CORONA Main Coronavirus thread

Shadow

Swift, Silent,...Sleepy
More odd diagnosis from
1f1ef-1f1f5.png
- this reporter says that this driver that tested (+) for #SARSCoV2 drove around the media group that specifically follows and covers Japanese Prime Minister Abe
.
If the Prime Minister Has A Secret Service equivalent they must be going nuts right now!

It will be interesting to see any changes that take place.

Shadow
 

Shooter

Veteran Member
How can they possibly hold either of the conventions this year????

or. for that matter, the election?

upshot: national emergency , DJT stays POTUS...indefinitely!
Im ok with that, but they can do it without a convention, Trump wont need one, he will get better than 99% of the votes for him to run again, the dems, just go with no convention, use the primary votes strait from the states, then the election,guess your just gonna have to risk voting, mabye increase the voting sites, where I vote, has mabye 300 voters, so plenty of room for gaps between voters
 
Last edited:

Esto Perpetua

Veteran Member
What if the virus is never cured. The patient seems to recover but is still infected only to break out again and again
I've wondered if it's been here already. My whole family picked up something around Christmas and were sick off and on for a month. We'd get better and then a couple days later we got sick again. I have scars in my lungs so if my lungs start to feel stuffy I bust out the nebulizer before it gets bad. I used duoneb, then mucomyst and when I was at my worst I put colloidal silver in it. I also used a sinus rinse and added some silver to that when my sinuses were bothering me.

I think we're all well now. My son has to go to Seattle for business and my husband has to get laser surgery on his lungs. I'm hoping we can all keep dodging this thing or fighting it off...

I have also wondered if this thing will eventually mutate into something comparable to a cold. That would be a blessing.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Anyone else think that some of China's strategies were counterproductive?
(1) Mass quarantines in large spaces and shared toilets of suspected people with disobedient people, as well as sick people. (Some of these apparently also were without their everyday meds.)
(2) Sending suspected people home to their families.
(3) Telling people to wear masks but not gloves and eye wear.
 

Jubilee on Earth

Veteran Member
Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 23m23 minutes ago

Eric Feigl-Ding Retweeted Andy Sharp シャープ・アンディ

More odd diagnosis from
1f1ef-1f1f5.png
- this reporter says that this driver that tested (+) for #SARSCoV2 drove around the media group that specifically follows and covers Japanese Prime Minister Abe
.

So I’ve seen this several times over the last two days, referring to it as SARSCoV2 or SARS 2. What is that? Did they change the name again???
 

Shadow

Swift, Silent,...Sleepy
Anyone else think that some of China's strategies were counterproductive?
(1) Mass quarantines in large spaces and shared toilets of suspected people with disobedient people, as well as sick people. (Some of these apparently also were without their everyday meds.)
(2) Sending suspected people home to their families.
(3) Telling people to wear masks but not gloves and eye wear.
I have been wondering about the response level in all countries. This came out of a BSL-4 lab, and I thought it was identified as a BSL-4 infectious agent. Yet, contrasting to when ebola hit the US and all the complete bio-suits and the talk of only having 24 (?) Bio level 4 hospital beds in the whole country, what I see being done makes no sense. Unless of course the purpose is to spread it.

Is the COVID19 a bio-level 4 or 3 or 2 or what?

Shadow
 

Jubilee on Earth

Veteran Member
I've wondered if it's been here already. My whole family picked up something around Christmas and were sick off and on for a month. We'd get better and then a couple days later we got sick again. I have scars in my lungs so if my lungs start to feel stuffy I bust out the nebulizer before it gets bad. I used duoneb, then mucomyst and when I was at my worst I put colloidal silver in it. I also used a sinus rinse and added some silver to that when my sinuses were bothering me.

I think we're all well now. My son has to go to Seattle for business and my husband has to get laser surgery on his lungs. I'm hoping we can all keep dodging this thing or fighting it off...

I have also wondered if this thing will eventually mutate into something comparable to a cold. That would be a blessing.

There is a lot of documented information out there that the Influenza A that’s going around is the same H1N1 flu, the bad one from 2009, becoming widespread this season. It could be that as well, which can cause severe symptoms. Not good for those looking out for COVID-19 symptoms, and also not good for hospitals and doctor/clinic offices.
 

Blacknarwhal

Let's Go Brandon!
This was put up four days ago. It's a 48-minute video called "Corona Unmasked." It's full of video direct from China itself. A lot of stuff we've heard, and plenty we haven't. This is the first video I've ever seen where YouTube gave me a "mature content" warning beforehand, so proceed accordingly.

Based on this, it's a disaster over there. How far the disaster will stretch, though, is anyone's guess.

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MMC5lOSk0Mw&bpctr=1581996300
 

Scotto

Set Apart
Apples and Oranges.

An R0=1 means that each person who get the disease passes it on to on average, one other person.

A Chain of 4+ means that there are cases where, whatever the R0 is, a chain of infections have been documented spanning at least 4 generations. This can happen with an R0 of less than 1, though far less likely, or an R0 of 5, which would be much more likely.

Seem legit?


This is what Chance posted:

This isn't Ro = 4 - this is one person passing to another, and that person passes to another, and that person passes to another. 4 generations.

What Chance described is best shown here, which is what I was getting at:

R0.jpg
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
This was put up four days ago. It's a 48-minute video called "Corona Unmasked." It's full of video direct from China itself. A lot of stuff we've heard, and plenty we haven't. This is the first video I've ever seen where YouTube gave me a "mature content" warning beforehand, so proceed accordingly.

Based on this, it's a disaster over there. How far the disaster will stretch, though, is anyone's guess.

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MMC5lOSk0Mw&bpctr=1581996300

The Authorities are not fooling around
 

Dozdoats

On TB every waking moment
From A Doc On The WuFlu


From A Doc On The WuFlu
Posted on February 17, 2020 | Leave a comment



With the caveat noted:
Below is the email I sent to my family earlier today. They aren’t as up on current events so there is some background that may be redundant for your readers.

There is a tremendous amount of uncertainty surrounding this entire situation. So take this with whatever sized grain of salt you deem appropriate.


Subject: COVID-19
So, the Wuhan coronavirus.

COVID-19, it’s now called. This particular virus originated with bats (although some argue that a bioweapons lab was involved), then combined with a prior dangerous human virus and crossed over to humans.

It’s spread by “airborne” transmission, meaning droplets small enough to float in the air for several hours. All airborne diseases are very contagious, and this is no exception. It’s spread exponentially in China and has shut down a substantial fraction of that country, with 400 million people in quarantine. Unfortunately, it has up to a 24 day incubation period, can be spread by people when they are completely asymptomatic, and once sick, patients are sick for about 2-3 weeks. So this quarantine will be in place for quite some time, months at least.

There are official data but no one believes them. There is a massive disparity between words and actions. The data they put out suggests that it is serious but not catastrophic, but they are acting like it’s the second coming of the Black Death. Very draconian measures have been put into place–like welding apartment complex doors shut. It has spread to many other countries including the US, but it’s not really taken hold anywhere else just yet – that we know of.
This virus is about 30x as dangerous as the standard flu, as far as we can tell. Of course, this all depends on data from the Chinese government, see paragraph above. They claim about 2-3% of the people that get it die, but I’d regard that as the low end estimate, given how crazy the Chinese have been about quarantine.

There is no established treatment nor vaccine for this virus. There are a host of ongoing clinical trials but so far the only thing that seems to make any difference is to transfuse serum from someone who survived, into sick folks.

Avoidance is key.

Hospitals have special rooms, equipment, and protocols to help prevent transmission, all falling under the umbrella term “airborne precautions”. The rooms can’t be replicated at home, but some of the equipment and all of the protocols can be.

The equipment: masks, gloves at a minimum, as well as, gowns and face shields.

The protocols: See this link, and wash your hands all the time. If there is no soap or water around, alcohol hand sanitizer (see below) will do.

I will say that I have my doubts about the CDC recommendations. Every picture I have seen of the foreign medical personnel show them in full Tyvek suit, but the CDC recommends a lower level of protection.

This is similar to what happened during the Ebola scare, wherein everyone else used full pressurized “space suits” and the CDC recommended something obviously inadequate. So some grains of salt are required.

Specifics: A plain n95 or n100 mask will do, brand name not important. A Half-face mask with equivalent particulate filters will do. If you are made of money, a Powered Air Purifying Respirator (PAPR) is the best but wowza expensive.

Disposable gloves are great but in a real situation you will go through them like candy on Halloween. The heavy duty dishwashing gloves are as good and reusable.

Medical gowns are what is currently recommended by the CDC, and are helpful, but see the Tyvek suit comment above.

Hospitals use these disposable face shields. I prefer safety goggles, they are good for what ails you anyway. These are my favorites.

Almost anything that you usually use for cleaning will kill the Coronavirus. And clean you must, as the virus can live on surfaces for several hours. Lysol put up a nice page detailing (towards the bottom of the page) which of their products will kill the virus. Anything equivalent from any other company would do.

For handwashing, soap and water will do, alcohol based hand sanitizer with greater than 65% EtOH will also work. Of course if you need a skin burn then things like bleach will work as well.

Some practice in putting on and taking off the personal protective equipment is in order.

In terms of the overall impact, I lay out a couple of scenarios below. Others have done similar things.

– Best case scenario, for the USA: minimal if any medical impact, no panic, but a big recession in any fields that rely on Chinese imports or sales to China. China itself is already hurting, bigtime; that can’t help but impact the rest of the world.

– Most likely scenario, USA: moderate medical impact (meaning in some fashion the virus is contained, minimal mortality rate), at least some panic/unrest with a lot of people avoiding going outside. Probably a federally ordered semi-quarantine for at least a month or 2. This would cause the effects above, plus add a recession for anything that involves social interaction.

– Worst case: massive pandemic, virus uncontrolled. This would overwhelm the medical and social systems, and could kill as many as 3% of the population (around 9 million people). This would completely wreck the entire world economy and throw us into a prolonged full on Great Depression or worse.

So, assuming the utilities still work, preps for the most likely scenario above would include at least 2 months (24 day incubation plus 3 weeks sickness, rounded up) of the materials above, as well as whatever you use for 2 months. Food is high on the list, but 2 months worth of toilet paper, soap, shampoo, laundry detergent, diapers, etc.

The upside is that if you purchase any of the above, most will eventually get used over time. For example, I use the dust masks when cutting wood, and gloves for application of wood stain or glues. I have a set of safety goggles for woodworking too, so this isn’t too much of a jump. The medical isolation gowns are pretty much useless for anything other than, well, medical isolation.

Nothing here is a guarantee. There is so much uncertainty involved in this that it’s hard to make predictions, other than the Chinese economy tanking (since that’s already happening, that’s a gimme).

But having at least some protection and a plan is better than being caught flat-footed when there is a run on medical supplies and long-term food.





Leave a comment

Posted in Uncategorized
 

momengineer

Senior Member
Would We Still Have Power & Water If We Had A Massive Coronavirus Quarantine In The US?

Profile picture for user Tyler Durden
by Tyler Durden
Zero Hedge
Monday, 02/17/2020 - 20:45



Authored by Selco Begovic and Daisy Luther via The Organic Prepper blog,

How long do you think a pandemic quarantine could go on with power, running water, the internet, and trash pick-up continuing to run as normal?

If Covid-19 (also known as the Wuhan coronavirus or nCoV-2019) were to spread where you live as it has in China, it’s possible that extreme measures could be taken. Possibly even a China-style lockdown, where people are told to stay in their homes and where businesses are closed. I’m referring to something much more extreme than just a handful of us self-isolating.



While I certainly hope such a situation is unlikely, it’s something we should all consider a possibility and get prepared for, just in case. Considering whether or not this would be an off-grid scenario would play an extremely important part in your preparations.

Selco and I had a very interesting chat about this after I’d raised the point in a group discussion. I thought you might be interested in our thoughts. Of course, there’s no way to know exactly how this might go down, so it’s pure speculation on our part based on the research of similar situations, knowledge of our systems, and personal experiences.

Would we have utilities and services during a quarantine scenario?
Daisy’s Thoughts

A lot of things are automated, which makes me believe we could potentially have a month or two of relative normalcy with regard to utilities, even if folks aren’t going to work. Garbage pickup would be another matter.

First things first, electrical power, natural gas, water, and the internet could run a long time automatically or with just a bit of input from someone on a computer. A pandemic isn’t going to fry our circuitry like an EMP would, for example. There’s nothing general-infrastructure-wise that would immediately compromise these utilities.

But this assumes that everything besides the pandemic is smooth sailing – that we won’t have any tornadoes, any hurricanes, any blizzards, any earthquakes, unfortunate bolts of lightning, or accidents. And it also omits manmade problems like riots that damage the infrastructure or even deliberate sabotage.

In a full-on pandemic, there’s likely going to be nobody to go out there and repair potential damage. And it’s possible that even if people were willing, they might not have access to the necessary supplies or equipment if these are items that they get on a “just-in-time” basis.

As for water, it could run for a long time but it might not be safe to drink. We’d need to be alert that there’s nobody there testing the tap water and adding chemicals. I don’t love chemicals like fluoride in my water but I do love essential chemicals better than I like amoebic dysentery and shigellosis and cholera. That being said, even if the water wasn’t drinkable right from the tap, it would certainly make life easier if folks not on septic systems could still flush their toilets, and water could be purified in a multitude of different ways.

The government would want utilities to remain functional.

Also, the government is going to WANT people to have utilities in the event of any kind of quarantine. People who can zone out in front of the television or play video games are going to be a lot tamer and easier to manage than people who are detoxing from their cell phones and Facebook and 24-7 television. If there’s a way to keep the lights on, I feel fairly confident the government would prefer that.

Karl Marx once said religion was the opiate of the masses. These days, I think television and Netflix wear that crown.

It also makes it easier for them to whisper sweet nothings of propaganda into our homes. “Don’t worrrryyyyy. It’s going to be okaaayyyyy. We’re here to heeelllppp.”

Governments love stuff like that.

Garbage pick-up

Garbage pick-up is another matter, and a very worrisome one. If we’re all confined to our homes, who is going to pick up the trash? Will garbage collectors be issued protective suits? It’s even possible that the military would be called in to perform tasks like this due to the risk of trash that could spread disease.

I’d imagine that out of all things, garbage would be one of the most likely to contain infectious materials – tissues from runny noses, paper plates folks have eaten from, all the stuff possible infected people had touched.

In videos from China, I haven’t seen a lot of trash piling up, so there, it appears that particular system is still running.

However, trash pick-up is what I would expect to be the first thing to go.

Will it come to this?

This is not a question that anyone could definitively answer.

It’s just like the utilities. What are the concurrent factors? What would have to happen for this to blow up and explode across the US as it has in China? What would have to happen to stop it from doing that? What are the wild card events that could hasten the spread? (Mutation, the holidays, another illness spreading that weakens immune systems, a disaster that compromises us to the point we can’t shelter in place?)

Because of the potential for this, we should focus on being prepared. (This book is an excellent resource specific to the Wuhan coronavirus.)

Could it happen? Yes.

Will it happen? Nobody knows.

Would we have utilities and services during a quarantine scenario?
Selco’s Thoughts

A good question is what would happen with electric power and all other utilities once the SHTF.

And yes answer is not simple. It is based on type of event and severity of the event, but I think we can have some good guesses about it.

Utilities

Power, running water, communications (internet, cell phones…) and similar utilities up to waste management in all modern societies are brought to an advanced level of functioning.

All that is so “modernized” in a way that most of us usually do not notice or actually do not care how it is being delivered to us. People don’t care how these things work.

I also do not know in depth how all that works, but I know that most of the utilities today are being brought to us in a very automated and interconnected way.

So, as a result, it works good, until it does not.

I think the price for that is the fact that when ONE thing goes out soon another thing will go out too. Even if something goes out FAR from you, it may still mean it easily may go out at your home.

Maintenance

Do not forget, things (services) no matter how modernized need to be maintained, so, if there are no people around to do maintenance, services will not work.

It depends on how bad the event is, and the control the government has over the event, and the society in which the event happening. It is a question of are people gonna be there to maintain services.

As an example, if some serious event is happening, are people willing to go maintain services or they are more willing to go home and protect their loved ones? They are all just humans, do not forget.

People

Also, if there is still a system functioning, the government or some kind of system, does it have enough power to FORCE people to maintain services? People will want to go home to their families.

The important fact is: if the event happening here is serious enough to bring problems to utility services, it is probably serious enough to make other services like the police force or medical services no longer working. So, as a result, the security situation will be deteriorated, so that is another obvious reason why people would want to be more with their families instead of at their job.

A deteriorating situation with utilities will usually go with a deteriorating situation in behavior between people, so it is not like our only problem will be city services and everything else will be fine at home (and safe).

Now, this all may be different in different scenarios, I am talking about a complete or partial collapse of system.

The system

In what kind of system you are living?

Is that system going to implement very harsh measures in order to maintain “things going on”?

You can not compare a probable situation in your country with a situation happening in another country if the systems are completely different.

If you are living in a system where you were raised to trust blindly in it, without too many freedoms (or any), with very hard punishments for not obeying, it may result in a very disciplined response in hard situations, both because of mentality of people and also because of fear from punishment. China has that kind of system.

In the end, I do not have a clue how long utilities would last in your case wherever you are. I know in my case, the system and utilities would fall apart in a matter of a few weeks, and people would simply go home to their families because through experience, they know our system is fragile. They know it does not care for people, and it can turn against us very fast. And also people are kinda ready to survive without the help of the system. Or at least they are ready to try.

You alone can figure that how things would work in your case.


I have serious problems with this...yes, things are automated but the systems still requires human interaction

no power-no water pumps-no water in pipes,regardless of water treatment

nat gas should last a little longer due to the inherent pressure in the system, but it will also go away if there are not people to man the collection, refining.etc

trash is the least of our worries if this goes as bad as China...

I am truly curious as to how they are keeping the infrastructure running-I would imagine in a totalitarian system, the utility plant workers are Just not allowed to leave. and with the large percentage of China plants being coal based it should have a stockpile in reserve but with transport/travel being tamped down-I would imagine they will have power restrictions within another month? Just something to watch for....
 

Tristan

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Dunno bout that- the single best, perhaps single, way to avoid spread is for sick folks to keep their butts at home and not spread the love around. O' course, with no symptoms guaranteed to accompany illness, that does make it a wee more difficult to know when one is sick. Still perhaps the single best thing we could do in this moment is start a strict campaign against putting yer sick butt in the public square.


The very best way would be if everyone, sick or not, could stay home for enough time that the sick could be treated and not infect anyone else. Especially since it has been reported by multiple sources that asymptomatic transmission is a real thing. Slow it down enough, give the medical profession breathing room to handle the reported cases, basically get the R0 down as low as possible.

Maybe, I don't know, but just maybe quit freaking importing cases from everywhere else, too.

Impossible, I know, but a guy can dream, right?
 

bw

Fringe Ranger
I have serious problems with this...yes, things are automated but the systems still requires human interaction. no power-no water pumps-no water in pipes,regardless of water treatment

The people who maintain these systems will be like the majority of Americans - they have no funds put by, and have to go to work whether they like it or not. So the maintenance is still going to happen, though staffs may be a little short. China gives a pass to necessary workers, and we will too.
 

Shooter

Veteran Member
46 min ago
South Korea is sending a presidential plane to Japan to retrieve citizens
From CNN's Yoonjung Seo in Seoul


The quarantined ship Diamond Princess is pictured through barbed wire at Yokohama port in Yokohama, near Tokyo Monday, February 17.

The quarantined ship Diamond Princess is pictured through barbed wire at Yokohama port in Yokohama, near Tokyo Monday, February 17. Mayuko Isobe/Kyodo News/AP

South Korea's government plans to send a third presidential aircraft to Japan Tuesday afternoon, local time, to repatriate its citizens from the Diamond Princess cruise ship who wish to return, according to a new release from Vice Minister of Health and Welfare, Kim Gang-lip.

Seoul is in consultation with Tokyo to work on specifics, according to the news release.
Currently, nine South Korean passengers and five crew members are on the ship.

===

Seeing the tremendous costs involved with luxury liners - OMG!

===

.
something in this pic bothered me, then I figured it out, WTF is with all the front end loaders? is it getting so bad the need this for the bodies? well mabye not. but they dont belong on a dock like that.
 

jward

passin' thru
Yup a guy can dream- I dream o' a lil factory churning out vents. lots and lots of vents... and someone with the wisdom of solomon to assess the interconnected rings in play here, and to be led to make the right calls AT THE RIGHT times, so that the fewest souls suffer. But not much time for dreaming, so I spend most my time trying to act so that I'm part of the the protective ring around my community. And praying. Lots of that.
 

Jubilee on Earth

Veteran Member
From A Doc On The WuFlu


From A Doc On The WuFlu
Posted on February 17, 2020 | Leave a comment



With the caveat noted:
Below is the email I sent to my family earlier today. They aren’t as up on current events so there is some background that may be redundant for your readers.

There is a tremendous amount of uncertainty surrounding this entire situation. So take this with whatever sized grain of salt you deem appropriate.


Subject: COVID-19
So, the Wuhan coronavirus.

COVID-19, it’s now called. This particular virus originated with bats (although some argue that a bioweapons lab was involved), then combined with a prior dangerous human virus and crossed over to humans.

It’s spread by “airborne” transmission, meaning droplets small enough to float in the air for several hours. All airborne diseases are very contagious, and this is no exception. It’s spread exponentially in China and has shut down a substantial fraction of that country, with 400 million people in quarantine. Unfortunately, it has up to a 24 day incubation period, can be spread by people when they are completely asymptomatic, and once sick, patients are sick for about 2-3 weeks. So this quarantine will be in place for quite some time, months at least.

There are official data but no one believes them. There is a massive disparity between words and actions. The data they put out suggests that it is serious but not catastrophic, but they are acting like it’s the second coming of the Black Death. Very draconian measures have been put into place–like welding apartment complex doors shut. It has spread to many other countries including the US, but it’s not really taken hold anywhere else just yet – that we know of.
This virus is about 30x as dangerous as the standard flu, as far as we can tell. Of course, this all depends on data from the Chinese government, see paragraph above. They claim about 2-3% of the people that get it die, but I’d regard that as the low end estimate, given how crazy the Chinese have been about quarantine.

There is no established treatment nor vaccine for this virus. There are a host of ongoing clinical trials but so far the only thing that seems to make any difference is to transfuse serum from someone who survived, into sick folks.

Avoidance is key.

Hospitals have special rooms, equipment, and protocols to help prevent transmission, all falling under the umbrella term “airborne precautions”. The rooms can’t be replicated at home, but some of the equipment and all of the protocols can be.

The equipment: masks, gloves at a minimum, as well as, gowns and face shields.

The protocols: See this link, and wash your hands all the time. If there is no soap or water around, alcohol hand sanitizer (see below) will do.

I will say that I have my doubts about the CDC recommendations. Every picture I have seen of the foreign medical personnel show them in full Tyvek suit, but the CDC recommends a lower level of protection.

This is similar to what happened during the Ebola scare, wherein everyone else used full pressurized “space suits” and the CDC recommended something obviously inadequate. So some grains of salt are required.

Specifics: A plain n95 or n100 mask will do, brand name not important. A Half-face mask with equivalent particulate filters will do. If you are made of money, a Powered Air Purifying Respirator (PAPR) is the best but wowza expensive.

Disposable gloves are great but in a real situation you will go through them like candy on Halloween. The heavy duty dishwashing gloves are as good and reusable.

Medical gowns are what is currently recommended by the CDC, and are helpful, but see the Tyvek suit comment above.

Hospitals use these disposable face shields. I prefer safety goggles, they are good for what ails you anyway. These are my favorites.

Almost anything that you usually use for cleaning will kill the Coronavirus. And clean you must, as the virus can live on surfaces for several hours. Lysol put up a nice page detailing (towards the bottom of the page) which of their products will kill the virus. Anything equivalent from any other company would do.

For handwashing, soap and water will do, alcohol based hand sanitizer with greater than 65% EtOH will also work. Of course if you need a skin burn then things like bleach will work as well.

Some practice in putting on and taking off the personal protective equipment is in order.

In terms of the overall impact, I lay out a couple of scenarios below. Others have done similar things.

– Best case scenario, for the USA: minimal if any medical impact, no panic, but a big recession in any fields that rely on Chinese imports or sales to China. China itself is already hurting, bigtime; that can’t help but impact the rest of the world.

– Most likely scenario, USA: moderate medical impact (meaning in some fashion the virus is contained, minimal mortality rate), at least some panic/unrest with a lot of people avoiding going outside. Probably a federally ordered semi-quarantine for at least a month or 2. This would cause the effects above, plus add a recession for anything that involves social interaction.

– Worst case: massive pandemic, virus uncontrolled. This would overwhelm the medical and social systems, and could kill as many as 3% of the population (around 9 million people). This would completely wreck the entire world economy and throw us into a prolonged full on Great Depression or worse.

So, assuming the utilities still work, preps for the most likely scenario above would include at least 2 months (24 day incubation plus 3 weeks sickness, rounded up) of the materials above, as well as whatever you use for 2 months. Food is high on the list, but 2 months worth of toilet paper, soap, shampoo, laundry detergent, diapers, etc.

The upside is that if you purchase any of the above, most will eventually get used over time. For example, I use the dust masks when cutting wood, and gloves for application of wood stain or glues. I have a set of safety goggles for woodworking too, so this isn’t too much of a jump. The medical isolation gowns are pretty much useless for anything other than, well, medical isolation.

Nothing here is a guarantee. There is so much uncertainty involved in this that it’s hard to make predictions, other than the Chinese economy tanking (since that’s already happening, that’s a gimme).

But having at least some protection and a plan is better than being caught flat-footed when there is a run on medical supplies and long-term food.





Leave a comment

Posted in Uncategorized

Thank you for this. I’m going to use most, of not all this verbiage to share with friends and family. They might think I’m batty (pun intended) but what do I care? At least I tried. In the “Most Likely Scenario” for the U.S., I can see the gov shutting down major gatherings and events, like concerts, parades, ball games, attractions, and amusement parks. They’d have to, if it began to spread. Those kinds of things are germ breeding grounds. If they DON’T do that in the name of greed and in a desperate attempt to save our economy, I would think this would quickly escalate to worst-case scenario. People aren’t going to cancel their spring break trips and Disney World vacations unless they have to.
 

Jubilee on Earth

Veteran Member
BNO Newsroom‏Verified account @BNODesk 21m21 minutes ago

Health official in Jingzhou, a city in Hubei province, dies of heart failure caused by overwork, according to local media. She had been working non-stop for 25 days to help in the fight against coronavirus.

Oh geez. “Overwork,” eh?? No chance he couldn’t have had heart failure from the virus, now would there?
 

jward

passin' thru
jubilee, I think you can possibly share facts in evidence on the Spanish influenza, and prove your point, all in a way that your listeners can relate to. Nothing "batty" there, that is known history. Known Numbers. Known Vectors. Known Cases, causes, and consequences....
 

susie0884

Dooming since 1998
If that is true then why did Old as Dirt almost die from food poisoning last year at a church supper and why every virus that comes along goes to church on Sun. and she gets it. Just wondering why God gave us good sense if we arn't supposed to use it.
Oh, man, church potlucks are notorious for food poisoning incidents. We had one here recently where the lady left some potato dish sit out overnight. LOTS of sick folks over that one.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Vincent Lee‏Verified account @Rover829 8m8 minutes ago

Reuters: Yoshihide Suga, the government's top spokesman, said at a briefing on Tuesday that the government is "currently conducting preparations so that clinical trials using HIV medication on the novel coronavirus can start as soon as possible."
 

jward

passin' thru
I know this seems wooilicious, but, I firmly believe that "if" it was intentional, these were the bat rastards behind it, and that it is for just those reasons noted below...




Joe M
@StormIsUponUs

1h

Everything is pointing to a serious biological attack perpetrated by the Deep State elite world order who are gasping their last breaths in a global shadow war for the fate of humanity. They will not go out without expending every last round in their chamber.
View: https://twitter.com/StormIsUponUs/status/1229593720561053696?s=20
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Sharing the "Love" all across California

Coronavirus evacuees may be sent to southern Monterey County

Camp Roberts may be used to quarantine those with symptoms

The Monterey County Health Department has said there is a possibility Camp Roberts in south Monterey County will be used to quarantine coronavirus patients from the Diamond Princess cruise ship in Japan.

There no certainty at this time that passengers with the novel coronavirus named COVID-19 will be arriving at Camp Roberts, but county officials have been advised by state and federal authorities to prepare for the possibility that passengers who test positive for COVID-19 but no longer require hospitalization may be sent to Camp Roberts for the remainder of their isolation period.

“We understand that a federal team will provide the staffing, food, and medical care at Camp Roberts,” said Dr. Edward Moreno, Monterey County health officer. “The Monterey County Health Department is working to ensure that we protect the health and well-being of Monterey County residents.”

There are currently no cases of COVID-19 in Monterey County, and the risk to residents remains low.

Camp Roberts is a military training base in central California, located in both San Luis Obispo and Monterey counties.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
I have been wondering about the response level in all countries. This came out of a BSL-4 lab, and I thought it was identified as a BSL-4 infectious agent. Yet, contrasting to when ebola hit the US and all the complete bio-suits and the talk of only having 24 (?) Bio level 4 hospital beds in the whole country, what I see being done makes no sense. Unless of course the purpose is to spread it.

Is the COVID19 a bio-level 4 or 3 or 2 or what?

Shadow
It seemed that in Nebraska, they were only treating the guy with active symptoms with biosecurity. The cases that tested positive but were asymptomatic were not. Don't they listen to the Chinese physicians who have said that it is infectious in the asymptomatic state? Isn't the Diamond Princess enough proof of that?
 

Jubilee on Earth

Veteran Member

Sharing the "Love" all across California

Coronavirus evacuees may be sent to southern Monterey County

Camp Roberts may be used to quarantine those with symptoms

The Monterey County Health Department has said there is a possibility Camp Roberts in south Monterey County will be used to quarantine coronavirus patients from the Diamond Princess cruise ship in Japan.

There no certainty at this time that passengers with the novel coronavirus named COVID-19 will be arriving at Camp Roberts, but county officials have been advised by state and federal authorities to prepare for the possibility that passengers who test positive for COVID-19 but no longer require hospitalization may be sent to Camp Roberts for the remainder of their isolation period.

“We understand that a federal team will provide the staffing, food, and medical care at Camp Roberts,” said Dr. Edward Moreno, Monterey County health officer. “The Monterey County Health Department is working to ensure that we protect the health and well-being of Monterey County residents.”

There are currently no cases of COVID-19 in Monterey County, and the risk to residents remains low.

Camp Roberts is a military training base in central California, located in both San Luis Obispo and Monterey counties.

I’m confused. Didn’t they already designate like 11 different quarantine sites around the country? Why are they already looking for more?
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Dominos Are Falling – China Shutdown To Crush India’s Already-Crumbling Economy

Profile picture for user Tyler Durden
by Tyler Durden
Zero Hedge
Monday, 02/17/2020 - 22:50

The supply chain shock emanating from China to other Asia Pacific countries and Europe, could become a major headache for India.

Bloomberg focuses on how an industrial shutdown of China's economy has already had a profound effect on India’s economy and could get worse.

Pankaj R. Patel, chairman of Zydus Cadila, said prices of medicine in India have exponentially jumped in the last several weeks, thanks to much of the medicine is sourced from China.

The Indian pharmaceutical industry is experiencing massive disruptions that could face shortages starting in April if supplies aren't replenished in the next couple weeks, Patel warned.


He said prices of paracetamol, a common analgesic, have risen 40% in India, while some antibiotic medicines have soared 70% since Covid-19 broke out in China last month.

Manufacturers in China have idled plants, and at least two-thirds of the economy is halted. Some factories came online last week with promises of full production by the end of the month, but for most factories, their resumption will likely be delayed. This will undoubtedly lead to medicine shortages in India in the coming months ahead.

A new theme is developing from all this mayhem – that is the reorganization of complex supply chains out of China to a more localized approach to avoid severing. But in the meantime, these complex supply chains in India and across the world will experience massive disruption caused by the shutdown. All of this points to ugly end of globalization:




Pankaj Mahindroo, chairman of the India Cellular and Electronics Association (ICEA), said the wrecking of supply chains in China could soon have a devastating impact on India's smartphone production.

Mahindroo represents companies including Foxconn, Apple Inc., Micromax Informatics Ltd., and Salcomp India, warned the "impact is already visible… If things don't improve soon, production will have to be stopped."

Already, the production of iPhones and Airpods has been reduced in China because of factory shutdowns.

The closure of Foxconn plants in India would be absolutely devastating for Apple.

Apple produces iPhone XR in India. If the production of affordable smartphones is halted or reduced, the Californian based company could see full-year earnings guidance slashed.

Mohnidroo said if things don't improve in the next couple of weeks, smartphone factories in India could start running out of "critical components like printed circuit boards, camera modules, semiconductors, resistors, and capacitors."

A spokesperson for Xiaomi Corp.'s India unit said alternative sourcing attempts are underway to mitigate any supply chain disruption from China.

Even before all of this, India's economy is rapidly decelerating into an economic crisis.

Former Indian Finance Minister Yashwant Sinha warned several months ago that the country is in a "very deep crisis," witnessing "death of demand," and the government is "befooling people" with its economic distortions of how growth is around the corner.



Supply chain disruptions are moving from East to West. It’s only a matter of time before production lines are halted in the US because sourcing of Chinese parts is offline. The disruptions of supply chains is the shock that could tilt the global economy into recession.

 

Mark D

Now running for Emperor.

blueinterceptor

Veteran Member
I have serious problems with this...yes, things are automated but the systems still requires human interaction

no power-no water pumps-no water in pipes,regardless of water treatment

nat gas should last a little longer due to the inherent pressure in the system, but it will also go away if there are not people to man the collection, refining.etc

trash is the least of our worries if this goes as bad as China...

I am truly curious as to how they are keeping the infrastructure running-I would imagine in a totalitarian system, the utility plant workers are Just not allowed to leave. and with the large percentage of China plants being coal based it should have a stockpile in reserve but with transport/travel being tamped down-I would imagine they will have power restrictions within another month? Just something to watch for....

don’t forget something as simple as a break in the line. Tree falls on power line. Or even Sabotage.(There are plenty of nuts out there
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
China Economy‏ @CE_ChinaEconomy 17m17 minutes ago

The 2020 Chongqing International Marathon, which was originally scheduled for March 22, is to be postponed, organisers said on Monday. Runners who quit can get an unconditional refund and keep their qualifications alive until the next marathon race in 2021.
 

jward

passin' thru
The wet market is 900 feet from the lab. Occam's Razor says it was a $2-a-day security guard selling lab animals for some $$$ on the side. Or, classic Chinese lack-of-quality in their BSL4 procedures.

IF, this was a "Bio-attack", it was a really crappy one.
Oh sure, iffin ya wanna go and be all logical and everything.
....but who quashed the evidence it was out until it had time to seed itself hmm???
:D forgive the levity. Some days, it's just the only tool left in the box.
 
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