solar cycle
By Tom Metcalfe 16 hours ago
The cycle may result in dramatic space weather that could disrupt communications and power grids here on Earth.














Two new sunspots have ended a long period of relative quiet on the surface of our blazing host star, heralding the start of a new 11-year cycle of sunspot activity — resulting in sometimes dramatic space weather that could disrupt communications and power grids here on Earth.
The two new sunspots, designated as NOAA 2753 and 2754, were seen on Dec. 24 by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory — a satellite that monitors the exterior and interior of the sun from a geosynchronous orbit more than 22,000 miles (more than 35,000 kilometers) above the Earth's surface.



These are the first significant sunspots seen since November 2019 and indicate the onset of a new sunspot cycle — known as Solar Cycle 25, or SC25 — that is expected to reach a new peak of magnetic activity in about five years.


The instruments on NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory can reveal the intense magnetic fields generated by the sun that tangle as it rotates.



The instruments on NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory can reveal the intense magnetic fields generated by the sun that tangle as it rotates. (Image credit: NASA Solar Dynamics Observatory)
Visible sunspots are caused by magnetic disturbances in the sun that displace its bright outer layer and reveal the slightly cooler (and darker) interior layers, usually for a few days but sometimes for several weeks. They can vary in size, but are usually vast — often much larger than the entire Earth.
"The sun was spotless from Nov. 14 until Dec. 23," said Jan Janssens, a communications specialist with the Solar-Terrestrial Centre of Excellence in Brussels, Belgium, which coordinates studies of the sun. "This 40-days stretch of spotless days is the longest in more than 20 years," he told Live Science in an email
The instruments onboard NASA's orbiting Solar Dynamics Observatory captured imagery of the two sunspots from the new sunspot cycle on Dec. 24 — one in the sun's northern hemisphere and one in the southern hemisphere, shown here circled in red.

The instruments onboard NASA's orbiting Solar Dynamics Observatory captured imagery of the two sunspots from the new sunspot cycle on Dec. 24 — one in the sun's northern hemisphere and one in the southern hemisphere, shown here circled in red. (Image credit: NASA Solar Dynamics Observatory)
Such prolonged periods without sunspots usually happen around the time of what's called the "solar minimum" — the time of lowest sunspot activity between two solar cycles, Janssens said.
Though scientists won't have enough data for another six months to declare the start of a new sunspot cycle, "This seems to indicate that SC25 is gradually shaping up and that we are [at] or have passed the solar cycle minimum," Janssens said.
Sunspot cycles
The 11-year sunspot cycles are caused by the sun's rotation in space, according to NASA. As the star rotates roughly once every 27 days, its material acts like a fluid, so that its equator rotates much faster than its poles do.
That makes the sun's powerful magnetic fields become progressively more "tangled" — and its sunspots and other magnetic activity more violent — until the entire star reverses its magnetic polarity (sort of like electric charge, but in this case, the state is either north or south). That's a bit as if the Earth switched its north and its south magnetic poles every few years.

Sunspots from the new cycle SC25 will occur with reversed polarity closer to the poles of the sun, while sunspots from the old cycle SC24 can still occur near the sun's equator.

Sunspots from the new cycle SC25 will occur with reversed polarity closer to the poles of the sun, while sunspots from the old cycle SC24 can still occur near the sun's equator. (Image credit: Jan Janssens/STCE)
The sun's change in polarity causes its magnetic activity — and its sunspots — to eventually die down, resulting in a solar minimum. But the sun's rotating magnetic field slowly gets tangled again, and the sunspot cycle begins anew.
Sunspots from the new and old cycles can overlap by months or even years, Janssens said, but the new ones can be distinguished as members of the new SC25 cycle by their magnetic polarity — the reverse of the old SC24 cycle.
The new spots also occurred at a relatively high latitude in the northern and southern hemispheres of the sun — between 25 and 30 degrees from the equator — while sunspots of the old cycle popped up within a few degrees of the equator, he said.
The SC25 cycle is now expected to reach a peak in about 2024, before declining to a new minimum in about 2031, according to a prediction by the Space Weather Prediction Center.
But "certainly in 2020 there are still many spotless days ahead and solar activity will remain very-low to low," Janssens said.
The new sunspots were mapped in late December by NASA's orbiting Solar Dynamics Observatory, which uses a combination of instruments to study the sun.

The new sunspots were mapped in late December by NASA's orbiting Solar Dynamics Observatory, which uses a combination of instruments to study the sun. (Image credit: NASA)Solar minimum
When the new sunspot cycle reaches its peak, the increased magnetic activity of the sun could have significant effects here on Earth.
Large and complex sunspots can result in eruptions of radiation from the solar surface, known as solar flares; in powerful emissions of solar material known as proton storms; and in vast, dense clouds of energetic particles known as coronal mass ejections.
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A close-up of one of the new sunspot regions on the sun – one of the first seen after a string of 40 spotless days that may correspond to the solar minimum between two 11-year sunspot cycles.

A close-up of one of the new sunspot regions on the sun — one of the first seen after a string of 40 "spotless" days that may correspond to the solar minimum between two 11-year sunspot cycles. (Image credit: NASA Solar Dynamics Observatory)
All three types of events can result in disruption to our communications, aircraft navigation and power grids, said solar physicist Dean Pesnell of NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, the project scientist for the Solar Dynamics Observatory.

The charged particle from proton storms and coronal mass ejections can also create vivid auroras above the Earth.
Satellites in low-Earth orbits can suffer increased drag when the outer layers of the atmosphere are heated by solar activity, which can result in their orbits decaying more quickly; an increase in solar radiation can affect astronauts outside the Earth's protective magnetic field.
"All these things are what we see as space weather effects," Pesnell told Live Science: "harming our satellites, radiation doses to astronauts, satellite drag — all the effects that we worry about from the sun."
 

Seeker22

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Thanks. My computer actually showed me the pictures! You're right, there are a lot of them and that ash all over everything is really something!. Wonder what's in it that makes all the foliage droop like that?

Foliage is drooping because of weight of ash and also the acids in the ash. Transpiration is greatly reduced by ash.
This is a golden oldie, but will answer the question:

Effects Of Volcanic Ash
by Ken Jorgustin | Updated Nov 27, 2010

Volcanic Ash Composition

Volcanic Ash is made of tiny jagged hard pieces or particles of volcanic glass, rock, and minerals, and is very abrasive and somewhat corrosive.

What do volcanoes release into the atmosphere?

  • Water Vapor (H2O) – no problem
  • Carbon Dioxide (CO2) – same as what we exhale when we breathe, OK so far…
  • Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) – Ok, smells like eggs, but can form into acid rain – not so good
  • Hydrochloric Acid (HCI) – highly corrosive
  • Hydrofluoric Acid (HF) – extremely corrosive
  • Ash (jagged particles of volcanic glass, rock, and minerals) – see below…
Lots more useful info at link: Effects Of Volcanic Ash
 
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