WAR Fear in the US: Israel may surprise and attack Iran - all signs point to immenient Israeli attack on Iran.

jward

passin' thru

Fear in the US: Israel may surprise and attack Iran - time.news - Time News​




The American Defense Minister will arrive in Israel this week. Fear in the US that Netanyahu will launch an attack on Iran due to the enrichment of uranium to the level of almost a bomb, and perhaps also in order to get out of the internal political crisis. The White House and the Pentagon fear that the government will surprise the United States and attack Iran

The Biden administration is showing restlessness in relation to the moves the government may make in light of the latest developments, therefore it decided to send to Israel, on short notice, the two most senior figures in the Pentagon, the American Chief of Staff and the Secretary of Defense, for clarification and coordination talks with senior officials of the security establishment and with senior political officials in Jerusalem, reports Ron Ben Yishai on the Ynet website.

The White House and the Pentagon fear that the government will surprise the United States and attack Iran. As you remember, Iran enriched uranium to the level of 84% in Purdue. The news that was published two weeks ago caused a mini-storm in Israel’s security systems. Ron Ben Yishai explains that from an American point of view, the situation now is similar to what it was in 2010-2012, when Barack Obama was president of the United States, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and then Defense Minister Ehud Barak planned to attack Iran.

Until now it was known that Iran had enriched uranium to the level of 60%, following this it was estimated in the West that by the end of 2023, Iran would have enriched uranium to various degrees in an amount sufficient for ten nuclear explosive devices. After the revelation about the enrichment to 84% at Purdue, it became clear that Iran now has the ability to produce fissile material sufficient for one nuclear warhead in just 12 days.

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jward

passin' thru

All Signs Point to Imminent Israeli Attack on Iran​

Israel has been preaching a credible military threat against Iran for years. What’s happening that makes now the time to act on that threat?
By Israel Today Staff | Mar 6, 2023 at 8:00 am | Topics: Iran



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Is an Israeli strike on Iran imminent?

Is an Israeli strike on Iran imminent? Photo: Israel Air Force
Is Israel about to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities? It sure looks that way.
The Jewish state has been preparing for years for such an eventuality, and now it appears the time has arrived.

What’s happening?​

The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Raphael Grossi, met with Iranian officials on Saturday and then issued a statement that it would be “illegal” for anyone to carry out an attack on a nuclear facility. Grossi had previously warned that Iran was on the verge of going nuclear.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu responded that Grossi had made an “unworthy” assertion, hinting that perhaps the IAEA chief was pressured to say what he said by his Iranian hosts.
  • The timing of Grossi’s visit, his apparent about-face and the urgency of his words suggested something is afoot.
Meanwhile, America’s two top military officials – the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the Secretary of Defense – are in the midst of unscheduled visits to Israel. General Mark Milley arrived last Friday and met with Israel’s chief of staff and defense minister, and Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin will do the same later this week.
  • Ron Ben-Yishai, military analyst for Israel’s largest newspaper, Yediot Ahronot, said that his sources in the Ministry of Defense revealed that the Americans were concerned that Israel was about to launch a surprise attack on Iran without coordinating beforehand with Washington.

Why now?​

As noted, Israel has been preparing for this for years, and has long stressed that a credible military threat was key to curbing Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
So what’s happening now that would make this the time to act on that threat?
There’s the obvious:
  • US officials reacted to a recent IAEA report by warning that Iran could have enough fissile material for a nuclear bomb in about two weeks.In other words: Iran is about to become a nuclear threshold state and it’s now or never.
  • Iran’s newfound closeness to Russia as a result of the Ukraine war means Israel could soon lose its freedom to act against Iranian forces in Russian-controlled Syria. A nuclear Iran with an unchecked military foothold in Syria is the kind of existential threat Israel cannot accept.
There’s also the diplomatic opportunity presented by present circumstances.
Western powers are today fervently aligned against the “evil” regime of Vladimir Putin. The fact that Tehran is assisting Putin in his war on Ukraine makes it easier than ever for Israel to convince the West that Iran, too, is a common foe that must be stopped.
And then there’s the home front.
Some are suggesting that Netanyahu intends to attack Iran to draw attention away from domestic opposition to his judicial reform. That’s a tactic common of other Middle East leaders, but that’s unlikely to be Bibi’s approach.
Even so, it is undeniable that times of great conflict have historically brought unity to an otherwise-fractious Israeli society.

 

Countrymouse

Country exile in the city
The Biden administration is showing restlessness in relation to the moves the government may make in light of the latest developments, therefore it decided to send to Israel, on short notice, the two most senior figures in the Pentagon, the American Chief of Staff and the Secretary of Defense, for clarification and coordination talks with senior officials of the security establishment and with senior political officials in Jerusalem, reports Ron Ben Yishai on the Ynet website.
"President Biden formally announced Friday that Jeff Zients, the former White House COVID-19 czar, will replace Ron Klain as chief of staff." (from a CBS news blurb Jan 27, 2023)

2014-07-11T120000Z_1637287640_GM1EA7B1U8X01_RTRMADP_3_OBAMA-1024x598.jpg


and Lloyd Austin is Secretary of Defense
1678132749344.jpeg

The last time Israel had to deal with someone who looked like this (all the showy medals, I mean), it was this guy:

images-8-1.jpeg
 

night driver

ESFP adrift in INTJ sea
And they did it RESOUNDINGLY!!!

============================================================================

So we're sending a Schwartz and an idiot to browbeat Netanyahu. Lemme know how THAT goes, guys.
 

jward

passin' thru
Coincidentally, and in unrelated news

Iran Says It's Discovered What Could Be the World's Second-Largest Lithium Deposit​


Natasha Turak,CNBC​



  • "For the first time in Iran, a lithium reserve has been discovered in Hamedan" in the country's west, an official at Iran's Ministry of Industry, Mines and Trade said.
  • The ministry believes the deposit holds 8.5 million tons of lithium, which is often called "white gold" for the rapidly growing electric vehicle industry.
Iran says it's discovered a massive deposit of lithium — a key element in batteries for devices and electric vehicles — in one of its western provinces.
"For the first time in Iran, a lithium reserve has been discovered in Hamedan," a mountainous province in the country's west, Mohammad Hadi Ahmadi, an official at Iran's Ministry of Industry, Mines and Trade, was quoted as saying on Iranian state television Saturday.
The ministry believes the deposit holds 8.5 million tons of lithium, which is often called "white gold" for the rapidly growing electric vehicle industry. If the claimed figure is accurate, that would make the deposit the second-largest known lithium reserve in the world after Chile, which holds 9.2 million metric tons of the metal, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
The lucrative element is a crucial component in the cathodes of lithium-ion batteries in EVs, as well as in rechargeable batteries like those used in cellphones. The metal's price has skyrocketed in the last year due to higher demand for electric vehicle parts, global supply chain problems and inflation, but fell more recently, undergoing a correction amid a drop in EV sales and slow business activity in China, the fastest-growing EV market.
Iran's lithium deposit news, if true, would be a lifeline for the country's battered economy.

Money Report​




Weighed down by several years of heavy international sanctions and faced with a spiraling currency, which hit its lowest point against the dollar in late February, Iran would benefit greatly from the ability to export such valued resources — though its trading partners would likely be limited due to those sanctions.
Isolated from the global financial system, Iran continues to draw penalties from Western nations that accuse Tehran of supplying Russia with weapons that are being used in its war in Ukraine. Iran's government has also spent nearly six months cracking down violently on women's rights and anti-government protesters.
In terms of the global lithium market, such an addition to the world's known reserves could push prices of the metal down further, depending on Iran's capacity to export.

Iran is also one of the world's top producers of oil and gas, but its inability to export widely due to sanctions has slashed its capacity to bring in revenue and foreign currency as well as its ability to contribute to global supply.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs see lithium dropping further in price.
"Over the next 9-12 months, we are progressively more constructive on base metals, whilst expecting a move lower in lithium prices alongside cobalt and nickel," a report from the bank's commodities research desk from late February wrote.

In the next two years, Goldman expects lithium's supply to grow on average by a substantial 34% year on year, led by Australia and China, which hold some of the world's largest supplies of the metal.
"Hence, whilst a recovery in EV sales into 23Q2-Q3 could temporarily lift sentiment and support falling battery metal prices, the likely supply surge and downstream overcapacity are set to bring lithium prices down subsequently in the medium term," the bank wrote.
 

Blacknarwhal

Let's Go Brandon!
Coincidentally, and in unrelated news

Iran Says It's Discovered What Could Be the World's Second-Largest Lithium Deposit​


Natasha Turak,CNBC​



  • "For the first time in Iran, a lithium reserve has been discovered in Hamedan" in the country's west, an official at Iran's Ministry of Industry, Mines and Trade said.
  • The ministry believes the deposit holds 8.5 million tons of lithium, which is often called "white gold" for the rapidly growing electric vehicle industry.
Iran says it's discovered a massive deposit of lithium — a key element in batteries for devices and electric vehicles — in one of its western provinces.
"For the first time in Iran, a lithium reserve has been discovered in Hamedan," a mountainous province in the country's west, Mohammad Hadi Ahmadi, an official at Iran's Ministry of Industry, Mines and Trade, was quoted as saying on Iranian state television Saturday.
The ministry believes the deposit holds 8.5 million tons of lithium, which is often called "white gold" for the rapidly growing electric vehicle industry. If the claimed figure is accurate, that would make the deposit the second-largest known lithium reserve in the world after Chile, which holds 9.2 million metric tons of the metal, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
The lucrative element is a crucial component in the cathodes of lithium-ion batteries in EVs, as well as in rechargeable batteries like those used in cellphones. The metal's price has skyrocketed in the last year due to higher demand for electric vehicle parts, global supply chain problems and inflation, but fell more recently, undergoing a correction amid a drop in EV sales and slow business activity in China, the fastest-growing EV market.
Iran's lithium deposit news, if true, would be a lifeline for the country's battered economy.

Money Report​




Weighed down by several years of heavy international sanctions and faced with a spiraling currency, which hit its lowest point against the dollar in late February, Iran would benefit greatly from the ability to export such valued resources — though its trading partners would likely be limited due to those sanctions.
Isolated from the global financial system, Iran continues to draw penalties from Western nations that accuse Tehran of supplying Russia with weapons that are being used in its war in Ukraine. Iran's government has also spent nearly six months cracking down violently on women's rights and anti-government protesters.
In terms of the global lithium market, such an addition to the world's known reserves could push prices of the metal down further, depending on Iran's capacity to export.

Iran is also one of the world's top producers of oil and gas, but its inability to export widely due to sanctions has slashed its capacity to bring in revenue and foreign currency as well as its ability to contribute to global supply.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs see lithium dropping further in price.
"Over the next 9-12 months, we are progressively more constructive on base metals, whilst expecting a move lower in lithium prices alongside cobalt and nickel," a report from the bank's commodities research desk from late February wrote.

In the next two years, Goldman expects lithium's supply to grow on average by a substantial 34% year on year, led by Australia and China, which hold some of the world's largest supplies of the metal.
"Hence, whilst a recovery in EV sales into 23Q2-Q3 could temporarily lift sentiment and support falling battery metal prices, the likely supply surge and downstream overcapacity are set to bring lithium prices down subsequently in the medium term," the bank wrote.

Tesla's working on an electric car that needs no lithium. Or so they say. Something to consider.
 

colonel holman

Veteran Member
plus Russia sending their latest version AA missile system that IAF has not been able to defeat. Once in place, IAF cannot expect a successful attack outcome. That all by itself is a motivation for attack.
 

dvo

Veteran Member
We…here…have speculated about this for years now. Netanyahu would be the PM to say go. I don’t know the military logistics of this. Iran is rather far away for planes, except for lots of refueling help. Missiles are more doable. If such a thing happens, I predict we abandon Israel. We have the perfect administration for that stance. I won’t even get into the eschatology thing, but something seems familiar in my head.
 

mzkitty

I give up.
The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Raphael Grossi, met with Iranian officials on Saturday and then issued a statement that it would be “illegal” for anyone to carry out an attack on a nuclear facility. Grossi had previously warned that Iran was on the verge of going nuclear.

Really? Since when is Iran *allowed* to have that kind of nuclear material?
 

Troke

On TB every waking moment
Anybody who thinks that Israel will allow an Arab country to go nuke has a terminal case of mental constipation. One tac nuke will solve the Iran problem permeantly.
 

Illini Warrior

Illini Warrior
Isreal can bomb the everlasting shit out of Iran and nobody would give two hoots >>> but it's Putin that's the real worry - Is he stupid enough to try saving face and attack Isreal?
 

Pat Hogen

Contributing Member
America has its hands full with China, Ukraine and Nth Korea, Israel stepping out of line would constipate the whole US think tank.
 
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