ECON FUNG RED ALERT: DOW AND NAS PLUNGE - Friday 2/28 - DOW Hits -1,000 In Early Morning Trading

Red Baron

Paleo-Conservative
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Getting some real downward velocity since my last post.

The last three days I've seen DOW -1,000 as a sort of psychological and maybe even a PPT threshold for intervention.

Seeing it again today.

DOW.PNG
 

Red Baron

Paleo-Conservative
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OK this is nuts.

Right on cue, we pull back from DOW -1,000.

A 200 point swing in just three minutes. The chart itself, didn't have enough time to update.

LOL

DOW.PNG
 

NoMoreLibs

Kill Commie's, Every Single One Of Them!
Just checked and we're down another 98x? Seriously? Over a bug that's not nearly as bad as the Flu A or B?

Is this the beginning of Trump's takedown ramping up towards November?
 

Freeholder

This too shall pass.
Just checked and we're down another 98x? Seriously? Over a bug that's not nearly as bad as the Flu A or B?

Is this the beginning of Trump's takedown ramping up towards November?

Where did you get the idea that the corona virus is not nearly as bad as the flu? Flu has an average CFR of .1. COVID 19 has an average CFR of at least 2, possibly higher. That’s quite a bit more than the flu. Add in the fact that this virus seems to be far more infectious than the flu, and there is definitely cause for concern.

Kathleen
 

The Hammer

Has No Life - Lives on TB
I keep waiting for that rally, and it's concerning that it's not happening yet.

Even in 08-09, you'd have people calling a bottom and rushing in, buying the market a nice up day before the next day brought more carnage.
 

Red Baron

Paleo-Conservative
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I keep waiting for that rally, and it's concerning that it's not happening yet.

Even in 08-09, you'd have people calling a bottom and rushing in, buying the market a nice up day before the next day brought more carnage.

In the past, I have heard some TV experts say that traders like to cut their losses, sell, and then go home early on a Friday.

.
 

hiwall

Has No Life - Lives on TB
There is likely to be a rally but not today because there is too much risk of something happening over the weekend. Maybe on Monday we'll see a bump.
 

NoMoreLibs

Kill Commie's, Every Single One Of Them!
Odd thing is gold and oil are getting hammered too. Used to be in the day, stocks down, gold up. Not in bizzaro world.
 

Red Baron

Paleo-Conservative
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Took four minutes to get it back above DOW 1,000.

Damn obvious where the line has been drawn the last few days.

DOW.PNG
 

Hfcomms

EN66iq
There is likely to be a rally but not today because there is too much risk of something happening over the weekend. Maybe on Monday we'll see a bump.

I‘m concerned if they don’t get a handle on it today Monday might be too late. So much of the trading is computer driven and computers don’t have emotions. Hit the stops and they sell and it feeds on itself. There are calls for the global central banks to act in unison Sunday night but instead of reassuring people it might well backfire considering all the bad news that is likely to continue thru the weekend.
 

CaryC

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Crude oil 44.00 (does that make gas 1.00 a gallon lol)

Gold 1590

Looks like everybody is going to hold cash over the weekend.
 

Luddite

Veteran Member
UNBELIEVABLE.

When yuuge anecdotal and circumstantial evidence supports the theory that it is all manipulated, gold and the market, yes it is believable.

I suspect it will stay that way until it completely unravels. I remember the stupid "Why" Enron commercials until shortly before "kenny boy" lay got his tit in a ringer. just one example...
 

Dafodil

Veteran Member
Stole this from the vanguard site. With a DJIA of 28000 we need almost a 2000 point drop for the circuit breakers to kick in.

tbd


Market volatility regulations
Circuit breakers
Circuit-breaker points represent the thresholds at which trading is halted market-wide for single-day declines in the S&P 500 Index. Circuit breakers halt trading on the nation's stock markets during dramatic drops and are set at 7%, 13%, and 20% of the closing price for the previous day. The circuit breakers are calculated daily.

Level 1 halt (7%)
  • Trading will halt for 15 minutes if drop occurs before 3:25 p.m.
  • At or after 3:25 p.m.—trading shall continue, unless there is a Level 3 halt.
Level 2 halt (13%)
  • Trading will halt for 15 minutes if drop occurs before 3:25 p.m.
  • At or after 3:25 p.m.—trading shall continue, unless there is a Level 3 halt.
Level 3 halt (20%)
  • At any time during the trading day—trading shall halt for the remainder of the trading day.
Single stock price bands
The SEC implemented a new marketplace rule, known as the Limit Up-Limit Down Rule, designed to prevent trades from executing outside of price bands established throughout the day for individual stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

i was wondering when the stops close it down! Thanks!
 

20Gauge

TB Fanatic
There is likely to be a rally but not today because there is too much risk of something happening over the weekend. Maybe on Monday we'll see a bump.
If this tells you nothing else, it is evidence of the disconnect of the market due to manipulation...
 

Dozdoats

On TB every waking moment
OK this is nuts.

Right on cue, we pull back from DOW -1,000.


There are no markets. Only manipulations - sez the old quote. That may not be the case for much longer as we witness what might be the re-emergence of real markets as a price discovery mechanism.

And as to metals, only about 1% or less of the metals market goes thud if you drop it. Most of it is paper trades. Get real metal, if you want metal, NOT an ETF (exchange traded fund, like GLD) etc.
 

The Snack Artist

Membership Revoked
I JUST sold my 4 bedroom condo in Florida at
Long-term, I can see all kinds of follow-on effects if the virus actually takes out a significant percentage of our elderly. Things like a drop in housing prices (glut on the market and lower demand). Lower demand for some kinds of home medical equipment. What other long-term effects seem likely?

Kathleen
I just sold my 4 bedroom condo in Florida at the end of Jan. I lowered the price until I found the bid. If you all could see how much they were building down there! Every plot of land worth a damn was being built on. Got out in the nick of time.
 

The Snack Artist

Membership Revoked
I‘m concerned if they don’t get a handle on it today Monday might be too late. So much of the trading is computer driven and computers don’t have emotions. Hit the stops and they sell and it feeds on itself. There are calls for the global central banks to act in unison Sunday night but instead of reassuring people it might well backfire considering all the bad news that is likely to continue thru the weekend.
Central Banks have no room anymore. A quarter point rate cut will be laughed at by this monster. Europe is already in negative rate territory. What are they going to do? That said, there is plenty of room to run on this mkt. It's been straight up since 08 and 667 on the S&P. Before this started it was trading in the 3200 area.
 
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The Snack Artist

Membership Revoked
I‘m concerned if they don’t get a handle on it today Monday might be too late. So much of the trading is computer driven and computers don’t have emotions. Hit the stops and they sell and it feeds on itself. There are calls for the global central banks to act in unison Sunday night but instead of reassuring people it might well backfire considering all the bad news that is likely to continue thru the weekend.
What happened to all the market makers? What happened to the duty of the Specialists on the NYSE to BTFD? They will not step in. The computers are all but shut off when these moves come. I was in the biz for 30+ years and have seen it with my own eyes. Felt it with my own fear. TPTB eliminated the market makers with a "more efficient" electronic system that is now turned off because they are afraid. Alligator arms so to speak. The Specialists on the NYSE are doing the same thing. Chivalry is dead. They used to step in and buy a stock that was dropping. Catch the falling knife so to speak. That was their JOB! They were risk takers! No more. They stand back and watch like everyone else. The NYSE is basically a TV studio for CNBS now. For real.
 

Kathy in FL

Administrator
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Where did you get the idea that the corona virus is not nearly as bad as the flu? Flu has an average CFR of .1. COVID 19 has an average CFR of at least 2, possibly higher. That’s quite a bit more than the flu. Add in the fact that this virus seems to be far more infectious than the flu, and there is definitely cause for concern.

Kathleen

Because the CFR hasn't been averaged out yet. The CFR for seasonal flu is generally higher in Asia where flu strains start. This is due to a combination of issues including the widespread pollution issues and how it affects respiratory function in industrialized Asia.

While this novel corona virus has infected a lot of people, the number of infections comes no where near seasonal flu levels that number into the multi-millions every single year, and deaths are in the tens of thousands from flu every year as well.

COVID 19 has some potential to be just as deadly as a bad seasonal flu year but thus far I see no evidence that it is equal to the deaths possible from a pandemic flu strain, certainly not a 1918 Spanish Flu Pandemic.

What is going to be a problem is the intentional and politically-motivated actions of those manipulating useful idiots to retake power.
 

Dozdoats

On TB every waking moment
Silver down 1dollar fixing to pull the trigger on 30 more ounces

Absolutely unsolicited advice, perhaps unwelcome to boot, but this is TB2K :D

Look into the current price of 'junk silver' dimes. IME even an ounce of silver might concentrate too much value in the future, I have no way of knowing exactly what the future will bring but I did run into that issue in the past with gold. Which was when I started letting go of bullion ounces.

Silver dimes are already pre-divided into manageable units and may be more useful thereby. Remember "bits" - that "two bits four bits six bits a dollar" thing, when silver dollars were cut up for small change when there was no other money.

IMO we may be looking at another era like that again, when digits, paper and plastic go away and actual real historical money is all that will be acceptable. Not saying that will be the case, not saying I WANT that to be the case, but if history doesn't repeat it rhymes.

Stand by for consequences....
 

Kathy in FL

Administrator
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My guess... and it's a guess, is paper

Since most gold IS paper these days you could say the metal markets are actually paper markets. Gold is only worth what you can trade it for or use it for industrially. That's significantly lower than it trades when combined with paper. You can't even pay people their payroll in gold pieces. Don't believe me then ask the IRS what they think of that.
 
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