CORONA Can someone explain why this Coronavirus graph is so scary?

TammyinWI

TammyinWI

Talk is cheap
Looks like a comparison of different viruses including ebola and SARS, and the current worry: corona virus. It shows the growth for the number of days since it came on the scene, like exponential growth, in comparison...yi!
 
TammyinWI

TammyinWI

Talk is cheap
Thanks for posting this...yeah, I know what you mean now...for me, it started playing automatically.
 
The Cub

The Cub

Behold, I am coming soon.
It is an exponential function. Research what that means.

The disease is EXTREMELY CONTGIOUS...as designed. RO Factor is a measure of how infectious a disease is.

The reason for such rise is the RO Factor of the COV19, BIOWEAPON, which was reported to be as high as 6.7. Latest report is that the RO Factor may be 7.05. Martensen says that typical infectious diseases have RO Factors under 1.0.

Also, keep in mind that all such graphs are data driven.....China is lying about its data....and not all locations are testing in the same manner.

In spite of that, this is a MONSTER !
 
D

Dozdoats

On TB every waking moment
DW used to teach statistics at the university level. I showed her that GIF. She watched it three or four times to put all the data together and then she got all :eek:.

Yes, that might be the "o-fish-ul" data. But it is the data we have. Does anyone here believe the official data is being OVER-reported?
 
R

Rucus Sunday

Veteran Member
Does anyone here believe the official data is being OVER-reported?
Click to expand...

Not according to these two:
www.youtube.com

serpentza

For Motorcycle adventures around the world, and a talk-show on two wheels go to ADVChina every Monday 11am PST / 1pm EST https://www.youtube.com/advchina For...
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www.youtube.com

laowhy86

For Motorcycle adventures around the world, and a talk-show on two wheels go to ADVChina every Monday 11am PST/1pm EST/ https://www.youtube.com/advchina For ...
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Not that they are experts, but they've both lived in China for many years, are fluent in the language, and have Chinese spouses/families. The first guy's Chinese wife is a doctor. They are convinced that numbers coming out of China are way underreported due to political reasons. If they are correct, then China might well be guilty of crimes against humanity (my opinion) because of their reluctance not only to warn of the virus, but also continue to allow massive travel well after they knew something was seriously wrong. Don't know about other countries, though. It might still take a week or two until we have reliable non-Chinese international stats?
 
ShadowMan

ShadowMan

Designated Grumpy Old Fart
It's very simple. WHEN....not, IF, this virus get loose it will take off like a rocket headed to the moon and make the Black Death of the Middle Ages look like the Common Cold
 
CGTech

CGTech

Has No Life - Lives on TB

British ColumbiaB.C.'s 6th presumptive COVID-19 case flew from Montreal to Vancouver on Feb. 14
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Air Canada says case confirmed Feb. 22, 8 days after flight, health officials have contacted others onboard
CBC News · Posted: Feb 23, 2020 1:38 PM PT | Last Updated: 38 minutes ago

air-canada-turns-back-flight-to-india-after-pakistan-closes-airs.jpg

The passenger was aboard an Air Canada flight from Montreal's Pierre Elliott Trudeau Airport to Vancouver on Feb. 14. (Travis Pereira/CBC)
The B.C. Centre for Disease Control says the province's 6th presumptive case of COVID-19, a woman in her 30s, flew on an Air Canada flight from Montreal to Vancouver on Valentine's Day, eight days before she tested positive.
Officials say they have contacted those sitting close to her on the plane and flight staff as a precautionary measure.
Air Canada confirmed on Sunday that a passenger aboard one of its flights from Montreal to Vancouver on February 14 has tested positive for the novel coronavirus, COVID-19. The BCCDC later confirmed it was indeed the case announced on Thursday.
The airline said health authorities confirmed the case with it on Feb. 22, more than a week after the flight. Air Canada says it's working with public health authorities and has taken "all recommended measures."
The latest person to test positive for the virus lives in the Fraser Valley, about an hour drive east of Vancouver, but had been visiting Iran, where there has been a spike in cases.
On Sunday, the World Health Organization said there were 28 confirmed cases and five deaths from the virus in Iran.
The case surprised officials in B.C. when they learned the patient had only visited Iran, and not China or neighbouring countries that have had the bulk of COVID-19 cases.
The woman went to hospital upon returning to Canada with flu-like symptoms. She is recovering in isolation at home.
Presence in airport
The Montreal Airport Authority told CBC News that it had not been informed about the case by either Air Canada or B.C. public health authorities, but it also wouldn't expect to hear if they did not feel it was necessary.
The plane departed from Pierre Elliott Trudeau Airport. The airport said it doesn't know how long the passenger may have been in the airport.
In B.C. there have been five confirmed cases of COVID-19. The newest presumptive case will make it six, once a test is confirmed by the National Microbiology Lab in Winnipeg.
On Friday, the health authority in the Fraser Valley, where the person with the latest case is located, sent letters to schools districts saying one of her contacts may have attended school before the woman was diagnosed.
The letter emphasized that the contacts of the woman were not showing any signs of symptoms or illness while attending school and are currently well.
"There is no public health risks at schools in the region," said the letter. "There is also no evidence that novel coronavirus is circulating in the community."
New Ontario case
Meantime, officials in Ontario confirmed another presumptive case of COVID-19 in Toronto. It is a woman who arrived from China on Friday.
The province says it's unlikely that the woman was infectious and that she followed protocols such as wearing a mask throughout her travels.
The WHO said on Sunday that there are more than 78,000 confirmed cases of coronavirus in 28 countries.
 
CGTech

CGTech

Has No Life - Lives on TB
ShadowMan said:
It's very simple. WHEN....not, IF, this virus get loose it will take off like a rocket headed to the moon and make the Black Death of the Middle Ages look like the Common Cold
Click to expand...

Yep. I expect the rocket to launch by the end of the week.
 
Babs

Babs

Veteran Member
We'll soon start getting a much better picture from South Korea and Italy. Iran is not as forthcoming with statistics, but we might get some decent info from them.

The problem with the current numbers is that the mild cases will not get reported unless they've been tested and found positive. There could be thousands or millions that are not reported, thus making the current R0 look very bad. It's going to take some time to get a more accurate picture.
 
33dInd

33dInd

Veteran Member
TrueNorthNomads said:
Unfortunately, I do believe you’re right.


Kathy.
Click to expand...
Ok why................... depending on what and where your reading, its either the black death incarnate or its a version of the common cold. I have seen nothing of yet to cause h=me as much concern as when the HNIC let the ebola cases into the country.
What am I missing?????
 
R

rlm1966

Veteran Member
33dInd said:
Ok why................... depending on what and where your reading, its either the black death incarnate or its a version of the common cold. I have seen nothing of yet to cause h=me as much concern as when the HNIC let the ebola cases into the country.
What am I missing?????
Click to expand...
Definitely not the common cold. Ever seen a country lock down a city or kill it's economy for the common cold. Nope. Based on govco actions, not words, I am leaning more towards the black death side and less towards to cold side.
 
N

NCGirl

Veteran Member
33dInd said:
Ok why................... depending on what and where your reading, its either the black death incarnate or its a version of the common cold. I have seen nothing of yet to cause h=me as much concern as when the HNIC let the ebola cases into the country.
What am I missing?????
Click to expand...

China is Lying.

Look at the numbers outside of China.

Remember the number of people infected is not staying the same
it is growing....

While it may take a month or more,
there is only 2 outcomes:
Recovery
or
Death

Once you realize that, and you look at THOSE NUMBERS you might feel differently.

Hint, the death rate is NOT 2-3%
 
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