Solar The Grand Solar Minimum (ORIGINAL)

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Melodi

Disaster Cat
Amazing, absolutely apocalyptic, blood-red sunset in Ireland tonight!

My mouth fell open, I pointed out the window and when Nightwolf said "wow" I said:

"I guess we don't have to wonder if the volcanic eruptions are ejecting enough dust to affect the atmosphere anymore."

The photos taken by friends on Facebook don't show nearly how blood red it was - seen through the trees the effect would have made a great horror novel cover.
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Melodi

Disaster Cat
Now being reported also by friends in the UK, though no pictures yet - again the photos are nowhere near the actual color red the sky was.

Now to be fair, we are also having an extreme (for Ireland) cold wave, like about 26 to 28 degrees F, which I'm sure does weird things as well, but usually that just makes the sky a dull grey rather than like the sky is literally on fire.
 

Melodi

Disaster Cat
Well, in the long run, it is very good for soil fertility, we had the best garden the year after Mt. Unpronounceable went off; but this also indicates it is likely to get colder, especially with so many other volcanoes going off at the same time.

Especially if the one we are watching or another one gets worse.
 

Grouchy Granny

Deceased
After reading though almost all of this thread (which has more information than my old brain can absorb right now) I got to thinking about last year (2019).

Usual planting date in Colorado - Denver is after May 15th, but we got snow after that. My garden was in and I didn't lose too much to the cold because we covered it. After that I had to leave for South Dakota, but my son let me know he had to keep covering the garden because of cold temp's and hail. Highly unusual for us.

South Dakota was getting hellacious rain and hail storms the entire time I was there. Came back to Denver mid-June and all was well for a couple of weeks - then had to go back to SD again (Sioux Falls). More hellacious rain and hail. When we drove back to Denver in mid July I couldn't help but notice the corn fields - a lot of them were still flooded and not planted. Some (a very few) were doing well, most had plants that were small and yellowish which meant the yield was going to be non-existent.

The day we got back we managed to beat another rain/hail storm by 30 minutes. It was pretty bad.

Guess this year I will delay planting until Memorial Day and make plans to make covers for all the raised beds.

Now, I know why this is going on and what to do to try to mitigate what happens to us --------

Thanks everyone for a most informative thread!
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
GG, welcome to our GSM thread. If you contribute here, it will be nice for us to hear how things are going in another area of our country.

Glad you got some helpful knowledge from the thread. I've been following it from the first and am still not sure how to deal with all the things that could happen and that will happen and that are already happening.
 

Melodi

Disaster Cat
Somewhere I have a photo from 1983 of snow falling on the tulips my first week in Denver, I think it was about May 28th...
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Melodi, I was born and raised in Minnesota. I remember helping Dad plant our big garden on Memorial Day weekend and there would be a lot of prayer over that garden for at least the following week. This would be late '40s and early '50s. After that he gave up gardening entirely because the mosquitoes were always so bad. Too bad we didn't know about catnip back then!
 

TxGal

Day by day
This morning we were supposed to reach 35 overnight, but we're now at 28. Sheesh! Glad we wrapped the outside faucets.

On the upside, and I sure hope I don't jinx us, our winter has not been as bad as last year's. We'll have a few nights below freezing, then go on a warm up. That's more our normal. We have grass beginning to green up, and see the early signs of buds forming on many different types of trees. No tree pollen count yet, though.

Feed stores are getting in their onion sets and seed potatoes, and garden centers already have trees and berry plants in for planting. What a relief!
 

TxGal

Day by day

Philippine’s Taal volcano still ‘life threatening’

January 19, 2020 by Robert

Houses collapsing under the weight of the ash. Once bustling markets now empty, fields left untended, lush trees now gray and lifeless.
___________

As of 19 Jan 2020, 6:00PM, Alert Level 4 remains in effect over Taal Volcano, the Philippine government advises . This means that hazardous explosive eruption is possible within hours to days. DOST-PHIVOLCS strongly reiterates total evacuation of Taal Volcano Island and high-risk areas as identified in the hazard maps within the 14-km radius from Taal Main Crater and along the Pansipit River Valley where fissuring has been observed.

If a major eruption occurs during the day and eruption column exceeds 5 km, residents around the volcano are advised to guard against the effects of heavy and prolonged ashfall. Civil aviation authorities must advise pilots to avoid the airspace around Taal Volcano as airborne ash and ballistic fragments from the eruption column pose hazards to aircraft.

According to aljazeera.com, an erupting Taal volcano in the Philippines remains life-threatening despite weaker emissions and fewer tremors, according to an official who advised thousands of displaced villagers not to return to the danger zone.

Maria Antonia Bornas, an official with the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology, said on Friday that continuing volcanic quakes, the drying of the crater lake and other signs indicated magma was moving beneath.

Heavy charcoal-like ash rained down on towns and villages, blanketing everything, reports CNN. Houses and trees buckled under the weight of it. Affected areas had no power or fresh water.

The once bustling markets are empty, the fields left untended, the lush trees now gray and lifeless.

Philippines' Taal volcano still 'life threatening' despite lull

NDRRMC Update: Situational Report No. 24 re Taal Volcano Eruption, 19 January 2020, 6:00 PM - Philippines

The dilemma facing those in the shadow of Taal volcano
 

ktrapper

Veteran Member
A little update from winter’s progression here in Montana.
The locals are telling us that the snow fall is below what they expect by mid January and the temps are warmer than normal. We may have a average of 6 inches of snow here at 6400 feet. Down in Drummond there is hardly any. Later this week we’re supposed to have highs in the 40s plus.
For me it’s been light jacket or just a shirt. It was -49 when I left the North Slope two weeks ago so it felt really warm when I got home.
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Ice Age Farmer finally has a new podcast out. FOOD WARS 2020 rt = 29:15

Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new one out, too. Snow events,, etc. rt = 17:38
 

TxGal

Day by day
Thanks Martinhouse! Just got back from shopping - saw no shortages of eggs at all.

Below are the podcasts Martinhouse mentioned above. First, from Oppenheimer:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Ns1T-ByiZw


Snow Records Tumble Across North America - "Oceans Will Flood Major Cities In 8-9 Years" - B Sanders

Run time is 17:37

Whitefish Ski Resort deepest snowpack in 25 years; deepest in Montana http://bit.ly/3am7Hdc
Lansing, Detroit, Flint, Marquette set daily snowfall records http://bit.ly/2udyPdT
Following brief lull, forecasters say another winter storm looms for central, eastern US http://bit.ly/2RBWAEq
A winter storm that hammered the Northeast has moved out to sea but the frosty temps will stick around https://cnn.it/2trGsNZ
WINTER STORM DUMPS RECORD SNOW ON ROCHESTER http://bit.ly/36ajyYK
After record snowfall, arctic air hits Metro Detroit http://bit.ly/2GdYLsp
GFS Total Snowfall Model http://bit.ly/2RyvQ7U
SNOWFALL ANALYSIS http://bit.ly/37ZQHZh
'Snowmageddon': cleanup begins after record Newfoundland storm http://bit.ly/30OzdMl
Residents are digging out of record-breaking snowfall in Newfoundland, Canada https://cnn.it/3axSV3p
Record snowfall buries Ottawa http://bit.ly/2v8MIKT
Toronto remains under extreme cold weather alert after snowfall blankets city http://bit.ly/2G4JyKi
Southern Kansas shaken by 4.5 magnitude earthquake http://bit.ly/368VwNt
Recent Earthquakes Near Hutchinson, Kansas, United States http://bit.ly/2RcdmLq
After Hutchinson earthquake cluster, Kansas investigates injection wells http://bit.ly/30CWIYx
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
Volcano Sakurajima (桜島) erupted - 19/01/2020 http://bit.ly/2ulzj1r and more

-----------------------------------------------


And, from Ice Age Farmer:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9ZReOUA75es


FOOD WARS 2020: USA/EU/Aus SOLD OUT & Will Go Hungry By Design

Run time is 29:14

FOOD WARS are escalating rapidly: as the rest of the world prepares for continued "Unprecedented" cold temperatures, volcanic eruptions, and crop losses around the world, the US/Europe/Australia are walking blind into mass starvation by design. Our food supply is being carved up and sold to the highest bidder. You must PREPARE. Spread the word.
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
This latest from IAF will take a second watching and a lot of pondering. He sounded VERY troubled. His very first statement made me click Pause and go out into the greenhouse and get the first container ready for planting. If I can average one or two containers a day, I'll be ready to plant as soon as the garden stuff is available at the feed store.

Once this three-day cold spell is past, I believe I'll get my flowers transferred to regular large flower pots so I will have all 40 of the big containers available for growing food. I'm anxious to get potatoes and cabbage planted and maybe a few onions, too. I may even try direct seeding some tomatoes. And I intend to make a whole pile of white-fly traps and have them installed at the same time as the first things are planted.

If something comes in there again and starts eating plants down to nubs like happened last year, I may try setting a couple of litter boxes out there and letting my cat spend some time in there. (or maybe better for the whole greenhouse might be to get some little disposable saucers and transfer some kitty poop here and there into the greenhouse by the plants that I know were preferred targets last year.)

I know it's a long time, weeks, until I can plant here in north central Arkansas, but lately I want to garden any time the sun shines and my kitchen warms enough that I don't have to sit all wrapped up in shawls. I think I have cabin fever really bad right now!
 
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TxGal

Day by day
All, Martinhouse really called correctly the IAF report and its troubling sound. It's deeply troubling, and I can't stress enough that everyone needs to listen to it. The USDA going back into past year(s) and revising downward crop reports, not good...international crop issues and declined exports with the need for import increases, not good. His tone is very concerning, but then so is the material.
 

nomifyle

TB Fanatic
I just finished watching the IAF video on Food Wars. I can hardly think of what more food to stock up on, I have canned food in several places, large amounts of it. In addition to the large amount of LTF storage of #10 cans that I have.

Gardening is just not something I'm good at, but I did plant garlic and onion bulbs awhile back. I'm keeping any eye on them and they are coming along well. Fortunately DH is a gardener, but he wants me to tend to it. I have seeds to go through and check viability.

What else to do?

We just got rid of all our pigs. We have a pig trap and I guess we could catch some you pigs and feed them out if necessary, that is until there are not wild pigs left. We have chickens and goats, but we don't eat either. I'm just not sure I could eat one of the goats.

Judy
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Anyone who has chickens might think about getting a medium sized Hav-A-Hart live trap. It could very well provide most of the protein your birds might need for good egg-laying, even if you don't use the chickens for meat. Trapping varmint type critters would be good for feeding a pig, too, I'd think.

And encourage dandelions to grow somewhere, as they are great sources of nutrition.
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Yet another IAF podcast out just now. runs 7:52 minutes.

Don't know yet what it's about yet...I think maybe something about the USDA and corn reports?
 

TxGal

Day by day
Thanks, Martinhouse, glad I checked in before shutting down! If he keeps reporting this stuff, I have to wonder how long it will be before they pull him off the air.

As Martinhouse said, Ice Age Farmer has another podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aqI1uTbY1Ic


About That Corn Basis Anomaly ... Can USDA Keep Hiding Losses? [RFC]

Run time is 7:52

Nobody Governs Truth. The USDA has, however, kept the market focused on their top-level reports, while a different story can be found on the ground. Christian breaks down the current corn basis anomaly and asks in today's Request For Comments: What are you seeing in your neck of the woods?
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Thanks for posting the link. I'm watching it a second time. I sure do hope he doesn't get taken off!

I just saw on his Twitter page that he's posted an article about potatoes (I think) that appears to be from sott.net........ Well, I think this may be an older podcast about potatoes. I'm going to see if I can figure it out. I may have goofed about this.
-----
Yup, it's an older one. "Global Food Rationing" posted on December 18th. Sorry.
 
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Martinhouse

Deceased
TxGal, I'm up very late and hope you'll see this post way before I'm awake in the morning. Anyway, IAF just posted an article about the three major meat processors globally. It's not too long of an article, it has graphs and I thought it rather interesting because I don't know a lot about the major companies, who owns them, etc.

Maybe you will think it's worth posting here. If so, thanks.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Martinhouse, I think this is it below (wow):



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The three largest meat processors globally have dramatically increased in size in recent years. Government subsidies have played a critical role in increasing their power.

JBS, headquartered in Brazil, benefitted from partial ownership from government-owned banks, and low-interest loans to acquire competitors in other countries. The founder, José Batista Sobrinho, and five of his children are now all billionaires.

A government investigation of bribes to allow the sale of tainted meat in Brazil led to two of the founder’s sons to offer testimony in exchange for immunity from prosecution in March 2017. They admitted to spending hundreds of millions of dollars bribing thousands of politicians, and said that if they hadn’t, “It wouldn’t have worked. It wouldn’t have been so fast.” The firm was ordered to pay a $3.16 billion corruption fine, and subsequently announced plans to sell billions in assets, including Five Rivers Cattle Feeding in North America and Moy Park in Europe.


JBS.png

Similarly, the WH Group, headquartered in China, received substantial direct government subsidies, as well as low-interest loans from government banks to make foreign acquisitions. One such loan, for $4 billion to acquire the largest hog processor in the U.S. (Smithfield), was approved in just one day. The chairman and CEO of the firm, Wan Long, paid himself a $460 million bonus after this acquisition, making him a billionaire. WH Group executives have announced their intentions to spend potentially billions more to acquire more meat processors and brands, particularly in the U.S. and Europe.


WH Group.png

click to zoom
; click for pdf version

Tyson, headquartered in the U.S. has benefitted from subsidies for crops, such as corn and soybeans, which have saved the firm hundreds of millions per year in feed costs. The firm has also received direct payments from the government to stabilize prices, via purchasing dark meat chicken for federal food nutrition assistance programs. Its contract growers have received subsidies for the disposal of waste through the Environmental Quality Incentives Program (EQIP), and for euthanizing chickens affected by avian influenza to contain its spread. Don Tyson, the corporation’s former president and CEO, was a billionaire when he died in 2001. Tyson.png

The timeline below shows key ownership changes involving these firms in the last two decades, although it excludes acquisitions that are more peripheral to meat processing, such as frozen pizza firms.


MeatTimeline.png


The treemap below shows the scale of the largest deals (those of $350 million or more) during this period.


meattreemap.png


Both the size of the largest deals and the time that they occurred are visualized in the streamgraph below. It shows that all three firms have spent significant amounts on acquisitions in just the last five years.


streamgraph.001.png


These three meat processors are also the largest in the United States. Cargill is the only other U.S.-headquartered firm among the top ten meat processors globally, and it is ranked #3 in beef in the U.S. with a 19% share. This privately held firm sold its pork division to JBS, however, in 2015.


usmarketshare.001.png


Updates

Marfrig increased its stake in National Beef to 81.7% for $860 million from Jeffries Financial Group, November 2019; previously acquired 51% (April 2018) from Jeffries.

National Beef is the fourth largest beef processor in the United States (10%) and Cargill is the third largest (18%). JBS is the largest (23%) and Tyson is second (22%) according to 2018 data from Tyson Foods.

For more information see:

Howard, Philip H. Corporate Concentration in Global Meat Processing: The Role of Feed and Finance Subsidies. Pp. 31-53 in Global Meat: Social and Environmental Consequences of the Expanding Meat Industry (Bill Winders and Elizabeth Ransom, eds.). Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

[pre-publicaton version] Howard, Philip H. 2017. Corporate Concentration in Global Meat Processing: The Role of Government Subsidies. Working paper, Department of Community Sustainability, Michigan State University. September (pdf).
 

TxGal

Day by day
I think this is a new one from Adapt 2030:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mnpB_4fz1eY


A Mini Ice Age Cometh: Effects Through the Centuries (FULL PRESENTATION DAVID DUBYNE)

Run time is 1:22:13

David DuByne presents at Alternative View May 2019 in the UK describing what a 400 Grand Solar Minimum cycle is and how it has effected societies n the past. Based on the past we can get a close in time line for changes you would expect to see if the information presented is correct. You decide for yourself. (FULL PRESENTATION)

AlternativeView.co.uk

•How Grand Solar Minimums have effected societies through the centuries
•Expected Changes in the Grand Solar Minimum and Media Distractions
•Leanest years globally for food production 2024-2032
•Cancelling waves in the Sun / Double Dynamo
•Chill of the Thermosphere
•Global Electric Circuit
•Plasma PetroglyphsMagnetic Polar Wander
•SWARM stops publishing data on how fast Earth’s magnetic poles are moving
•Cloud cells on our planet are moving and colliding in new areas
•Food production becoming unreliable as seasons are now inconsistent
•Where moisture will shift as Inter Tropical Convergence Zone moves
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
TxGal, yes, thanks. That was the article I meant and I'm sorry I neglected to mention that it was on his Twitter page. Guess I shouldn't stay up so late!
 

TxGal

Day by day
TxGal, yes, thanks. That was the article I meant and I'm sorry I neglected to mention that it was on his Twitter page. Guess I shouldn't stay up so late!
Nahh, not a problem! It's an excellent find - thanks for posting about it! (Gosh, I can't stay up that late anymore, I drag around all the next day...)
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Spain walloped by heavy snow, rain, gales that leave 3 dead
Heavy snow, rain and gale-force winds are lashing many parts of Spain, causing at least three deaths
By Associated Press
20 January 2020

WireAP_aeecba8511cd4e4e8da18ac5b9f3209d_16x9_992.jpg


A gull overflies the Mediterranean sea during strong winds in Barcelona, Spain, Monday, January 20, 2020. Two people have died as storms carrying heavy snowfalls and gale-force winds lashed many parts of Spain on Monday. The storm has forced the closure of Alicante airport and some 30 roads in eastern region. Six provinces are on top alert. (AP Photo/Emilio Morenatti)The Associated Press

MADRID -- Heavy snow, rain and gale-force winds lashed many parts of Spain on Monday, killing at least three people and prompting five provinces to go on top emergency alert.

The storm forced the closure of Alicante Airport and some 30 roads in the eastern region. Some 10,000 people in and around the southeastern town of Orihuela were left with electricity following power-line faults.

A man died Sunday in the northern province of Leon when he was run over by a car as he tried to put snow chains on his own vehicle. A second man died the same day after being hit by a roof slate blown off by winds in the central town of Pedro Bernado. A homeless woman was found dead Monday after sleeping outside during the storm in the eastern town of Gandia.

The storm damaged property on the seafronts of Gandia and other towns as well, according to news videos and pictures.

The bad weather was expected to last until Wednesday.

Spain walloped by heavy snow, rain, gales that leave 3 dead
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Activity from Alaska volcano triggers aviation warnings after spewing ash, lava
The Shishaldin Volcano is currently listed at a Code Orange alert level.

By Julia Jacobo ABC News
20 January 2020

Volcanic activity triggers aviation warnings in Alaska The Shishaldin Volcano sits near an Aleutian village on an archipelago in southwest Alaska about 700 miles west of Anchorage. Alaska Volcano Observatory via Reuters

Activity from one of Alaska's 80 volcanoes triggered aviation warnings after it began to spew ash and lava over the weekend.

The Shishaldin Volcano sits near an Aleutian village on an archipelago in southwest Alaska about 700 miles west of Anchorage. It began to resume activity early Saturday morning with visible lava flows and ash shot thousands of feet into the air, according to the Alaska Volcano Observatory.

alaska-volcano-2-rt-aa-200120_hpEmbed_11x8_992.jpg

.A Brightness Temperature Difference AVHRR satellite image shows a 80.8 miles long ash plume from Shishaldin Volcano in Ala., January 7, 2020.U.S. Geological Survey/Alaska VO via Reuters

At some points, the ash reached about 28,000 feet, officials said. Trace amounts of the ash landed on False Pass, about 23 miles east of the volcano, the Anchorage Daily News reported

The Federal Aviation Administration issued a warning to pilots in the area due to the activity.

The ash stopped around 8:30 p.m. local time Sunday, according to the observatory. The volcano has been erupting periodically since the summer, with the most recent activity reported earlier this month.

Shishaldin is among the most active volcanoes in the area, with about 24 confirmed eruptions have occurred since 1775, according to the local newspaper.

alaska-volcano-rt-aa-200120_hpMain_16x9_992.jpg
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The Shishaldin volcano erupts in Cold Bay, Ala., January 6, 2020.Alaska Volcano Observatory via Reuters

The observatory current has the volcano listed at a Code Orange alert level, indicating that the volcano is "exhibiting heightened or or escalating unrest with increased potential for eruption."

Activity from Alaska volcano triggers aviation warnings after spewing ash, lava
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Power just came back on here...was out for two hours. Chilly but clear and sunny, and no wind. They never tell us what caused the outage.

I crawled back into my still-warm bed and read by flashlight until the lights came back on.

I HATE WINTER!!!!!

Power goes out in the summer, too, but at least it's not cold then!
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Alaska AVO‏ @alaska_avo Jan 20

AVO Shishaldin ORANGE/WATCH - Ash emissions stopped at about 8:30 PM AKST. Seismicity low.

Alaska AVO‏ @alaska_avo Jan 19

AVO Shishaldin RED/WARNING - Ash emissions continue; plume as high as 30,000 ft asl drifting east; seismicity low
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Amazing, absolutely apocalyptic, blood-red sunset in Ireland tonight!

My mouth fell open, I pointed out the window and when Nightwolf said "wow" I said:

"I guess we don't have to wonder if the volcanic eruptions are ejecting enough dust to affect the atmosphere anymore."

The photos taken by friends on Facebook don't show nearly how blood red it was - seen through the trees the effect would have made a great horror novel cover.

Red sprites were seen in northern Oklahoma IIRC it was last evening.

Edited to add the link. Elusive red sprites spotted lighting up the sky in Oklahoma
 
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packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
A little update from winter’s progression here in Montana.
The locals are telling us that the snow fall is below what they expect by mid January and the temps are warmer than normal. We may have a average of 6 inches of snow here at 6400 feet. Down in Drummond there is hardly any. Later this week we’re supposed to have highs in the 40s plus.
For me it’s been light jacket or just a shirt. It was -49 when I left the North Slope two weeks ago so it felt really warm when I got home.

Interesting which side of MT are you located? I have a friend in MT and the snow at his place is over five feet deep and the temps finally rose a little above zero degrees.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
Thanks, Martinhouse, glad I checked in before shutting down! If he keeps reporting this stuff, I have to wonder how long it will be before they pull him off the air.

As Martinhouse said, Ice Age Farmer has another podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aqI1uTbY1Ic


About That Corn Basis Anomaly ... Can USDA Keep Hiding Losses? [RFC]

Run time is 7:52

Nobody Governs Truth. The USDA has, however, kept the market focused on their top-level reports, while a different story can be found on the ground. Christian breaks down the current corn basis anomaly and asks in today's Request For Comments: What are you seeing in your neck of the woods?

Interesting Market to Market asked the same thing back in November and even called out the USDA for fixing the numbers.
 

alpha

Veteran Member
Well, in the long run, it is very good for soil fertility, we had the best garden the year after Mt. Unpronounceable went off; but this also indicates it is likely to get colder, especially with so many other volcanoes going off at the same time.

Especially if the one we are watching or another one gets worse.

Yes Melodi, volcanic ash contains an incredible amount of trace minerals beneficial to plant growth. We've been using a product called Azomite for several years now and can attest to its success in soil enhancement. Visit them to read more... Azomite Natural Trace Minerals
 

ktrapper

Veteran Member
We are in Helmville. Just about 20 miles north of Drummond. Looking at the forecast through January looks pretty mild here. Upper 30s and low 40s for the highs through the end of the month. Up as high as we are we usually run a few degrees warmer, which is nice for us. We have some mud in front yard right now, showing through.
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new and very short (4:05) podcast up this evening.

Diamond certainly seems to be a man who wears many hats. While his regular videos still irritate me, I'm getting somewhat used to him and some of his other material has left me impressed at various levels.

I think he would be a very interesting person to know. Seeing him in his greenhouse showed a whole new aspect of him.
 
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