CORONA Main Coronavirus thread

jward

passin' thru
77UWn-HR_normal.jpg

Max Howroute

@howroute
· 3h
San Diego County declares emergency over #coronavirus. San Diego leaders declared a local emergency and public health emergency for seven days and looking into extending it to 30 days over the COVID19, giving officials access to resources to address the virus. (ABC10)
View: https://twitter.com/YaarKk30360545/status/1228891266001375232?s=20
 

ainitfunny

Saved, to glorify God.
Well, well. NOBODY thought The WESTERDAM CRUISE SHIP had any infected people aboard, but NHK TV Japan news Just announced that after 5 nations refused entry AND CAMBODIA LET IT DOCK AND DISEMBARK PASSENGERS, that they just found one elderly lady DOES HAVE COV 19 with symptoms. I wonder where the other passengers went?
 

jward

passin' thru
Tracking coronavirus: Map, data and timeline

The tables below show confirmed cases of coronavirus (2019-nCoV, officially known as SARS-CoV-2 or COVID-19) in China and other countries. To see a distribution map and a timeline, scroll down. There are currently 69,270 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,669 fatalities.


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Last update: 15 February 2020 at 11:35 p.m. ET


MAINLAND CHINACasesDeathsNotesLinks
Hubei province
(includes Wuhan)
56,2491,5968,439 serious, 1,957 criticalSource
Guangdong province1,316271 serious, 32 criticalSource
Henan province1,2311336 serious, 36 criticalSource
Zhejiang province1,167049 serious, 27 criticalSource
Hunan province1,004357 seriousSource
Anhui province962616 criticalSource
Jiangxi province925149 seriousSource
Jiangsu province61706 serious, 4 criticalSource
Chongqing544533 serious, 18 criticalSource
Shandong province537216 serious, 12 criticalSource
Sichuan province481315 criticalSource
Heilongjiang province4451167 seriousSource
Beijing380410+ seriousSource
Shanghai328113 serious, 4 criticalSource
Tianjin1223Source
Other regions2,19415Source
TOTAL68,5021,66511,272 serious
9,419 recovered
8,228 suspected


REGIONSCasesDeathsNotesLinks
Hong Kong5615 critical, 2 serious, 1 recoveredSource
Taiwan1801 recoveredSource
Macau1001 recoveredSource
TOTAL8417 serious


INTERNATIONALCasesDeathsNotesLinks
Japan408*19 serious, 4 recoveredSource
Singapore7206 critical, 18 recoveredSource
Thailand3402 serious, 14 recoveredSource
South Korea2909 recoveredSource
Malaysia2207 recoveredSource
Australia15010 recoveredSource
Germany1603 recoveredSource
Vietnam1607 recoveredSource
United States1503 recoveredSource
France1214 recoveredSource
United Kingdom908 recoveredSource
Canada801 recoveredSource
UAE801 serious, 3 recovered Source
Philippines312 recoveredSource
India303 recoveredSource
Italy302 seriousSource
Russia202 recoveredSource
Spain202 recoveredSource
Nepal101 recoveredSource
Cambodia101 recoveredSource
Sri Lanka101 recoveredSource
Finland101 recoveredSource
Sweden10Source
Belgium101 recoveredSource
Egypt10Source
TOTAL684320 serious/critical
Notes

  • Hubei province, China: The numbers include clinically-diagnosed cases, which means they were not confirmed by laboratory testing.
  • Japan: The total includes 4 asymptomatic cases, which are not included in the government’s official count.
  • Japan: The total includes 355 people from the “Diamond Princess” cruise ship. They are not included in the government’s official count.
  • North Korea: Unconfirmed reports about 1, 5, or 7 cases in North Korea cannot be verified. If cases are confirmed by the North Korean government, they will be added to this list.
 

Old Gray Mare

TB Fanatic
Fair use. This is from January.

Health Minister activates Quarantine Authority as precaution against Coronavirus
IN ALL NEWS / BY: ON JANUARY 29, 2020 AT 1:19 PM /

The territory’s Quarantine Authority has been activated in the British Virgin Islands as a further precautionary measure for the recent outbreak of the 2019 novel Coronavirus in China.

Health Minister Carvin Malone activated the Quarantine Authority this week.

“The authority is chaired by the Chief Medical Officer, Dr Irad Potter and consists of six additional members who represent the Department of Agriculture, BVI Ports Authority, BVI Airports Authority, BVI Health Services Authority, Environmental Health Division and the Immigration Department,” a media release from the Ministry of Health said this week.

The release further said that through the 2014 Quarantine Act which guides the Authority, several comprehensive measures to prevent the introduction and spread of quarantinable diseases in the territory will be taken to protect the public health.

Other agencies involved

These measures will also include the assistance and input of other government agencies which include Her Majesty’s Prison, the Department of Disaster Management, the Department of Information, the Royal Virgin Islands Police Force, the Virgin Islands Fire and Rescue Service and the Immigration and Customs departments.

These entities will be collaborating to provide in-depth monitoring of all acute respiratory infections; perform education and awareness sessions on the new coronavirus; recommend various preventative measures which may include hand-washing, environmental sanitation and respiratory hygiene; and encourage health workers to use personal equipment.

They will also conduct a number of training programmes and implement advanced processes for the effective management of ill passengers at primary ports of entry.

In contact with other island nations ports of entry

Meanwhile, Minister Malone said that further measures are being taken to gather the requisite information from various port authorities from other islands, which tourist traverse in route to the BVI.

He said: “This measure is being taken so as to determine if adequate protocols are being practised in these island nations so as to avoid the occurrence of transmittal or delivery to our shores.”

Increase in reported confirmed cases

In the meantime, the reported confirmed cases of the virus according to CNN has now increased to 6,061 persons in mainland China, including 132 deaths.

Link to source:
 

jward

passin' thru
part two

Tracking coronavirus: Map, data and timeline
Timeline (GMT)
16 February

  • 02:15: 5 new cases in Beijing. (Source)
  • 02:10: 13 new cases in Jiangsu province, China. (Source)
  • 01:35: 70 new cases in Japan. They were found on the “Diamond Princess” cruise ship off Yokohama, raising the ship’s total to 355. (Source)
  • 01:24: 12 new cases in Jiangxi province, China. (Source)
  • 01:22: 12 new cases in Anhui province, China. (Source)
  • 01:20: 3 new cases and 1 new death in Hunan province, China. The death was previously reported by China’s National Health Commission. (Source)
  • 01:18: 5 new cases in Zhejiang province, China. (Source)
  • 01:13: 22 new cases in Guangdong province, China. (Source)
  • 01:05: 2 new cases in Shanghai. (Source)
  • 01:01: 1 new case in South Korea. (Source)
  • 00:55: 1 new case in Tianjin, China. (Source)
  • 00:53: China’s National Health Commission reports 100 new cases and 1 new death on the mainland, excluding Hubei province. Their locations have not yet been released. Compared to yesterday’s national update, there were 166 new cases and 3 new deaths outside Hubei province. (Source)
  • 00:44: 20 new cases in Heilongjiang province, China. (Source)
  • 00:41: 11 new cases and 2 new deaths in Sichuan province, China. (Source)
  • 00:10: 19 new cases in Henan province, China. (Source)
  • 00:06: 5 new cases in Shandong province, China. (Source)
15 February

  • 23:07: 6 new cases in Chongqing, China. (Source)
  • 22:15: 1,843 new cases and 139 new deaths in Hubei province, China. (Source)
  • 20:34: 1 new case in France. (Source)
  • 15:55: 1 new case in Malaysia. Former passenger of the Westerdam cruise ship. (Source)
  • 13:01: 5 new cases in Singapore. (Source)
  • 12:15: 1 new case in Japan. (Source)
  • 10:07: 2 new cases in Shandong province, China. (Source)
  • 10:06: 1 new case in Chongqing, China. (Source)
  • 10:05: First death in France, first in Europe. (Source)
  • 09:05: 8 new cases in Japan. (Source)
  • 08:47: 67 new cases in Japan. They were found on the “Diamond Princess” cruise ship off Yokohama, raising the ship’s total to 285. (Source)
  • 07:03: 2 new cases in Japan. The third case in the article was previously reported. (Source)
  • 06:05: 1 new case in Thailand. (Source)
  • 05:19: 2 new cases in Malaysia. (Source)
  • 04:30: 3 new cases and 1 new death in Beijing. The death was previously reported by the National Health Commission. (Source)
  • 04:18: 1 new case in Tianjin, China. (Source)
  • 03:18: 1 new case in Japan. (Source)
  • 02:33: 7 new cases in Sichuan province, China. (Source)
  • 02:25: 7 new cases in Shandong province, China. (Source)
  • 02:20: 11 new cases in Jiangsu province, China. (Source)
  • 02:02: 13 new cases in Jiangxi province, China. (Source)
  • 02:00: 16 new cases in Anhui province, China. (Source)
  • 01:55: 13 new cases in Hunan province, China. (Source)
  • 01:52: 7 new cases in Zhejiang province, China. (Source)
  • 01:51: 28 new cases in Henan province, China. (Source)
  • 01:04: 33 new cases in Guangdong province, China. (Source)
  • 00:10: China’s National Health Commission reports 193 new cases and 3 new deaths on the mainland, excluding Hubei province. Their locations have not yet been disclosed. When compared to the previous day, there were 221 new cases and 4 new deaths outside Hubei province. (Source)
14 February

  • 23:45: 8 new cases in Shanghai. (Source)
  • 23:35: 7 new cases in Heilongjiang province, China. (Source)
  • 23:30: 5 new cases in Chongqing, China. (Source)
  • 23:10: 2,420 new cases and 139 new deaths in Hubei province, China. (Source)
  • 21:10: 1 new presumptive confirmed case in BC, Canada. (Source)
  • 17:00: First case in Egypt. (Source)
  • 14:03: 1 new case in Japan. (Source)
  • 14:00: 1 new case in Japan. (Source)
  • 13:54: 1 new case in Japan. (Source)
  • 13:50: 1 new case in Japan. (Source)
  • 11:05: 9 new cases in Singapore. (Source)
  • 10:09: 2 new cases in Japan. (Source)
  • 09:15: 3 new cases in Hong Kong. (Source)
  • 08:47: 3 new cases and 1 new death in Chongqing, China. (Source)
  • 08:02: 4 new cases in Shandong province, China. (Source)
  • 07:51: 1 new case in Japan. (Source)
  • 03:25: China’s National Health Commission reports 267 new cases and 5 new deaths on the mainland, excluding Hubei province. Hubei Province deducted 108 prior deaths from the death toll due to double counting. (Source)
  • 00:43: 1 new case in Japan. (Source)
13 February

  • 23:45: 4,823 new cases and 116 new deaths in Hubei province, China. 1,043 cases which were previously reported were deducted from the government’s figures. (Source)
  • 14:50: 3 new cases in Hong Kong. (Source)
  • 15:10: 1 new case in the United States. First in Texas. (Source)
  • 12:40: 1 new case in Japan. (Source)
  • 11:55: 1 new case, a fatality, in Japan. This is the first death in Japan. (Source 1)
  • 11:36: 8 new cases in Singapore. (Source)
  • 11:15: 1 new case in Japan. (Source)
  • 10:13: 1 new case in Malaysia. (Source)
  • 09:05: 1 new case in Japan. (Source)
  • 08:15: China’s National Health Commission reports 312 new cases and 12 new deaths on the mainland, excluding Hubei province. (Source)
  • 05:15: 1 new case in Vietnam. (Source)
  • 03:10: 44 new cases in Japan. They were found on the “Diamond Princess” cruise ship off Yokohama, raising the ship’s total to 218. (Source)
  • 00:25: 1 new case in California, United States. (Source)
12 February

  • 23:48: 14,840 new cases, including clinically diagnosed cases, and 242 new deaths in Hubei province, China. (Source)
  • 18:53: 1 new case in the United Kingdom. (Source)
  • 08:24: 1 new case in Hong Kong. (Source)
  • 07:00: 3 new cases in Singapore. (Source)
  • 02:53: 1 new case in Japan. It is one of the quarantine officers who was working on board the “Diamond Princess” cruise ship off Yokohama. This case is not included in the total for the ship’s passengers and crew. (Source)
  • 02:14: China’s National Health Commission reports 377 new cases and 3 new deaths across the mainland, excluding Hubei province. The deaths were in Henan province, Hunan province, and Chongqing. (Source)
11 February

  • 23:55: 39 new cases in Japan. They were found on the “Diamond Princess” cruise ship off Yokohama, raising the ship’s total to 174. (Source)
  • 22:17: 1,638 new cases and 94 new deaths in Hubei province, China. (Source)
  • 21:01: 1 new case in Thailand. (Source)
  • 19:25: 2 new cases in Germany. (Source)
  • 16:10: 7 new cases in Hong Kong. (Source)
  • 14:59: 2 new cases in Singapore. (Source)
  • 06:57: 2 new cases in Japan. (Source)
  • 02:37: 1 new case in Vietnam. (Source)
  • 01:14: 1 new case in California, United States. (Source)
  • 01:00: 1 new case in South Korea. (Source)
  • 00:13: China’s National Health Commission reports 370 new cases and 5 new deaths on the mainland. Of the deaths, one each in: Beijing, Tianjin, Heilongjiang province, Anhui province, and Henan province. (Source)
10 February

  • 22:10: 2,097 new cases and 103 new deaths in Hubei province, China. (Source)
  • 17:56: 1 new case in the United Arab Emirates. (Source)
  • 16:00: 4 new cases in Hong Kong. (Source)
  • 14:20: 2 new cases in Hong Kong. (Source)
  • 12:30: 2 new cases in Singapore. (Source)
  • 09:46: 4 new cases in the United Kingdom. (Source)
  • 05:13: 65 new cases in Japan. They were found on the “Diamond Princess” cruise ship off Yokohama, raising the ship’s total to 135. (Source)
  • 01:01: 1 new case in Malaysia. (Source)
For the full timeline, click here.
 

jward

passin' thru
Well, well. NOBODY thought The WESTERDAM CRUISE SHIP had any infected people aboard, but NHK TV Japan news Just announced that after 5 nations refused entry AND CAMBODIA LET IT DOCK AND DISEMBARK PASSENGERS, that they just found one elderly lady DOES HAVE COV 19 with symptoms. I wonder where the other passengers went?
I believe freeholder was discussing that situation upthread, she may have mentioned further details re: them...
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
I decided to do a crazy search and just now found where Contagion (2011) was posted to archive.org less than a day ago. The science in this is quite accurate compared to many other virus/pandemic movies. It's a bad outbreak of a bug from China (sound familiar?)

Here it is:
Contagion : Contagion : Free Download, Borrow, and Streaming : Internet Archive <<<--- movie page
https://archive.org/download/contagion2011_202002/5_6170202446099382546.mp4 <<<--- download link (hold cursor over the link,right click, save link as: )

They didn't hide the name or anything so this will get deleted and I suspect quickly. Save a copy now to watch later.
Way back when this first came out, one of the veteran Public Health nurses I worked for told me to watch this. She said, it will be just like this.
 

jward

passin' thru
Updated February 14, 2020

CDC is closely monitoring an outbreak of respiratory illness caused by a novel (new) coronavirus. The outbreak first started in Wuhan, China, but cases have been identified in a growing number of other international locations, including the United States. This page will be updated regularly on Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays.

Persons Under Investigation (PUI) in the United States*†
People under Investigation (PUI) in the United States

Positive15
Negative347
Pending§81
Total443
*Cumulative since January 21, 2020.
† Numbers closed out at 4 p.m. the day before reporting.
§Includes specimens received and awaiting testing, as well as specimens en route to CDC.
Number of states and territories with PUI: 42
 

L.A.B.

Goodness before greatness.
An army fights on its stomach. The leaders and military at the top have for years been saying that they are training for the long game. To wipe us out and/or take us over. Since it is GSM time and their empire is about shot anyway, let it fall. Don't import a thing. No food, no meds, no tech- nothing. They have stolen us blind and were doing it with trade until steps were taken to rein that in. They rebuffed us thrice and won't let us help with the virus. They are causing untold harm by not telling us what they know about the virus to save the time of reverse engineering it. So be it.

They need to bring their population numbers down. The virus is doing that. Less mouths to feed means that if they can get some imported food, or manage to grow some, they might squeak through. If, and it is a BIG if, the virus doesn't jump to the bird or animal populations used for food. Once it is known that China released this plague on the world, who will give them any imports, especially food? China will never again be the world power it was in November 2019. Wuhan has fallen.

This virus is the Great Equalizer. Even at this late date, the Chinese people need to Stand Up. Throw off the chains and make China what it truly needs to be. Leave communism in the icy mud of another age. Like Snoopy Zen says- just let that $hit go. The people are the soul of China. They can farm and grow food right up to the time snow flies. These people are strong enough to come through this, and they will remember and never again let communism gain a foothold.
That is what I dream. I fear my reality will be much different in the coming days.

How bad will the industrial shutdown hurt them? How bad will it hurt us? The GSM is here. When machinery won't run because it is too cold or the storms blow the roof off- both of us are going to be in the same fix. Our countries can fight about it but it won't change the weather. We will both have the virus to contend with. Do we really want to contend with nuclear fallout, too?

They can try to bully food and supplies out of us, but I don't think Trump will stand for that. If Trump is who people believe he is, we will spool up factories within the next couple of months and take back our manufacturing. We should have never let it leave our shores.

The Long March.

WHO will attempt to Quarantine, (Sequester), or Stand Down our West Coast Air Bases under a level six protocol.

Question or statement?

The Long March.

Coming to a calendar soon.

Sounds like advertising for a Bad B Movie, or possible black swan on a migratory flu vector...

Who knows!
 

ainitfunny

Saved, to glorify God.
I wonder if, during the last week of January, HAWAII had any, taxi drivers, hotel workers or other tourists infected people who had not yet been sick enough to seek treatment. It is a favorite vacation spot for Asians to vacation, and my daughter and her hubby spent the last week of January there!

What say? Anyone think it was a bad idea?
It’s been 14 days though, so they’re probably fine, but they wouldn’t tell me if they were sick because I warned them not to go.
 
Last edited:

jward

passin' thru
Housecarl posted this as a separate thread, but as the corona virus takes root here, we will need to be familiar with the currant, and historical, incidences of Influenza like illnesses (ili) in our areas...


 

Hfcomms

EN66iq
Asked by conservative commentator Geraldo Rivera if China was telling the truth about coronavirus, Mr Trump said: “Well you never know. I think they want to put the best face on it, so you know I mean if somebody, if you were running it you’d probably, you wouldn’t want to run out to the world and go crazy and start saying whatever it is because you don’t want to create a panic.”

Every government on the face of the earth be it Communist, Socialist, Fascist, Monarchy, authoritative dictatorship, Parilimentary or Constitutional Republic has as job #1 continuity of government and perception management. If you know you have a disease process for which their is no vaccine or medicines for the population as a whole your going to downplay the ramifications and use perception management that the government knows what it’s doing and has everything under control.

It should come as no surprise that the numbers of ill and potentially affected are probably much greater here in the U.S. and around the world than what is admitted to. If Trump is praising the Chinese in their response to the outbreak then it’s more likely than not that we will use similar methods in handling it here.
 

jward

passin' thru
Masks vs. Respirators: Experts Explain COVID-19 Recommendations

Global Biodefense

13 Feb 2020




In its newly published infection prevention and control recommendations for COVID-19, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommends the use of N95 respirators in a healthcare setting with the suspected novel coronavirus, but the World Health Organization (WHO) has recommended surgical masks for general patient care and respirators for aerosol-generating procedures only.


Bruce Ribner, MD, medical director of the Serious Communicable Diseases Unit at Emory University Hospital, said the two masks serve very different functions. A surgical mask, or procedural mask, is meant to protect the environment from the wearer.


“It’s meant to keep the surgeon’s respiratory issues away from a patient,” Ribner explained. A surgical mask does a good job of trapping large droplets, and some aerosol transmission, he said. Many of the masks being worn in China, though, are not designed for medical use or to any standards and so their effectiveness in trapping droplets is unknown.


A respirator, such as an N95, fits tighter to the face and is meant to help protect the wearer from inhaling infectious droplets in the environment.


“We don’t really know how the coronavirus is being transmitted from person to person, because no one has done the NIOSH studies that simulate the cough big droplets that land 3 to 6 feet away from a person or the little droplets that can travel long distances and in air handling system,” Ribner said. “So we have to use what we know about other coronaviruses and influenza when it comes to this disease.”


What we know, Ribner said, is that multiple modes of transmission are likely at play, including large droplets, small droplets (or aerosols), and contaminated hands.


Read the full story at CIDRAP

 

jward

passin' thru
Expert Recommendations for US and Global Preparedness for COVID-19

by The Center for Global Development

13 Feb 2020



Expert Recommendations for US and Global Preparedness for COVID-19





The novel coronavirus outbreak that emerged in late 2019 has infected tens of thousands in China, community transmission is feared in other countries, and containment looks increasingly unlikely. The world is woefully unready for a scenario in which China-like conditions emerge in multiple other countries. The US, in particular, should not assume it is immune to a major domestic outbreak. While the prevention and control measures in numerous countries may delay the outbreak’s spread, they are unlikely to prevent it. Efforts are underway to develop medical countermeasures, but these are unlikely to be ready for widespread use for at least one to two years; meanwhile, the virus has shown in China that it can grow from introduction to a sizable outbreak in just weeks.

There is an urgent but closing window to prepare for large-scale spread of the disease in the US and elsewhere. This paper recommends actions to address pressing gaps in US and global preparedness in the event that COVID-19 cannot be contained and sustained human-to-human transmission occurs beyond China. These recommendations are critical both for this outbreak and for future epidemic threats. The paper draws on consultations over the past two weeks involving experts from the Center for Global Development, the Georgetown Center for Global Health Science and Security, the Nuclear Threat Initiative|Bio, the University of Nebraska Medical Center’s College of Public Health, and In-Q-Tel/B.Next.
Recommendations for Action
  • Develop policy guidance for mitigating outbreaks when the normal health system becomes overwhelmed. The US government should outline contingency plans for mitigating mass-scale domestic transmission of the virus and for providing mass-scale isolation and treatment. As the US updates its national pandemic planning, it should also develop clear mechanisms for distributed care, including home diagnosis and isolation, and clear guidance and options to local authorities for social distancing measures. Federal and state health authorities should review the crisis thresholds at which these measures would be triggered. In the interim, federal officials should provide regularly updated guidance on best practices for social distancing measures. The US National Academies of Medicine could also convene medical technology companies to recommend investments to improve home isolation and care during a major epidemic or pandemic.

  • Scale up support to frontline health workers. In any novel outbreak, frontline health workers bear the greatest risks. In China, reports portray shocking levels of infections among health facility staff, as workers struggle to maintain services amid a growing wave of cases. A comparably sized outbreak in the US might play out similarly; the US health system has limited surge capacity and inadequate support for outbreak readiness. In the immediate term, urgent measures must be taken to ready frontline health workers to safely manage a surge in cases. This must include training and guidance on screening, case management, and infection prevention protocols. It must also address crisis care guidance for health facilities on managing limitations on bed availability and critical supplies. Importantly, this guidance and support should focus not only on hospitals, but also on smaller clinics and urgent care centers where people with COVID-19 symptoms may initially present. The government should also act to address the financial burden that a surge in cases would also pose, as health systems would be forced to increase staffing, hours, personnel risk mitigation, and other measures outside normal budgeted services.

  • Pursue additional manufacturing capability and reinforce the existing supply chain for personal protective equipment (PPE) and other critical medical supplies. The US should urgently review its PPE supply chain—for domestic and international use—to determine availability of basic PPE during a respiratory epidemic of COVID-19. The US should urgently develop and publicly communicate plans for PPE distribution within the US and globally. It should also develop options for addressing PPE shortfalls, including scaling up PPE manufacturing, and parameters for reuse in crisis conditions. At a global level, the World Health Organization (WHO) should lead and publish a review of vulnerabilities in the global supply of PPE and explore urgent new mechanisms for global sharing and distribution of limited PPE stores. These analyses should also include other critical medical supplies and equipment that could face shortfalls in a pandemic scenario.

  • Communicate regularly to the public through trusted experts. Fear, panic, and mis/disinformation will exacerbate preparedness gaps and cost lives. The US should continue to communicate outbreak information to the American public through scientifically credible communicators. The recent practice of communicating through knowledgeable senior HHS, CDC, and NIH officials has been positive and should be maintained. These officials should regularly update the public on planning for COVID-19 spread in the US and globally.'

  • Increase and sustain domestic and global preparedness investments. US pandemic preparedness planning at a federal level waxes and wanes in the absence of a crisis. With the expiration of the 2015 Ebola funding for hospital preparedness, the US must create a more sustainable financing model for hospital epidemic preparedness, as well as preparedness within broader health systems and among urgent care facilities and walk-in clinics. Importantly, the approach used on Ebola—designating a small number of highly capable reference facilities—would be insufficient to meet needs of a more widespread domestic outbreak of COVID-19. Guidance and mechanisms for supplying surge capacity in crisis situations also remains a gap. Funding to enhance public health preparedness for major outbreaks is also inadequate, and needs sustained ongoing support. Meanwhile, at state and local levels, the executive branch should support governors and mayors to develop and exercise preparedness plans for COVID-19 and other emerging pandemic risks.

  • Address urgent vulnerabilities in the developing world. A virus that can strain a health system like China’s will pose enormous challenges to health systems in poor and underdeveloped countries. As Ebola outbreaks have demonstrated, infection prevention is weak, and frontline health workers in the developing world are at particular risk. The US should partner with other donors, philanthropies, and the WHO to reinforce pandemic preparedness and infection prevention and control readiness in the developing world, both urgently for the current outbreak and through longer-term health security investments.

  • Support coordinated international action. The COVID-19 outbreak is rapidly becoming an international coordination challenge. While the WHO declaration of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern was intended to align international engagement and investments, it has not prevented countries from imposing sweeping travel restrictions despite WHO advice to the contrary. The political and diplomatic challenges around this outbreak will only become more fraught in the weeks ahead. The UN Secretary-General and the WHO Director-General should jointly convene a special UN Security Council meeting to harmonize international action on the outbreak, and consider setting up a standing coordination and leadership platform for high-consequence biological events, such as those with the potential to overwhelm national governments, within the Office of the UN Secretary-General.

  • Support research and innovative technologies. As with any emerging disease, a tremendous amount of knowledge must be generated to understand the nature of the virus; develop, test, and manufacture medical countermeasures; and determine the evolving epidemiology, best practices for clinical care, and the impact on populations, economies, and security. Likewise, technological innovations hold the potential to support the response to COVID-19 and future major pandemics. Technologies like digital health platforms, rapid point of care diagnostics, and population-level data tools are achievable and could prove important to the response. The US should support collaborative research and innovation, integrating professionals from academia, the private sector, and government to develop and validate knowledge to mitigate the outbreak. This should include pursuit of regulatory, logistic, and broad platform and manufacturing innovation to accelerate bringing solutions into timely use.

  • Amplify diagnostic capacity. Diagnostic capacity for COVID-19 in the US remains limited, with samples going to centralized CDC and state public health labs and at times taking several days to convey results. These turnaround times burden frontline hospitals that must isolate patients for extended periods while awaiting results. Volumes remain limited even with CDC distribution of its emergency use authorized test kits. Efforts are needed to scale up testing capacity, including through accelerating investments in rapid point-of-care testing.

  • Develop new partnerships to distribute and dispense medical countermeasures for COVID-19 now, before they come online. Last-mile dispensing of medical countermeasures has not been solved in the US. While there has been progress in major cities, the US should urgently assess its plans, staffing, and partnerships with the private sector for administering and dispensing medical countermeasures for COVID-19 once they come online. These plans should account for a variety of circumstances, including vaccine hesitancy; hard-to-reach communities; protection of healthcare workers and others administering, delivering, or dispensing medical countermeasures; and other disruptions that could impede medical countermeasure delivery, dispensing, or administration.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
This article is courtesy of the Center for Global Development.
 

ainitfunny

Saved, to glorify God.
Masks vs. Respirators: Experts Explain COVID-19 Recommendations

Global Biodefense

13 Feb 2020




In its newly published infection prevention and control recommendations for COVID-19, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommends the use of N95 respirators in a healthcare setting with the suspected novel coronavirus, but the World Health Organization (WHO) has recommended surgical masks for general patient care and respirators for aerosol-generating procedures only.


Bruce Ribner, MD, medical director of the Serious Communicable Diseases Unit at Emory University Hospital, said the two masks serve very different functions. A surgical mask, or procedural mask, is meant to protect the environment from the wearer.


“It’s meant to keep the surgeon’s respiratory issues away from a patient,” Ribner explained. A surgical mask does a good job of trapping large droplets, and some aerosol transmission, he said. Many of the masks being worn in China, though, are not designed for medical use or to any standards and so their effectiveness in trapping droplets is unknown.


A respirator, such as an N95, fits tighter to the face and is meant to help protect the wearer from inhaling infectious droplets in the environment.


“We don’t really know how the coronavirus is being transmitted from person to person, because no one has done the NIOSH studies that simulate the cough big droplets that land 3 to 6 feet away from a person or the little droplets that can travel long distances and in air handling system,” Ribner said. “So we have to use what we know about other coronaviruses and influenza when it comes to this disease.”


What we know, Ribner said, is that multiple modes of transmission are likely at play, including large droplets, small droplets (or aerosols), and contaminated hands.


Read the full story at CIDRAP



Easy explanation:
N95 masks (aka respirators) protect WEARER.
Surgical masks DON’T.
 
Last edited:

Old Gray Mare

TB Fanatic
Article: opinion piece. The coronavirus is another nail in the coffin of globalism. Countries are erecting trade barriers and travel restrictions to China and are reasserting control over their country's borders in the wake of the coronavirus. The liberal media and globalists do not seem to be able to prevent this.

Fair use.
The Guardian
Of course there’s a globalisation backlash. It has failed billions of people
Larry Elliott Thu 13 Feb 2020

The era of open markets and open borders is over, its demise hastened by the climate crisis, populism and now coronavirus

Over the past 30 years China has become the world’s factory. For the past few weeks, the production line has been shut down by plant closures deemed necessary to halt the spread of coronavirus. Beijing fears there will be both short- and long-term damage from the outbreak. The country is on course for its first quarter of negative growth in decades, while earlier this week China’s ambassador to the World Trade Organization (WTO) called on other countries not to use coronavirus as an excuse to put up trade barriers.


The fact that Zhang Xiangchen felt the need to make this appeal speaks volumes. China suspects there will be backdoor protectionism – and it is almost certainly right, because for years countries around the world have needed little encouragement to resort to protectionism. What’s more, the restrictions are not just on the movement of goods. Earlier this month, the US treasury announced curbs on foreign investment to protect critical technology, data and infrastructure from foreign sabotage. Donald Trump’s plans for a wall along the US border with Mexico are emblematic of a toughening up of controls on migration. An era of open markets and open borders – where trade and transnational capital flows rose rapidly as a share of global output – has run its course. The instruments of deglobalisation are being weaponised.

Today, governments are less interested in breaking down barriers and more concerned about safeguarding jobs, preventing intellectual property theft and the risk of cybercrime. Companies are realising that lengthy global supply chains designed to take advantage of low wages in the developing world have costs as well as benefits. Coronavirus has brought that home with a vengeance, and is likely to further encourage the repatriation of production that was offshored in the 1990s and 2000s.

Deglobalisation has happened before, notably between 1914 and 1945. It is happening now as a result of geopolitics, economic torpor, rising inequality, the failure to develop new political structures to manage globalisation, and the response to new threats.

Every wave of globalisation has required a champion, a hegemonic power confident enough to spread the gospel of free trade and open markets. That role fell to Britain in the late 19th century and the US in the second half of the 20th century.

But America’s self-confidence has been punctured by the rise of China as a strategic threat, and the power struggle between the world’s two biggest economies is heating up. Stock markets were jubilant when Washington and Beijing signed a trade deal but – rather like the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact of August 1939 – it is merely a truce of convenience. If Trump wins re-election in November, hostilities will resume.

Countries also get defensive when times are tough, as they have been ever since the financial crisis of 2008. The most recent wave of openness occurred in the decade after the collapse of communism, culminating in China becoming a member of the WTO in 2001. This was a time when growth was strong, partly due to a globalisation feedback loop in which cheaper imports pushed down inflation rates and allowed central banks in the west to keep interest rates low and asset prices high.

But the financial crisis exposed the weaknesses of a system that was able to operate globally without adequate controls and effective supervision. The resulting slump was deep and the recovery has been long, painful and incomplete. Inevitably, countries have become more cautious.

That trend has been amplified because globalisation’s fruits have been enjoyed primarily – though not exclusively – by owners of capital and the better off. Consumers have gained from lower prices, but inequality has risen in every part of the world. In democracies, there is a limit to how long people will put up with the rich getting richer while their living standards are stagnating or barely growing.

The hope – always somewhat sketchy – was that an international polity would be developed to match the internationalisation of economics. If capital could organise on a global level, the argument went, then democratic mechanisms could and would be developed too. This simply has not happened.

The one multilateral institution created in the past three decades to manage globalisation – the WTO – is in a parlous state. The WTO has two main functions: as a forum where comprehensive trade deals are negotiated, and to provide a court where trade disputes between countries can be settled. It is currently doing neither.

The failure to develop a transnational political response to globalisation has meant voters have demanded a response at a level where they have a voice: the nation state. Taking back control is proving to be a compelling rallying cry for the populists of the right such as Trump and the populists of the left such as Bernie Sanders. Neither man has much time for the WTO.

Global heating looks certain to add to the deglobalisation pressure. The existential threat posed by the climate emergency is forcing governments, businesses and consumers to ask some questions about the way the global economy works. Is it sensible to ship car parts backwards and forwards across national borders or invest in fossil fuel companies? Is it sustainable to fly in fruit and veg from the other side of the world rather than grow it locally? Most fundamentally of all, are there more important things than economic growth?

Globalisation was sold as a way of boosting prosperity for all by making markets bigger and more efficient. For a while the model worked, but when it blew up and caused extensive collateral damage, a backlash was inevitable. Deglobalisation is the result.

• Larry Elliott is the Guardian’s economics editor



Link to source:
 

Old Gray Mare

TB Fanatic
Could this potentially affect fertility in those men who do survive the infection?
 

Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)


Ontario couple have recovered but are still testing positive for coronavirus
By Rob Ferguson Queen's Park Bureau
Thu., Feb. 13, 2020

Ontario’s first two cases of the new coronavirus — a husband and wife — have recovered but remain in isolation at their home because tests still show them carrying the bug, authorities say.

Nose and throat swabs taken since the man was released from Sunnybrook hospital two weeks ago continue to show traces of coronavirus in both him and his wife, who was never hospitalized.

Public health officials are trying to decipher what that indicates as scientists in China and around the world work to pinpoint more traits of the virus, which has never before been seen in humans.

“There is some genetic material or viral material left in the individual specimens,” Dr. Vanessa Allen of Public Health Ontario said Thursday.

“We don’t know that means, whether that’s live or dead virus,” Allen said. “There’s some component of virus in those specimens and the criteria that have been laid out are being followed, that we required two negative specimens until we understand more about what that means.”

Those tests must be taken at least 24 hours apart.

Ontario’s chief medical officer of health said the apparent stubbornness of the coronavirus in the Toronto-area couple, who returned from China Jan. 22 aboard a China Southern Airlines flight, may be due to their age.

The man is in his 50s and has some other health conditions that could impair his ability to shed the virus, Dr. David Williams told a news conference at Queen’s Park.

“Younger people tend to have a shorter course and throw it off much quicker,” Williams said.

That is apparent in the case of Ontario’s third case of the new coronavirus, a Western University student in her 20s who returned Jan. 23 from visiting her sick parents in the outbreak’s epicentre of Wuhan. She recovered within three days and was cleared Wednesday.

Allen said Ontario’s testing process for the bug, now named COVID-19 by the World Health Organization, has now been accelerated.

Public health lab technicians in Ontario have begun using the same method as the federal lab in Winnipeg where previous cases have been sent for confirmation.

Negative tests in Ontario are no longer being shipped to Winnipeg, meaning cases can be ruled out within 24 hours of the swabs being taken instead of waiting another two or three days for a second test in Manitoba.

However, samples that test positive in Ontario are still being sent to Winnipeg for confirmation.

As of Thursday morning, Ontario had 15 cases under investigation and awaiting results. There have been no new confirmed cases in the last two weeks, despite the rising number of deaths and illnesses in China and to a lesser extent in other countries.

There are no more than 60,000 cases of the new coronavirus around the world, mostly in China.

Elsewhere in Canada, British Columbia has four cases.

Three people from Canada’s first repatriation flight from China have been tested for the novel coronavirus after showing symptoms of cough or fever at CFB Trenton but those tests have come back negative, Williams said.

Health Minister Christine Elliott said she is pleased that Ontario has not been hit harder by the coronavirus, although Williams noted authorities are staying vigilant.

“We are confident it is being contained,” Elliott said on the way into a cabinet meeting on Thursday.

“The system is working. People are doing their part and our medical professionals are doing what they need to do as well.”
 

Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
View: https://twitter.com/jenniferatntd/status/1228890938304598018


Jennifer Zeng @jenniferatntd
10:56 PM · Feb 15, 2020

Another bombshell. Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, on Jan. 5, reported to #China's National Health Commission that they had obtained the entire genome of a virus (89.11% similarity with #SARS), & suggested control measures at public places and antiviral therapy

View: https://twitter.com/jenniferatntd/status/1228892742928957440


Jennifer Zeng @jenniferatntd
11:03 PM · Feb 15, 2020

Meaning Shanghai already found a new virus ( to be named #CoVid2019 later) on Jan.5 and suggested taking control measures at public places. However, the National Health Commission did nothing. #Wuhan was still organizing a grand banquet on Jan 18, in which 40 K families attended
 

Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
NTD News‏ @news_ntd 3h3 hours ago

China destroys cash to fight coronavirus; Report reveals Xi knew about virus spread before Jan. 7


Xi Jinping ‘put China’s top echelon on notice’ in early days of coronavirus outbreak

Josephine Ma and Mimi Lau
Published: 11:28pm, 15 Feb, 2020 | Updated: 2:45pm, 16 Feb, 2020
  • Communist Party mouthpiece releases internal speech given to Politburo Standing Committee on February 3 with presidential orders to contain disease
  • Xi makes ‘rare’ disclosure move as he comes under heavy domestic and international pressure, analyst says
President Xi Jinping told the Communist Party’s top echelon to tackle an outbreak of a previously unknown coronavirus almost two weeks before Chinese authorities announced that there had been human-to-human transmission of the disease, according to an internal speech released on Saturday.

In the speech to the party’s most powerful body, the Politburo Standing Committee, Xi outlined a contingency plan to respond to a crisis that he said could not only hamper the health of people in China, but also jeopardise the country’s economic and social stability – even its open-door policy.

The speech was delivered on February 3 and published in the party’s bimonthly journal Qiushi on Saturday. It was also featured on state television and other official mouthpieces.The release comes as Xi tries to rally support to counter the biggest crisis in his tenure, including an outpouring of public anger over the death a week ago of ophthalmologist Li Wenliang, who was reprimanded by police for alerting his friends about the virus in its early days.

In his speech, Xi also accused local officials of not carrying out edicts from the central government, vowing to punish incompetent officials.

“I issued demands during a Politburo Standing Committee meeting on January 7 for work to contain the outbreak. On January 20, I gave special instructions about the work to prevent and control the outbreak and I have said we have to pay high attention to it,” he said.

The document did not say whether the Politburo was aware of human-to-human transmission of the disease at the time but research published by Chinese scientists said such infections occurred as early as December.

The speech by Xi also indicated his desire to win international understanding and support through propaganda and diplomacy.

“We have to liaise and communicate with other countries and regions, to share information about the outbreak and containment strategies to win international understanding and support,” he said.

The release of the speech also came as China reported 2,649 new confirmed coronavirus cases and 849 new severe cases. The death toll on the mainland rose by 143 to 1,524. The total number of confirmed cases across the country stood at 66,581, of which 11,053 – 18 per cent – were severe.The disease has spread to multiple continents, including Africa, which reported its first case – in Egypt – on Friday and France, which reported the first death in Europe.

In terms of domestic stability, Xi stressed the need to stabilise food and energy supplies to boost public confidence. He also ordered police to increase their presence on the streets.

“[We must] ensure societal control and security by stepping up law enforcement, mobilising public security and armed police in joint efforts,” Xi said.

The authorities should also update the public on their efforts to help boost public confidence, he said.

“[We must] inform the people of what the party and government is doing and what is our next step forward to strengthen the public’s confidence,” he said.

He said the government would encourage companies and scientific institutes to speed up research on drugs and vaccines for the outbreaks and they should share their information with the science sector.

At the same time, Xi stressed that national economic goals set for this year, such as achieving “moderate prosperity”, would remain.

This would be achieved by resuming production, boosting consumption and investment in infrastructure, particularly 5G communications.

“There should not be any thought that we can wait a bit [because of the epidemic],” he said.

Wu Qiang, a Beijing-based political analyst who specialises in analysing Xi’s speeches, said the president’s address was a “rare and interesting” shift from the past.

“The speech was made at a time when Xi is facing heavy domestic and diplomatic pressure,” Wu said.

“This is unprecedented. It sounds like he is defending and explaining how he has done everything in his capacity to lead epidemic prevention.”

Meanwhile, a panel of experts from the World Health Organisation began to arrive in Beijing on a trip that will take in three provinces.
Fang Bin is second Chinese citizen journalist to vanish while reporting from coronavirus epicentre

National Health Commission spokesman Mi Feng said the panel’s mission would include inspecting outbreak prevention work in urban and rural areas, and assessing viral analytics work before making recommendations to China.

Speaking publicly for the first time since being sent to Wuhan, NHC deputy director Wang Hesheng said he would make sure that there “would not be another Wuhan” in Hubei province. Nine medical centres with a combined capacity of nearly 7,000 beds had opened in the city and the province was planning to open more to treat patients with mild symptoms.

Various cities near Wuhan have stepped up quarantine. On Saturday, the small centre of Wuxue announced that with the exception of people working to contain the epidemic, anyone seen walking the streets would be sent to a stadium for “study sessions”.

Beijing has also appointed two senior firefighting commanders to the Ministry of Emergency Management’s leading group – Xu Ping, head of the ministry’s Forest Fire Bureau, and Qiong Se, director of its Fire and Rescue Bureau.

Zhou Xuewen and Liu Wei, two of the ministry’s existing leading party members, have been appointed deputy ministers for emergency management.
 

jward

passin' thru
I've not seen the study nor abstract yet, so no idea what they're saying- but my WAG is sure, scar up delivery route of the semen and fertility will decrease... not to mention the decreased opportunities to reproduce if you look ill/diseased.
 

Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
NYT also covered this:

(fair use applies)

China’s Leader, Under Fire, Says He Led Coronavirus Fight Early On
Xi Jinping was aware of the outbreak nearly two weeks before he first spoke publicly about it. It could draw him directly into questions about whether officials did too little, too late.

By Amy Qin
Published Feb. 15, 2020 | Updated Feb. 16, 2020, 1:41 a.m. ET

Under fire for its response to the coronavirus epidemic, China’s authoritarian government appears to be pushing a new account of events that presents President Xi Jinping as taking early action to fight the outbreak that has convulsed the country.

But in doing so, the authorities have acknowledged for the first time that Mr. Xi was aware of the epidemic and involved in the response nearly two weeks before he first spoke publicly about it — and while officials at its epicenter in the city of Wuhan were still playing down its dangers.

That new account risks drawing the president, China’s most powerful leader in decades, directly into questions about whether top officials did too little, too late.

In an internal speech published on Saturday, Mr. Xi said he had “issued demands about the efforts to prevent and control” the coronavirus on Jan. 7, during a meeting of the Politburo Standing Committee, the highest council of the Communist Party, whose sessions are typically cloaked in secrecy.

In the speech, he also said he had authorized the unprecedented lockdown of Wuhan and other cities beginning on Jan. 23.

“I have at every moment monitored the spread of the epidemic and progress in efforts to curtail it, constantly issuing oral orders and also instructions,” Mr. Xi said of his more recent involvement.

Mr. Xi’s advisers may have hoped that publishing the speech, delivered on Feb. 3. would dispel speculation about his recent retreat from public view and reassure his people that he can be trusted to lead them out of the epidemic. The virus so far has officially infected more than 68,000 people and killed more than 1,650 worldwide, the vast majority in mainland China.

“The overall tone of the speech appears to be defensive,” said Minxin Pei, a professor of government at Claremont McKenna College in California. “He wants to change the narrative, which until this point has been very unfavorable to the top leadership.”

Delivered at a meeting with top party officials, when the epidemic had already spiraled into a national crisis, the speech could expose Mr. Xi to criticism that he didn’t treat the initial threat urgently enough, and make it difficult for him to shift blame onto local officials for what many see as the government’s early mishandling of the epidemic.

The remarks also raise questions about what top leaders knew at the time and what instructions they issued based on that knowledge.

That Mr. Xi convened a meeting of China’s highest political body in early January indicates that the coronavirus was already being seen as a matter of high-level concern — making his subsequent silence even more conspicuous, experts say. An official account of the Jan. 7 Standing Committee meeting issued at the time by Xinhua, the state news agency, made no mention of a discussion of the coronavirus.

“It seems like he’s trying to indicate that ‘we weren’t asleep at the wheel,’” said Jude Blanchette, the Freeman Chair in China Studies at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. “But it comes off like ‘we knew this was a problem, but we weren’t sounding the alarm.’”

In the speech this month, Mr. Xi signaled his displeasure with lower-level bureaucrats for their “shortcomings” in implementing the party’s top-level directives.

In early January, officials in Wuhan were giving open assurances that human-to-human transmission of the virus was unlikely. Some government experts agreed.

“For now, it seems there is no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission,” Xu Jianguo, a senior expert on communicable diseases at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said in an interview in early January with Ta Kung Pao, a Hong Kong newspaper. “This shows that the threat level from this virus is limited.”

The new information places Mr. Xi’s involvement in fighting the epidemic much earlier than was previously known. His earliest public comment on the epidemic came on Jan. 20, when he gave brief instructions that were published in state media.

In the days after Mr. Xi’s Jan. 7 orders were issued, politicians in Wuhan met for the annual meeting of the city’s People’s Congress, its party-controlled legislature. Over that time, the Wuhan health commission’s daily bulletins on the outbreak said repeatedly that there were no new cases of infection, no firm evidence of human-to-human transmission and no infection of medical workers.

But signs were growing that politicians and government experts underestimated the potency of the new coronavirus. On Jan. 9, a 61-year-old man surnamed Zeng died — the earliest confirmed fatality from the virus. Already, some doctors in Wuhan hospitals were worried enough to warn friends and propose special wards for patients showing symptoms of infection.

Even after Mr. Xi made his first public remarks about the epidemic on Jan. 20, he mostly kept it at the bottom of his public agenda. On the day before the Lunar New Year holiday began in late January, he took the stage at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing and declared his success in guiding China through a difficult year — making no mention of the virus that was already spreading fear throughout the country.

As he spoke, Wuhan, a city of 11 million, was going into lockdown mode, in a desperate attempt to stop the virus from spreading.

Mr. Xi’s first public appearance after the lockdown of Wuhan on Jan. 23 came two days later, when he presided over a meeting of the Politburo Standing Committee.

“We’re sure to be able to win in this battle,” he proclaimed.

But in the days after, he all but disappeared from public view, emerging only a handful of times to preside over Communist Party meetings and to meet foreign visitors, including the director-general of the World Health Organization and Cambodia’s autocratic leader Hun Sen. In the meantime, he directed the country’s No. 2 leader, Li Keqiang, to lead the group handling the emergency, effectively turning him into the public face of the response.

For days, Mr. Xi’s absence from public view fueled speculation that he was trying to shield his own reputation by taking a back seat in the fast-unfolding crisis. In the past week, he has returned to center stage in an apparent effort to swat away such talk.

This past week, Mr. Xi went to a neighborhood center in Beijing, a hospital and a center for disease control in what state media billed as a visit to the “front line” of China’s efforts to combat the epidemic. He has yet to visit Hubei, the province at the center of the epidemic.

A few days later, Mr. Xi fired two top Communist Party officials in Hubei, a move intended to calm simmering public anger and contain the political fallout.

By publishing the Feb. 3 speech now, experts say, Mr. Xi appears to be staking his reputation on the outcome of the epidemic fight.

“What’s really interesting in the speech is there’s a lot of the word ‘I’ in it,” said Mr. Blanchette, of Center for Strategic and International Studies. “This is clearly putting himself at the center of Beijing’s response to this while also falling back on the old excuse of blaming cadres for longstanding pathologies of China’s political system.”

The Feb. 3 speech was published by Qiushi, or Seeking Truth, the Communist Party’s top doctrinal journal. It is rare for such an internal speech to be published in full so quickly.

In the speech, Mr. Xi described the efforts to end the epidemic as a “people’s war” and he singled out two key battlegrounds: Hubei Province, where the infections and deaths have been concentrated, and Beijing, the capital.

He also acknowledged that the epidemic and the fight to curtail it were likely to hurt the economy, slowing production and cooling trade.

In response, Mr. Xi said the government would provide financial support for businesses, help migrant workers return to their jobs and step up support for construction projects. He said the blow to consumer spending could be offset by encouraging spending in new areas, such as 5G phone networks, as well as online entertainment and education.

He also emphasized the importance of taking control of the narrative and winning over public opinion at home and abroad.

“There must be closer monitoring and assessment of opinion, proactively speaking out and giving positive guidance,” Mr. Xi said of Chinese public sentiment.

“Seize the initiative and effectively shape international opinion,” he added.
 

Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)

China provides ‘most advanced kits’ to Bangladesh to detect coronavirus
Published at 01:17 pm February 16th, 2020

China will be providing Bangladesh with 500 sets of the "most advanced kits" to identify coronavirus.

They are expected to arrive in Dhaka on Tuesday, Chinese Ambassador Li Jiming said at a meeting with Foreign Minister Dr AK Abdul Momen at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Sunday, reports UNB.

"These are real-time fluorescent RT-PCR kits for detecting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) and are the first such donation to any country from China," Deputy Chief of Mission and Minister (Counsellor) of the Embassy Yan Hualong said after the meeting.

He said more such kits will be provided if any case is confirmed in Bangladesh.

Foreign Minister Momen said China has been very helpful to Bangladesh throughout the process and recalled Chinese government's support in bringing back 312 Bangladesh nationals from Wuhan city, the epicentre of the coronavirus outbreak.

He said the Bangladeshis returned home after 14 days of observation.

"We are in touch [with China]," he said, referring to Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's recent message to the Chinese President Xi Jinping.

To fight further spread of the new virus outbreak in China and globally, and protect states with weaker health systems, the international community has launched a $675 million preparedness and response plan covering the months of February through to April 2020.

"My biggest worry is that there are countries today who don't have the systems in place to detect people who have contracted with the virus, even if it were to emerge," Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director-general of World Health Organization (WHO), said.

"Urgent support is needed to bolster weak health systems to detect, diagnose and care for people with the virus, to prevent further human to human transmission and protect health workers."

The Strategic Preparedness and Response Plan (SPRP) for the new coronavirus lays out activities and resources needed by international health organizations globally, including WHO, to implement priority public health measures in support of countries to prepare and respond to the virus for a period of February-April 2020.

Coronavirus outbreak has infected more than 69,000 people globally and killed over 1,660 people. The virus has spread to more than two dozen countries and affected global trade.

Ambassador Li Jiming had urged everyone to remain alert instead of creating panic and spreading rumours, noting that no Chinese national here and no Bangladesh national in China is infected with coronavirus.

The Chinese Ambassador also expressed displeasure for what he said was overreaction from countries like the USA and Australia to the situation.

"Let general people be alert but don't create panic. No panic, no rumour, and be rational," Ambassador Li Jiming told reporters at the Embassy adding that there is no need for "overreaction" to the situation.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Hfcomms

EN66iq
6:08 pm Feb 16

4 new infected cases
with COVID2019 were confirmed in Tokyo on Sunday, among whom two are close contacts of the taxi driver who was confirmed with the infection on Thursday: All-Nippon News Network

5:52 pm Feb 16

Companies in the epicenter of Hubei Province are not allowed to resume production unless being approved by epidemic prevention and control authorities: Hubei government

5:50 pm Feb 16

The government of Huanggang, one of the hardest-hit cities in the epidemic-stricken Hubei Province, awarded 500 yuan to people who proactively report and seek medical help after finding themselves with fever and cough symptoms.

5:17 pm Feb 16

Traffic control measures are strengthened across Hubei, epicenter of the COVID-19. All motor vehicles are forbidden to drive on road except for special vehicles such as vehicles for epidemic prevention, public transport vehicles and vehicles transporting daily necessities.

4:49 pm Feb 16

Yokohama, Japan announced on Sat that a man from the city's fire department who rescued infected patients from the Diamond Princess cruise ship has been infected with NCP, raising concerns in the city as the man was wearing a protective suit: Yomiuri Shimbun

3:41 pm Feb 16

The proportion of critical #COVID19 patients to all confirmed cases in Wuhan, Hubei Province and the rest of China have all dropped
-The ratio peaked at 32.4% on Jan 28 and fell to 21.6% in Wuhan on Sat
-It dropped from 15.9% on Jan 27 to 7.2% in other places outside Hubei on Sat

2:46 pm Feb 16

Frontline doctors in Wuhan denied online rumors about the viral impact being significantly weakened during the third and fourth-generation of infections and claimed that such statements are irresponsible

12:56 pm Feb 16

No new cases of COVID19 reported in Hainan, Qinghai, Ningxia and Tibet in China. Meanwhile, Tibet has been reporting no new infection case for 17 straight days since the region's only patient was discharged from hospital on Feb 12.

11:43 am Feb 16

A small number of patients at Leishenshan Hospital in the epidemic center Wuhan are likely to be discharged next week, said the hospital director on Sun. 500 beds are in operation in the hospital and the remaining 1,000 beds are expected to be available within two to three days

11:23 am Feb 16

The Security Bureau of the Hong Kong SAR Government said on Sat that it will arrange free chartered planes for the Hong Kong residents who have been quarantined on the “Diamond Princess" in Yokohama, Japan, and fly them back to Hong Kong as soon as they are allowed to be let off. All will be arranged to stay in a quarantine center for 14 days after returning to HK. According to the information provided by the cruise company, there are about 330 Hong Kong residents on board.

9:55 am Feb 16

Seventy new cases of COVID19 infections were confirmed on the quarantined cruise ship in Japan,
bringing the total number of cases to 355: Japanese media.

8:48 am Feb 16

142 new deaths 2,009 new confirmed cases of coronavirus infection were reported in the Chinese mainland. The total infection number soared to 68,500 with 1,665 deaths as of 24:00 Feb 15.

6:15 am Feb 16

Hubei Province reported 1,843 new cases of novel coronavirus pneumonia (including 888 clinically diagnosed cases) on Feb 15, with 139 new deaths and 849 cases of recovery. The total number of infections in the province climbed to 56,249, with 1,596 dead and 5,623 recovered.

 

Hfcomms

EN66iq
Forget Sars, the new coronavirus threatens a meltdown in China’s economy

  • Sars’ fatality rate may be higher than Covid-19’s, but economically speaking the new coronavirus is far more deadly
  • This time around, a worst-case scenario of financial collapse, foreign exodus and large-scale bankruptcy cannot be ruled out
Given the rapid advance of medical science and globalisation of recent decades, the scale, spread and economic costs of human epidemics are rocketing up, even if fatality rates are starting to fall.

Never before has China paid such an economic price for an epidemic as it has done already with the coronavirus, which originated in the Chinese city of Wuhan and causes the disease now officially known as Covid-19. And the damage is spreading.

It is too soon to assess the full impact of the virus as the data changes day after day and not even the brightest expert can say with any certainty when the outbreak might end. Nevertheless, that has not stopped economists from attempting to forecast the likely economic cost based on precedents such as the 2003 outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome, or Sars.

Sars sickened about 8,000 people and killed fewer than 800 and in these terms has already been surpassed by the new coronavirus, though its fatality rate of 9.6 per cent is significantly higher than that of Covid-19, which some estimates put at around 2.4 per cent. Sars cut two percentage points from China’s real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2003 and caused US$50 billion of damage to the global economy.


Of course, the economic losses from Covid-19 will depend somewhat on how long the outbreak lasts and on what policy support the Chinese government comes up with to offset the impact. But even at this stage, it is obvious that the economic impact of Covid-19 will be far more severe than that of Sars, or any other previous epidemic, for a number of reasons.

Firstly, the Chinese economy is four times as big as it was in 2003, so its losses and the impact on the global economy are likely to be correspondingly larger. China’s gross domestic product accounted for around 16 per cent of the global total last year while it was just four per cent in 2003. A rough estimate is that Covid-19 will cause at least four times as big a loss as Sars.

Secondly, the timing is far worse. The outbreak took place just days before the Lunar New Year holiday, when hundreds of millions of Chinese travel domestically and internationally to attend family reunions and festive events. Sars happened in the second quarter of the year, when there was far less activity to disrupt. What’s more, China’s economic shift away from manufacturing and exports to concentrate on services and consumption means it will be even more vulnerable to falling domestic demand caused by the epidemic and the government’s responses. Government clampdowns on travel and the behaviour of cautious consumers keen to avoid crowds and social gatherings mean a sharp drop in consumption. Hospitality, retail, air travel, transport, entertainment and tourism will be among the sectors hardest hit.

Thirdly, China’s rapid urbanisation means Chinese are now much more likely to travel domestically and abroad than two decades ago. This also means that when they stop travelling, the disruption is greater. The country has 288 million migrant workers, who account for about a third of China’s labour force. Many who travelled to rural homes for the holidays will be either unable or unwilling to return to work in the cities. Even if they are not frightened of the health consequences, there are travelling restrictions in force and many flights, rail services and long-distance buses have been halted.

Fourthly, the magnitude of the government’s response has been unlike anything ever seen before. Whole cities have been locked down, effectively grinding some local economies to a halt since Beijing declared all-out war on January 23. Currently, 30 of China’s 31 provinces have declared a top-level public health emergency, with all major cities and economic hubs effectively shut for weeks. The government has locked down 56 million people in quarantine in Hubei, banned tens of millions more from travelling across the nation, and imposed restrictions on activities in most urban areas. The Lunar New Year holiday has been extended for one or two weeks for most of the country. At the peak, provinces accounting for almost 69 per cent of China’s GDP were closed for business, according to Bloomberg Economics. There were no such measures in 2003.

Fifthly, rising US-China trade frictions will magnify the economic impact of Covid-19 as the world’s two largest economies remain locked in tariff and technology wars even if they have signed an interim truce. The epidemic may well trigger an exodus of multinational companies, as many firms were already rethinking their presence in China due to the tensions with the US and rising costs.

Sixthly, for the millions of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in China, the nightmare may be just beginning. Many small manufacturers fear foreign customers will shift orders to other countries due to disruptions in production and delivery. In a survey of 995 SMEs by academics from Tsinghua and Peking universities, 85 per cent said they would be unable to survive for more than three months under the current conditions. If the disruption goes on long enough, it could trigger a wave of bankruptcy among SMEs, which contribute more than 60 per cent of China’s GDP, 70 per cent of its patents and account for 80 per cent of jobs nationwide.

Finally, the epidemic will weigh on banks in the form of non-performing loans, adding risk to the banking system and pressure to the country’s towering debt pile, which stood at more than 300 per cent of annual GDP at the end of last year. Given the accumulated costs of decades of state-driven lending, an ever-inflating property bubble, and vast industrial overcapacity, the risk of default on the country’s 99.1 trillion yuan of outstanding onshore bonds is increasing. Corporate bond defaults already hit a record high last year amid an economic slowdown. The lower revenue and land sales income for local governments will in turn hit local government financing vehicles. The disruption will weigh on the capacity of some companies and individuals to repay loans, pushing up delinquency rates. Financially weak SMEs could face additional funding pressure as they are exposed to refinancing risk.

Unfortunately, as its scale is bigger and spread is faster, this epidemic is likely to go on far longer than Sars did. Recovery will be slow as quarantine measures and consumer caution will continue long after the disease has hit its peak. This will cause a social and political fallout that will hit not just the economy but also the whole society.
Thus, the worst-case scenario cannot be ruled out. Massive financial collapse, an exodus of foreign companies and large-scale bankruptcies all loom on the horizon if this epidemic cannot be contained soon. In short, nothing less than a major economic meltdown. ■

Cary Huang is a veteran China affairs columnist, having written on the topic since the early 1990s

 

DazedandConfused

Veteran Member
A further comment on cleaning masks for re-use. I'm seeing plenty of the plastic half-face masks with replaceable cartridges in my lumber and home depot stores. These are $30 or more for the mask, and the cartridge depends on the application. The valves in the mask means your exhaled air never touches the filter, and they should be good for days or weeks. My wife and I use them with N100 filters (got a carton of them) and leave them on for months at a time. And you can comfortably wear them for hours.

If you want a mask, they're still out there. I don't know the effective life for filtering a virus, but it's gotta be better than your breathe-on-me N95.
That's my go to mask N100 half mask 100% seal when worn the correct way clean shaven face !!!!
 
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